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Paraguay vs Argentina Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King | in World Cup Predictions
We’re up to the 11th of 18 fixtures in South America’s notorious CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying region as Paraguay hosts world champions Argentina. Paraguay are holding onto the final automatic qualification spot in sixth while the Argentines sit atop the table. Let’s take a deeper look and offer a few predictions for this match between La Albirroja and La Albiceleste.
After earning just five points from the first six qualifying matches, Paraguay have stormed back into the reckoning with eight points from their last four. They now hold a slim one-point lead over seventh-place Bolivia and a two-point lead over eighth-placed Venezuela.
Argentina have been cruising along in this 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign and, while they haven’t yet officially qualified, Lionel Scaloni’s men are almost assured a spot. With 22 points from 10 matches, Argentina currently hold a three-point lead over second-place Colombia. Can the defending champions take one step closer to officially booking their ticket or will a stingy Paraguay side frustrate them on their home turf?
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The Best Betting Odds for Paraguay v Argentina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5 | 3.1 | 1.91 |
|
|
5 | 2.3 | 2.05 |
|
|
5.71 | 3.6 | 1.78 |
|
|
5.71 | 3.6 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.2 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.9 | 3.2 | 1.83 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.46 | 1.72 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.55 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.1 | 1.85 |
|
|
5.4 | 3.4 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.75 | 2.9 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.9 | 3.1 | 1.91 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.3 | 1.67 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.17 | 1.89 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Paraguay and Argentina?
Our prediction for the Paraguay vs Argentina match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/11/2024 between Paraguay and Argentina in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.69% for a win of Paraguay against Argentina with odds of 5.71 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paraguay vs Argentina is 24.2% with odds of 3.6 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Argentina vs Paraguay with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
Paraguay - Argentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Paraguay Argentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 52.11% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 66.41% | 1.91 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 36.46% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Argentina/Argentina | 23.98% | 3.1 at Bet365 |
Paraguay vs Argentina Form
Paraguay and Argentina's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
25 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
|
6
|
17 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Paraguay and Argentina Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
14 Jul 2024 - Copa America
9 Jul 2024 - Copa America
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
14 Jul 2024 - Copa America
9 Jul 2024 - Copa America
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
14 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
Paraguay vs Argentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
7 Oct 2021 - World Cup
21 Jun 2021 - Copa America
12 Nov 2020 - World Cup
Paraguay - Argentina: Form Analysis
Paraguay will come into Thursday’s match full of confidence. Their two fixtures in October saw them draw 0-0 away against Ecuador which was followed up by a potentially pivotal 2-1 home victory over Venezuela.
The result was Paraguay leapfrogging La Vinotinto into an automatic qualification position as they seek to advance to the World Cup for the first time since 2010. They have momentum on their side as the hosts look to extend their unbeaten run to five matches.
Paraguay have been particularly tough on home soil with three wins and a draw in their five matches.
Argentina will be fresh off of a 6-0 dismantling of Bolivia, marking the team’s largest margin of victory in a competitive fixture since 2006. The result also ended a rare two-match winless run after the side lost to Colombia in September and drew 1-1 with Venezuela in October.
The visitors’ six-goal salvo in their previous outing also has them as the top-scoring side in the table with 19 total. Their eternal rivals Brazil are the next closest with 15.
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Players list
Gatito Fernandez
DefenderJ. Alonso
O. Alderete
G. Velazquez
G. Gomez
MidfielderM. Villasanti
A. Romero Gamarra
A. Romero
A. Cubas
ForwardR. Sosa
I. Pitta
E. Martinez
DefenderN. Tagliafico
L. Balerdi
N. Otamendi
G. Montiel
MidfielderR. De Paul
A. Garnacho
L. Paredes
ForwardL. Messi
L. Martinez
T. Castellanos
Substitutes
J. Espinola
C. Coronel
DefenderC. Olmedo
F. Balbuena
S. Arzamendia
MidfielderM. Villasanti
A. Romero Gamarra
M. Galarza
ForwardI. Pitta
R. Sosa
A. Romero
A. Arce
W. Benitez
G. Rulli
DefenderL. Balerdi
G. Montiel
F. Medina
MidfielderN. Paz
L. Paredes
T. Almada
G. Lo Celso
E. Palacios
ForwardT. Castellanos
A. Garnacho
Paraguay & Argentina Squad Analysis
Paraguay manager Gustavo Alfaro has no new injury concerns to the squad that he has called up for the two November fixtures.
An expected change in the starting 11 over the team that lined up against Venezuela last month will likely be striker Antonio Sanabria. The 28-year-old scored a brace in that match after coming on as a substitute at halftime.
With Sanabria having started eight of his nine matches played at club level for Torino this season, he’ll likely be leading the line for his national team on Thursday.
Lionel Messi scored his 10th international hat trick in his last appearance for La Albiceleste!
The Inter Miami star will link up with his national team once again following his club team’s elimination from the MLS Cup Playoffs.
The only injury concern in the Argentina camp was that of midfielder Giovani Lo Celso. However, the Real Betis player has reportedly recovered from his hamstring problem and should be available for selection.
The only other surefire change to the team that blasted Bolivia will be goalkeeper Dibu Martinez, who is back after serving his suspension.
Most goals and assists
Paraguay
Argentina
A. Sanabria
(4 Goals)
L. Messi
(6 Goals)
Paraguay - Argentina Key Points
- Nine of Paraguay's 10 qualifying matches have finished with under 2.5 goals.
- Paraguay have seen a total of only eight goals (four scored, four conceded) in qualifying.
- Away from home in this competition, Argentina's matches see an average of just 2.20 goals.
- The last seven straight games between these two nations have finished with under 2.5 goals.
- Argentina have kept seven clean sheets in their 10 matches and have conceded just five goals.
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Our Paraguay vs Argentina Prediction
Two of the top defenses in the 2026 CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying region face off in Asunción on Thursday. Paraguay’s campaign has been defined by the gritty way they approach their fixtures as they attempt to grind out points. It’s been successful so far and Paraguay can not be taken lightly on their home patch.
Argentina are no slouches on the defensive end either five only five goals conceded so far. We’re likely in store for another low-scoring contest here, as has often been the case when these two teams meet. Our Paraguay vs Argentina prediction: under 2.5 goals.
Paraguay vs Argentina - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score: No
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Paraguay Argentina
| Paraguay vs Argentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay wins | 4.8 | 4.6 | -4.2% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.2 | -8.6% |
| Argentina wins | 1.69 | 1.88 | +11.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Argentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.2% and is now 53.2% (-6.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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