Parma vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Devesh Jaganath in Serie A Predictions
Matchday 2 in the Italian Serie A gets underway at Stadio Ennio Tardini where Parma will be playing host to AC Milan on Friday evening. I Crociati and Rossoneri are both looking for their first win of the season after playing out draws last weekend. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Newly promoted Parma got their first season back in the top flight off to a poor start, getting knocked out of the Coppa Italia by lower-division Palermo 1-0 a couple of weeks ago.
However, I Crociati showed much more grit and determination last weekend when they held Fiorentina to a 1-1 draw at home and even looked likely to win the match at times.
That result, while not ideal, ended Parma’s nine-match losing streak in Serie A from their relegation season back in 2021.
Last season, the hosts were unbeaten in their final four home games and have only lost two of their last 27 matches in all competitions at this venue.
Still, they face a huge test here, against AC Milan who are unbeaten in the last eight matches between these sides, six of which ended in victory.
However, Rossoneri made an unconvincing start to the new season, just about managing to salvage a point at home to Torino thanks to goals by Alvaro Morata in the 89th minute and a Noah Okafor equaliser in stoppage time.
Milan will now head out for their first away game of the season but are still unsurprisingly heavily fancied to pick up all three points.
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The Best Betting Odds for Parma v AC Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.08 | 8 | 151 |
|
|
4.2 | 2.62 | 2 |
|
|
1.09 | 8 | 151 |
|
|
1.09 | 8 | 151 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.2 | 1.62 |
|
|
4.54 | 4.04 | 1.71 |
|
|
1.1 | 6.75 | 100 |
|
|
4.48 | 4.04 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.8 | 4 | 1.71 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and AC Milan?
Our prediction for the Parma vs AC Milan match is: AC Milan wins!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/08/2024 between Parma and AC Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.37% for a win of Parma against AC Milan with odds of 5.5 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs AC Milan is 35.73% with odds of 8 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.9% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Parma with odds of 151 at Bet365.
Parma - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Parma AC Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35.73% | 8 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.62% | 1.8 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 66.25% | 1.7 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time : Parma / Full-time : AC Milan | 15.48% | 15 at Bet365 |
Parma vs AC Milan Form
Parma and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
|
12
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
Parma and AC Milan Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
11 Aug 2024 - Coppa Italia
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Parma against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Apr 2021 - Serie A
13 Dec 2020 - Serie A
15 Jul 2020 - Serie A
1 Dec 2019 - Serie A
20 Apr 2019 - Serie A
2 Dec 2018 - Serie A
Parma against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Z. Suzuki
DefenderE. Valeri
MidfielderN. Estevez
ForwardA. Benedyczak
M. Kowalski
M. Sportiello
DefenderM. Thiaw
A. Florenzi
MidfielderI. Bennacer
Parma - AC Milan Key Points
- Parma have failed to win any of their last 12 Serie A matches.
- Parma are on a 14-match winless streak in away games in the top flight.
- AC Milan are unbeaten in their last eight matches against this opponent.
- AC Milan have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 away league games.
- AC Milan have only lost one of their last six away games.
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Our Parma vs AC Milan Prediction
While Parma made a decent start to the season, facing a side like AC Milan is a completely different proposition to taking on Fiorentina, even if Rossoneri are the away team.
Milan have been the dominant side in this fixture for several years and we feel they will be able to pick up their first league win of the season here. Our Parma vs AC Milan prediction: AC Milan wins!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma AC Milan
| Parma vs AC Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma wins | 4.5 | 1.08 | -76.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 8 | +128.6% |
| AC Milan wins | 1.8 | 151 | +8,288.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 128.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 12.5% (-16.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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