Paraguay vs Brazil Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Steve Ashfield in Copa America Predictions
Brazil take on Paraguay in the second of their matches in Group D of the 2024 Copa America tournament.
The Brazilians will want to get their first win of the group. They opened their campaign with a goalless draw against Costa Rica. They will hope that the goals can start to flow in this second group game. That draw has left them second in the group, two points behind leaders Colombia who Brazil face in their final match.
Paraguay are already struggling to make an impression on this group. Their opening fixture resulted in a 2-1 loss to Colombia but they could yet qualify for the knockout stages.
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The Best Betting Odds for Paraguay v Brazil Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11 | 5.25 | 1.3 |
|
|
7.5 | 3 | 1.55 |
|
|
8.25 | 4.4 | 1.3 |
|
|
71 | 21 | 1.02 |
|
|
71 | 21 | 1.02 |
|
|
11.5 | 5 | 1.32 |
|
|
9.6 | 5.1 | 1.33 |
|
|
100 | 21 | 1.01 |
|
|
9.4 | 5.1 | 1.33 |
|
|
7.6 | 4.7 | 1.32 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Paraguay and Brazil?
Our prediction for the Paraguay vs Brazil match is: Brazil to lead at both half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/28/24 between Paraguay and Brazil in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.27% for a win of Paraguay against Brazil with odds of 100 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paraguay vs Brazil is 27.97% with odds of 21 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Brazil vs Paraguay with odds of 1.55 at Ladbrokes.
Paraguay - Brazil Prediction and Best Odds:
| Paraguay Brazil Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil wins | 42.75% | 1.55 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 67.33% | 2.09 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 29.17% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brazil | 22.21% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Paraguay vs Brazil Form
Paraguay and Brazil's standings in the Copa America
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
Paraguay and Brazil Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Paraguay against Brazil : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2022 - World Cup
8 Jun 2021 - World Cup
27 Jun 2019 - Copa America
Paraguay - Brazil: Form Analysis
Brazil bid to get off the mark in this year's Copa America tournament. Their opening game in Group D was against Costa Rica and they definitely expected more than drawing that match 0-0. They are on the back foot now and trailing group leaders Colombia by a couple of points.
They play the Colombians in their final fixture so still have a strong chance of finishing top of this group.
It will be a concern to them though that they have now drawn three of their last four matches. Other stalemates came in a 3-3 draw with Spain and most recently, a 1-1 result against the USA, who they could meet in the next round.
The Green-Yellow are on a good unbeaten run
The Green-Yellow are on a good unbeaten run They have gone five matches without a defeat and that includes beating England 1-0 at Wembley in March. A 3-2 win over Mexico was also earned earlier this month.
It's an improvement in form though as the Little Canary had gone four games without a win in their World Cup qualifying group. They're only sixth in the South American qualifying group so have some work to do after hopefully being sucessful in this tournament.
Paraguay are bottom of the group after losing their opening group fixture. They conceded two first half goals against Colombia on Monday. A goal was pulled back in the second half but they just couldn't get an equalizer.
Now they take on Brazil with a final fixture against Costa Rica to follow. The pressure will be on them to get some points on the board, if not here definitely against Costa Rica.
They are also struggling in their World Cup qualifying group, currently being seventh in the table. The White and Red have only won one of their last six internationals, a 1-0 win over Panama earlier this month.
Scoring goals is not their strong point. They have managed only three in their last ten matches and haven't scored twice in a game in the past year.
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Paraguay against Brazil Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Gomez
Ederson
Paraguay & Brazil Squad Analysis
Douglas Luiz didn't play for Brazil in their opening group match. That was the first match he hadn't been selected for since last October. It's possible after a goalless draw he may make his return here.
Eder Militao was chosen to be the centre-back against Costa Rica. With a clean sheet being kept, it's likely he will again edge out Lucas Beraldo.
Could players be saved for the final Paraguay game?
Paraguay have worries over Andres Cubas and Gustavo Velazquez. Both were booked in their 2-1 loss to Colombia. With the possibility of suspension and them missing the more winnable game against Costa Rica, it'll be interesting to see if they play against Brazil. Could players be saved for the final Paraguay game?
Goalkeeper Rodrigo Morinigo made his debut against Colombia. Despite conceding twice he is looking like playing again in this match.
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Paraguay - Brazil Key Points
- Brazil are unbeaten in their last five matches.
- Paraguay have only won one of their last six internationals.
- Paraguay have only scored three goals in their last ten matches.
- Brazil have won their last four games against Paraguay.
- Paraguay failed to score in any of those four defeats.
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Our Paraguay vs Brazil Prediction
Brazil can get back into winning ways when they take on Paraguay.
Three of their last five games have ended in draws, including their opening group match against Costa RIca. They are unbeaten in their last five matches and should be able to make it six.
Form against Paraguay is good with the last four games being won and all with clean sheets.
Paraguay are bottom of the group and struggling for wins and goals. They may well feel that saving themselves for their final game against Costa Rica is a good idea, there's more chance of winning that.
Our Paraguay v Brazil main prediction is for Brazil to lead at both half and full time.
Paraguay vs Brazil - Other Interesting Predictions
Brazil to win to nil
The last four times that Brazil have played Paraguay, they have won to nil. Nine goals have been scored in the process.
Paraguay struggle to score goals against all opposition. Only three goals have been scored in their last ten matches, failing to score in seven of them.
Six of Paraguay's last eight losses have seen them fail to score a goal.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Paraguay Brazil
| Paraguay vs Brazil | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay wins | 9 | 11 | +22.2% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 5.25 | +10.5% |
| Brazil wins | 1.33 | 1.3 | -2.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brazil is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 76.9% (1.7%)
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Paraguay vs Brazil match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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