Olympics - Men's Olympic Tournament
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Paraguay vs Mali Prediction & Betting Tips - Men's Olympic Tournament
by Ian John in Men's Olympic Tournament Predictions
Paraguay will play Mali in the final game of Group D in the Men's Olympic Football Tournament. Both teams know that a win will likely be enough to qualify for the Knockout phase, assuming Japan does not lose to Israel in the other game in the group.
After a 5-0 thrashing by Japan, Paraguay's seven-game winless run finally ended with a 4-2 win over Israel. However, it was by far a comfortable win, with two goals in added time securing a somewhat fortuitous victory against their Israeli opponents. That win leaves Paraguay second in Group D, behind the already qualified Japan, who are also confirmed as the group winners.
That is because the Japanese followed their 5-0 thrashing of Paraguay with a 1-0 win over Mali in their second game. The African team held the Japanese until the 82nd minute before Rihito Yamamoto scored the winner in a tight game.
Mali drew their opener 1-1 with Israel, leaving them with just one point from their opening two games. Only a win here could allow them to qualify, but that would also depend on how Israel performs against Japan in the other game in this group.
Mali is solid defensively, but they conceded one goal in their last five games. However, being strong defensively may not be enough to progress here, as they have to win. By opening up to try and score a goal, they leave themselves exposed to Paraguay on the counter-attack.
Whoever qualifies second from this group behind Japan will take on Group C's winner, either Spain or Egypt, in the quarter-finals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Paraguay v Mali Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 23 | 501 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.6 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.01 | 16.7 | 364 |
|
|
1.01 | 16.7 | 364 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.48 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.48 | 2.87 |
|
|
1.01 | 13.25 | 100 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.52 | 2.74 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
|
|
1.03 | 12 | 301 |
|
|
2 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.08 | 7.8 | 126 |
|
|
1.09 | 7 | 41 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Paraguay and Mali?
Our prediction for the Paraguay vs Mali match is: Paraguay to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/07/2024 between Paraguay and Mali in Men's Olympic Tournament :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 77.27% for a win of Paraguay against Mali with odds of 2.48 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paraguay vs Mali is 11.59% with odds of 23 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Mali vs Paraguay with odds of 501 at Bet365.
Paraguay - Mali Prediction and Best Odds:
| Paraguay Mali Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Paraguay wins | 77.27% | 2.48 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 76.33% | 2.21 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 20.24% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Paraguay | 49.96% | 15 at Betfair |
Paraguay vs Mali Form
Paraguay and Mali's standings in the Men's Olympic Tournament
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
|
3
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
Paraguay and Mali Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
10 Jun 2024 - U23 Friendly Games
11 Feb 2024 - CONMEBOL Pre-Olympic Tournament, Group A
8 Feb 2024 - CONMEBOL Pre-Olympic Tournament, Group A
5 Feb 2024 - CONMEBOL Pre-Olympic Tournament, Group A
4/4 (100%)
0/4 (0%)
0/4 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2024 - CONMEBOL Pre-Olympic Tournament, Group A
27 Jan 2024 - CONMEBOL Pre-Olympic Tournament, Group A
24 Jan 2024 - CONMEBOL Pre-Olympic Tournament, Group A
21 Dec 2023 - U23 Friendly Games
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
10 Jun 2024 - U23 Friendly Games
8 Feb 2024 - CONMEBOL Pre-Olympic Tournament, Group A
5 Feb 2024 - CONMEBOL Pre-Olympic Tournament, Group A
2 Feb 2024 - CONMEBOL Pre-Olympic Tournament, Group A
0/2 (0%)
1/2 (50%)
1/2 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
0/1 (0%)
1/1 (100%)
0/1 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
0/1 (0%)
0/1 (0%)
1/1 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Paraguay against Mali Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Most goals and assists
Paraguay
Mali
M. Fernandez
(3 Goals)
C. Doumbia
(1 Goals)
D. Gomez
(2 Assists)
T. Diarra
(1 Assists)
Paraguay - Mali Key Points
- With one point from their two group games, Mali must win to stand any chance of qualifying.
- Paraguay has three points. A win will ensure they qualify for the next phase.
- Mali have conceded in all their last five matches.
- Paraguay’s have conceded in their last eight games.
- Paraguay’s last three games have seen them score six goals and concede nine.
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Our Paraguay vs Mali Prediction
Our prediction for the Paraguay vs. Mali Olympic Men's Football Group D match is: Paraguay to win and both teams to score.
With both teams knowing that a win is their only chance to qualify, this is a game where both sides have to score. Paraguay have the advantage in terms of points and they know a win will ensure they qualify, regardless of the result in the other game. Mali may score, but Paraguay have plenty of attacking talent to claim the win they need here.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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