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10 September 2024 - 20:30 

- Day 8

World - World Cup

Paraguay
VS
Brazil

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Paraguay vs Brazil Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

 by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions

Seventh-place Paraguay play host to a stuttering Brazil in fourth place when the two sides face off for this CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifying fixture. Can the Seleção make it back-to-back wins or will La Albirroja successfully frustrate another of South America’s top sides? Let’s take a look at the match prediction.

Paraguay walked away with a good point after a 0-0 draw away from home against Uruguay on Friday. The result ended a run of three straight defeats for Paraguay, who were dumped out of the Copa America after losing all of their group stage games.

It hasn’t been a great 2024 for Paraguay who have recorded only a single win this year in nine appearances. Still, their record of 1-3-3 in qualifying has them holding onto an intercontinental playoff spot and sitting two points behind Ecuador for automatic qualification.

As for Brazil, they will be hoping a 1-0 win over Ecuador can jump-start what has been a below-par qualifying campaign so far. Dorival Junior’s side heavily underperformed in the Copa America, resulting in only one win in their four matches played and exiting in the quarter-final. 

Brazil’s World Cup qualifying began strongly with seven points from the first three matches before a disastrous three-game losing streak. Friday’s victory saw that streak finally put to an end, bringing the Brazilians to 10 points and eight off rivals Argentina at the top.

Brazil’s attacking woes have been well documented as they have now been held to a single goal or fewer in five of their last six qualifying matches. This was also a problem at the Copa America, where they failed to score twice in their four games.

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The Best Betting Odds for Paraguay v Brazil Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
7 3.9 1.5
Ladbrokes
5.75 2.5 1.85
1xbet
6.62 3.95 1.57
22bet
6.62 3.95 1.57
Betobet
8.75 3.9 1.44
Betwinner
8.3 4.14 1.44
Stake
6.6 3.9 1.53
Melbet
6.85 4.04 1.51
Tonybet
7 4 1.49
Check all Paraguay vs Brazil odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Paraguay and Brazil?

Our prediction for the Paraguay vs Brazil match is: Under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between Paraguay and Brazil in World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 12.92% for a win of Paraguay against Brazil with odds of 8.75 at Betobet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paraguay vs Brazil is 37.22% with odds of 4.14 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 49.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Brazil vs Paraguay with odds of 1.85 at Ladbrokes.

Paraguay - Brazil Prediction and Best Odds:

Paraguay Brazil Prediction Probability Odds
Brazil wins 49.85% 1.85 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 60.89% 1.87 at Stake
Both Team To Score 40% 2.38 at Bet365
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brazil 25.29% 4 at Bet365

Paraguay vs Brazil Form

Paraguay and Brazil's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Brazil
Brazil
10 8 3 1 4 1
7
Paraguay
Paraguay
9 8 2 3 3 -1

Paraguay and Brazil Last Matches

Paraguay
Paraguay Last matches
L W L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
1.83
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

6 Sep 2024 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  0
Paraguay

2 Jul 2024 - Copa America

Costa Rica
2 :  1
Paraguay

28 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Paraguay
1 :  4
Brazil

24 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Colombia
2 :  1
Paraguay

16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Panama
0 :  1
Paraguay

11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Chile
3 :  0
Paraguay
Brazil
Brazil Last matches
D D W D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

6 Sep 2024 - World Cup

Brazil
1 :  0
Ecuador

6 Jul 2024 - Copa America

Uruguay
0 :  0
Brazil

2 Jul 2024 - Copa America

Brazil
1 :  1
Colombia

28 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Paraguay
1 :  4
Brazil

24 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Brazil
0 :  0
Costa Rica

12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  1
Brazil

Paraguay against Brazil : Head to Head (H2H)

Paraguay

0 %

Draw

25 %

Brazil

75 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.75
BTTS
25%
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.25
Goals scored (Team 2)
2.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

28 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Paraguay
1 :  4
Brazil

1 Feb 2022 - World Cup

Brazil
4 :  0
Paraguay

8 Jun 2021 - World Cup

Paraguay
0 :  2
Brazil

27 Jun 2019 - Copa America

Brazil
0 :  0
Paraguay
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Paraguay vs Brazil last Lineups

Paraguay

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

22
R. Morinigo
25
G. Velazquez
5
F. Balbuena
3
O. Alderete
13
N. Gimenez
8
D. Bobadilla
23
M. Villasanti
10
M. Almiron
19
J. Enciso
24
R. Sosa
9
A. Bareiro
10
Rodrygo
9
Endrick
11
Raphinha
15
J. Gomes
8
L. Paqueta
5
B. Guimaraes
16
G. Arana
4
Marquinhos
3
E. Militao
2
Danilo
1
Alisson

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Brazil

Missing players

Paraguay
Paraguay
Defender

O. Alderete

Midfielder

M. Rojas

A. Cubas

Brazil
Brazil

Paraguay - Brazil Key Points

  1. There have been under 2.5 goals in all seven of Paraguay’s World Cup qualifying matches.
  2. The hosts have scored only a single goal in their seven games, while conceding only three.
  3. Brazil have seen under 2.5 goals scored in five of their seven World Cup qualifying matches.
  4. Paraguay matches see the lowest total average goals in the region at only 0.57 while Brazil comes in at 2.29.
  5. Only once in their last 10 competitive fixtures has Brazil managed to score two or more goals.
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Our Paraguay vs Brazil Prediction

These two teams recently faced off in the Copa America group stage where Brazil would claim their only victory of the competition in a 4-1 win. It also marked the only competitive match in which Brazil has scored multiple goals since September of 2023.

Paraguay should take confidence from their goalless draw with Uruguay. They’re certainly not afraid to grind with teams as we’ve seen with their multitude of 1-0 and 0-0 type results in this qualifying campaign. With Brazil seemingly not quite right offensively, another low-scoring match could be on the cards. Our Paraguay vs Brazil prediction: under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Paraguay Brazil

Paraguay vs Brazil Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Paraguay wins 6 7 +16.7%
Draw 3.75 3.9 +4.0%
Brazil wins 1.6 1.5 -6.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Brazil is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 66.7% (4.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Paraguay vs Brazil Prediction
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