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Paraguay vs Brazil Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
Seventh-place Paraguay play host to a stuttering Brazil in fourth place when the two sides face off for this CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifying fixture. Can the Seleção make it back-to-back wins or will La Albirroja successfully frustrate another of South America’s top sides? Let’s take a look at the match prediction.
Paraguay walked away with a good point after a 0-0 draw away from home against Uruguay on Friday. The result ended a run of three straight defeats for Paraguay, who were dumped out of the Copa America after losing all of their group stage games.
It hasn’t been a great 2024 for Paraguay who have recorded only a single win this year in nine appearances. Still, their record of 1-3-3 in qualifying has them holding onto an intercontinental playoff spot and sitting two points behind Ecuador for automatic qualification.
As for Brazil, they will be hoping a 1-0 win over Ecuador can jump-start what has been a below-par qualifying campaign so far. Dorival Junior’s side heavily underperformed in the Copa America, resulting in only one win in their four matches played and exiting in the quarter-final.
Brazil’s World Cup qualifying began strongly with seven points from the first three matches before a disastrous three-game losing streak. Friday’s victory saw that streak finally put to an end, bringing the Brazilians to 10 points and eight off rivals Argentina at the top.
Brazil’s attacking woes have been well documented as they have now been held to a single goal or fewer in five of their last six qualifying matches. This was also a problem at the Copa America, where they failed to score twice in their four games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Paraguay v Brazil Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
|
|
5.75 | 2.5 | 1.85 |
|
|
6.62 | 3.95 | 1.57 |
|
|
6.62 | 3.95 | 1.57 |
|
|
8.75 | 3.9 | 1.44 |
|
|
8.3 | 4.14 | 1.44 |
|
|
8.3 | 4.14 | 1.44 |
|
|
6.6 | 3.9 | 1.53 |
|
|
6.85 | 4.04 | 1.51 |
|
|
7 | 4 | 1.49 |
|
|
8.2 | 4 | 1.51 |
|
|
7 | 4 | 1.48 |
|
|
8 | 4 | 1.5 |
|
|
7 | 3.7 | 1.44 |
|
|
8 | 4 | 1.5 |
|
|
7 | 3.7 | 1.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Paraguay and Brazil?
Our prediction for the Paraguay vs Brazil match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between Paraguay and Brazil in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 12.92% for a win of Paraguay against Brazil with odds of 8.75 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paraguay vs Brazil is 37.22% with odds of 4.14 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Brazil vs Paraguay with odds of 1.85 at Ladbrokes.
Paraguay - Brazil Prediction and Best Odds:
| Paraguay Brazil Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil wins | 49.85% | 1.85 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 60.89% | 2.13 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 40% | 2.4 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brazil | 25.29% | 4.1 at Unibet |
Paraguay vs Brazil Form
Paraguay and Brazil's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
|
6
|
17 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Paraguay and Brazil Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
27 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Paraguay vs Brazil Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
25 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
1 Feb 2022 - World Cup
8 Jun 2021 - World Cup
27 Jun 2019 - Copa America
Players list
O. Alderete
F. Balbuena
J. Alonso
R. Fernandez
J. Caceres
MidfielderD. Bobadilla
M. Villasanti
D. Gomez
M. Almiron
ForwardI. Pitta
J. Enciso
Alisson
DefenderG. Magalhaes
Danilo
Marquinhos
G. Arana
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
L. Paqueta
Andre
ForwardV. Junior
Rodrygo
Endrick
Substitutes
J. Espinola
C. Coronel
DefenderG. Velazquez
B. Riveros
MidfielderA. Campuzano
A. Romero Gamarra
H. Cuenca
M. Gamarra
ForwardA. Bareiro
A. Arce
A. Sanabria
R. Sosa
Ederson
Bento
DefenderBeraldo
Wendell
F. Bruno
MidfielderJ. Gomes
L. Moura
Gerson
Willian
ForwardEstevao
J. Pedro
Luiz Henrique
Most goals and assists
Paraguay
Brazil
A. Sanabria
(4 Goals)
Raphinha
(4 Goals)
Paraguay - Brazil Key Points
- There have been under 2.5 goals in all seven of Paraguay’s World Cup qualifying matches.
- The hosts have scored only a single goal in their seven games, while conceding only three.
- Brazil have seen under 2.5 goals scored in five of their seven World Cup qualifying matches.
- Paraguay matches see the lowest total average goals in the region at only 0.57 while Brazil comes in at 2.29.
- Only once in their last 10 competitive fixtures has Brazil managed to score two or more goals.
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Our Paraguay vs Brazil Prediction
These two teams recently faced off in the Copa America group stage where Brazil would claim their only victory of the competition in a 4-1 win. It also marked the only competitive match in which Brazil has scored multiple goals since September of 2023.
Paraguay should take confidence from their goalless draw with Uruguay. They’re certainly not afraid to grind with teams as we’ve seen with their multitude of 1-0 and 0-0 type results in this qualifying campaign. With Brazil seemingly not quite right offensively, another low-scoring match could be on the cards. Our Paraguay vs Brazil prediction: under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Paraguay Brazil
| Paraguay vs Brazil | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay wins | 6 | 7 | +16.7% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.9 | +4.0% |
| Brazil wins | 1.6 | 1.5 | -6.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brazil is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 66.7% (4.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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