Wales - Cymru Premier
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Pen-y-Bont FC vs Connah's Quay Nomads FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Cymru Premier
by Matthew Newman in Football Predictions
Penybont will take on Connah's Quay in a Welsh Premier League game on Saturday afternoon. Penybont is 2nd in the league ahead of our prediction on this match with the visiting Nomads sat in 8th.
Just a point separates Penybont from top of the league TNS heading into the weekend. They have a single defeat at home this season, winning six and drawing three of their 10 at home.
That sole defeat was against Briton Ferry Athletic who are 11th of the 12 teams, a result that will haunt Penybont if they fail to win the league. There is just one more game after the visit of Connah's Quay before the league is split in half so the business end of the season is approaching.
Connah's Quay still has a chance of making it into the top six and the Championship half of the split, but they need to find a way to pick up points. They have three wins and three draws from 10 away games so far this season.
They have not won back-to-back games since August, but those were away from home. They fell 0-1 in the reverse of this fixture back in September.
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The Best Betting Odds for Pen-y-Bont FC v Connah's Quay Nomads FC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.3 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.42 | 4.01 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.42 | 4.01 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.5 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.34 | 3.88 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.34 | 3.88 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.3 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.34 | 3.88 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.45 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.1 | 4 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.73 | 4 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.55 | 4.15 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.25 | 3.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Pen-y-Bont FC and Connah's Quay Nomads FC?
Our prediction for the Pen-y-Bont FC vs Connah's Quay Nomads FC match is: Penybont win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2025 between Pen-y-Bont FC and Connah's Quay Nomads FC in Cymru Premier :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.89% for a win of Pen-y-Bont FC against Connah's Quay Nomads FC with odds of 2.01 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Pen-y-Bont FC vs Connah's Quay Nomads FC is 27.15% with odds of 3.73 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs Pen-y-Bont FC with odds of 4.15 at Unibet.
Pen-y-Bont FC - Connah's Quay Nomads FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Pen-y-Bont FC Connah's Quay Nomads FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Pen-y-Bont FC wins | 42.89% | 2.01 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.16% | 2.15 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 1.92 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Pen-y-Bont FC/Pen-y-Bont FC | 15.19% | 3.1 at Ladbrokes |
Pen-y-Bont FC vs Connah's Quay Nomads FC Form
Pen-y-Bont FC and Connah's Quay Nomads FC's standings in the Cymru Premier
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
47 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 25 |
|
8
|
26 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
Pen-y-Bont FC and Connah's Quay Nomads FC Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
26 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
3 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
23 Nov 2024 - Cymru Premier
9 Nov 2024 - Cymru Premier
2 Nov 2024 - Cymru Premier
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
3 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
9 Nov 2024 - Cymru Premier
26 Oct 2024 - Cymru Premier
18 Oct 2024 - FAW Welsh Cup
4 Oct 2024 - Cymru Premier
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
23 Nov 2024 - Cymru Premier
2 Nov 2024 - Cymru Premier
22 Oct 2024 - League Cup
15 Oct 2024 - Cymru Premier
12 Oct 2024 - Cymru Premier
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
26 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
14 Dec 2024 - FAW Welsh Cup
3 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
30 Nov 2024 - Cymru Premier
16 Nov 2024 - FAW Welsh Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
14 Dec 2024 - FAW Welsh Cup
3 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
2 Nov 2024 - Cymru Premier
30 Oct 2024 - Cymru Premier
27 Oct 2024 - Cymru Premier
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
30 Nov 2024 - Cymru Premier
16 Nov 2024 - FAW Welsh Cup
9 Nov 2024 - Cymru Premier
15 Oct 2024 - Cymru Premier
12 Oct 2024 - Cymru Premier
Pen-y-Bont FC vs Connah's Quay Nomads FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Sep 2024 - Cymru Premier
13 Jan 2024 - Cymru Premier
Pen-y-Bont FC - Connah's Quay Nomads FC Key Points
- Four of Pennybont’s six home wins have also seen both teams score.
- Connah’s Quay has scored in all four away losses this season.
- Penybont already has a decision over Connah’s Quay this season.
- A single point has been gained away from home for Connah’s Quay in games on the road at top-half clubs.
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Our Pen-y-Bont FC vs Connah's Quay Nomads FC Prediction
There is no doubt that Penybont is the stronger of these two sides. They are right in the mix to win the Welsh Premier and these games are ones that they have to be picking up three points from.
Penybont will be disappointed to have let leads slip to both Bala and Cardiff MU at home of late. In fact, six of their last seven visitors have got on the scoresheet. Penybont can get the job done but expect Connah's Quay to net. Our Penybont vs Connah's Quay prediction is for a Penybont win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Pen-y-Bont FC Connah's Quay Nomads FC
| Pen-y-Bont FC vs Connah's Quay Nomads FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pen-y-Bont FC wins | 1.57 | 1.83 | +16.6% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.3 | -8.3% |
| Connah's Quay Nomads FC wins | 5 | 3.75 | -25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Pen-y-Bont FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 54.6% (-9.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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