Peru vs Colombia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
Bottom-feeders Peru play host to third-place Colombia for matchday seven of South America’s CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign on Friday. Let’s get into the prediction for this matchup between La Blanquirroja and Los Cafeteros.
Peru have only managed to qualify for the World Cup once in the last 10 editions (Qatar 2022) and they are in serious danger of missing out yet again. A horrid start to the campaign sees them sitting bottom of the standings with only two points from the first six fixtures. A 1-1 draw with Venezuela in their most recent qualifying match finally put an end to a four game losing streak.
Peru would then crash out of the Copa America group stage with one draw and two losses while failing to score a single goal. Their last time taking to the field was in a 2-0 defeat to Argentina.
Colombia, on the other hand, have been experiencing a tremendous amount of success since the appointment of manager Nestor Lorenzo back in July 2022. The Argentine head coach has a stellar record with the Tricolor, the culmination of which was an appearance in the recent Copa America final. Colombia were ultimately unable to seal the deal, finishing as runners-up to Argentina after losing 1-0 in extra time.
While Colombia will of course be disappointed that they didn’t lift the Copa, there is plenty to be optimistic about regarding this team. They’ve started qualifying very strongly with three wins and three draws and they remain the only unbeaten team in the region.
Colombia also retained their unbelievable regulation time unbeaten streak which is now at an astounding 29 games. The last time they were beaten in 90 minutes was in February 2022.
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The Best Betting Odds for Peru v Colombia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 3 | 1.85 |
|
|
5 | 3.6 | 1.73 |
|
|
5.41 | 3.58 | 1.73 |
|
|
5.41 | 3.58 | 1.73 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.05 | 1.76 |
|
|
5.05 | 3.22 | 1.83 |
|
|
5.4 | 3.15 | 1.8 |
|
|
5.35 | 3.54 | 1.71 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.6 | 1.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Peru and Colombia?
Our prediction for the Peru vs Colombia match is: Colombia to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2024 between Peru and Colombia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.55% for a win of Peru against Colombia with odds of 5.75 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Peru vs Colombia is 20.4% with odds of 3.6 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Colombia vs Peru with odds of 1.85 at Bet365.
Peru - Colombia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Peru Colombia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Colombia wins | 52.05% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 65.04% | 2.18 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 32.08% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Colombia | 24.31% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Peru vs Colombia Form
Peru and Colombia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
|
10
|
3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -8 |
Peru and Colombia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Jun 2024 - Copa America
14 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2024 - Copa America
10 Jul 2024 - Copa America
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
Peru against Colombia : Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
0 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Jan 2022 - World Cup
9 Jul 2021 - Copa America
20 Jun 2021 - Copa America
3 Jun 2021 - World Cup
15 Nov 2019 - International Friendlies
Peru vs Colombia last Lineups
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Polo
Peru - Colombia Key Points
- Peru have not won in a competitive fixture in over two years, losing seven and drawing three during that stretch.
- Colombia have a record of 19-6-1 under current head coach Nestor Lorenzo.
- The visitors have scored in 13 of their last 14 matches, netting an impressive 31 goals during that time.
- Peru have failed to find the net in their last three consecutive games.
- The hosts have scored just a single goal in their six World Cup qualifying matches while conceding eight.
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Our Peru vs Colombia Prediction
Colombia are rolling at the moment and while away matches in this region are notoriously difficult, they should have success against a floundering Peruvian side. This will be the first time they take to the pitch since defeat in the Copa America final and they should be eager to get back to winning ways.
Peru head coach Jorge Fossati will have to reconcile with the fact that his team has scored only a single goal in their last five outings. Things aren't likely to turn around as they come up against one of South America's most in-form teams. Our Peru vs Colombia prediction: Colombia to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Peru Colombia
| Peru vs Colombia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peru wins | 4 | 5.5 | +37.5% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3 | -6.3% |
| Colombia wins | 2 | 1.85 | -7.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Colombia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 54.1% (4.1%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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