Panama vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Joseph King in Copa America Predictions
The United States can secure qualification to the quarter-finals when they clash with Panama in the Copa America on Thursday!
This Group C, matchday two meeting sees two familiar CONCACAF foes facing off. The USA are second in the group with three points after winning their opening match against Bolivia while Panama’s defeat to Uruguay has them third.
Panama face a tough task against the host nation and will be eliminated from the tournament should they fail to avoid defeat. The United States, meanwhile, would love to wrap up a top two spot before their final group stage match against in-form Uruguay.
Can this youthful USMNT make it two wins from two or will they be stopped by a Panama side that has given them trouble in the recent past?
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The Best Betting Odds for Panama v USA Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.06 | 10 | 201 |
|
|
6.5 | 2.87 | 1.61 |
|
|
6.75 | 4.1 | 1.37 |
|
|
1.02 | 16 | 151 |
|
|
1.02 | 16 | 151 |
|
|
7.4 | 4.4 | 1.45 |
|
|
1.08 | 7.75 | 100 |
|
|
8.3 | 4.74 | 1.38 |
|
|
7.4 | 4.4 | 1.36 |
|
|
9.5 | 4.8 | 1.38 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Panama and USA?
Our prediction for the Panama vs USA match is: United States to win and under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/27/24 between Panama and USA in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.68% for a win of Panama against USA with odds of 9.5 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Panama vs USA is 9.62% with odds of 16 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.69% chance ⭐ for a win of USA vs Panama with odds of 201 at Bet365.
Panama - USA Prediction and Best Odds:
| Panama USA Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| USA wins | 52.69% | 201 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.96% | 3.8 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 42.92% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: USA/USA | 23% | 2 at Bet365 |
Panama vs USA Form
Panama and USA's standings in the Copa America
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
|
3
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Panama and USA Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
29 May 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
20 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
Panama against USA : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
27 Mar 2022 - World Cup
10 Oct 2021 - World Cup
16 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies
26 Jun 2019 - Gold Cup 2011
27 Jan 2019 - International Friendlies
Panama - USA: Form Analysis
The United States kicked off their Copa America campaign by cruising to a 2-0 victory over Bolivia. They arguably should have scored one or two more, if not for a tight offside call and Ricardo Pepi inexplicably missing two clear cut opportunities right in front of goal.
However, fans and the players should be pleased with their performance as they are now well-poised to qualify for the quarter-final with a top two group finish.
The win ends a run of two straight matches without a victory for the Stars and Stripes. Their two warm-up friendlies prior to the start of this tournament didn’t quite go as planned, with a heavy 5-1 defeat to Colombia followed up by a fortunate 1-1 draw with Brazil. They’ll now meet a familiar foe in fellow CONCACAF side Panama.
It was Los Canaleros who knocked the USA out of the Gold Cup in the semi-final back in July of 2023.
That should result in an extra bit of incentive for the United States as they can get revenge and eliminate Panama from the 2024 Copa America with a win.
As for the Panaminians, they suffered a 3-1 defeat to Uruguay in their opening fixture. They weren’t expected to get anything from that match, so the players shouldn’t be too disheartened.
They were able to keep the match within striking distance for 85 minutes until Uruguay scored their second goal.
The defeat ended a two-match winning run for Panama, although those two victories were against teams ranked 176th and 153rd in Montserrat and Guyana, respectively. In the last year, Panama have managed just a single victory against teams ranked inside the top 50 (4-0 vs Qatar in July 2023).
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Panama against USA Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Rodriguez
A. Carrasquilla
M. Turner
ForwardT. Weah
Panama & USA Squad Analysis
Only two players in the United States starting 11 against Bolivia were over the age of 30, those being Fulham’s Tim Ream (36) and Nottingham Forest’s Matt Turner (30).
Their youthful hunger was on full display as they came flying out of the gates to score after just three minutes of play.
Captain Christian Pulisic opened the scoring and will once again take up his spot on the left wing.
Manager Gregg Berhalter will likely be hesitant to tinker with the team that showed plenty of promise against Bolivia.
Milan midfielder Yunus Musah will be pushing for a start after coming on for Tyler Adams at halftime in the previous outing. Monaco forward Folarin Balogun will once again lead the line for the Americans with Timothy Weah on the right, completing the front three of the 4-3-3 formation.
Likewise with Panama, we don’t expect manager Thomas Christiansen to make too many changes. The Danish-born Spanaird could opt for a similar 5-4-1 formation to the one that faced Uruguay with aim being to frustrate the United States' talented attacking corps.
Houston Dynamo midfielder Adalberto Carrasquilla is the one to watch as his performance will be crucial if Panama are to get a result.
Panama - USA Key Points
- Despite losing 3-1, Panama were able to hold Uruguay to a 1-0 scoreline for 85 minutes in their last game.
- The last meeting between these two sides saw a total of only two goals scored.
- Panama are giving up only 0.87 goals per average in their last 16 matches against CONCACAF opposition.
- The United States are 9-4-1 in their last 14 meetings with CONCACAF opponents.
- The last four consecutive wins for the USA have been accompanied by under 3.5 goals.
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Our Panama vs USA Prediction
The United States have a great opportunity to book their spot in the quarter-finals ahead of their final group stage match against Uruguay. They should be full of confidence after a dominant performance against Bolivia saw them create 2.51 expected goals (xG) while allowing their opponents just 0.18 xG.
Panama should prove a more difficult side to break down, as they were able to show for 85 minutes against the Uruguayans last Sunday. However, there is enough quality in this USA team where they should be able to find the net. A 1-0 or 2-0 victory for the Americans look to be the most likely outcomes here.
Our Panama vs USA prediction is for the United States to win and under 3.5 goals.
Panama vs USA - Other Interesting Predictions
USA half time/full time
USA to win to nil
Panama will try to frustrate the United States with 11 men behind the ball when the Americans are in possession. This should lead to long spells without the ball as well as central striker Jose Fajardo being isolated. If the USA can limit Panama’s counterattacks and remain solid on set pieces, they should be able to earn a second straight clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Panama USA
| Panama vs USA | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panama wins | 7 | 1.06 | -84.9% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 10 | +130.9% |
| USA wins | 1.44 | 201 | +13,858.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- USA is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13,858.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 0.5% (-68.9%)
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Panama vs USA match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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