International - CONCACAF Nations League
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Panama vs Mexico Prediction & Betting Tips - CONCACAF Nations League
by Devesh Jaganath in Football Predictions
The second semi-final of the CONCACAF Nations League will see Panama taking on Mexico at the AT&T Stadium on Friday. The hosts are ranked 44th according to FIFA World Rankings, while the visitors are 15th. Panama have been in impressive form throughout the tournament and are still unbeaten up to this point. In the group stage, they scored nine goals while conceding just two in four matches to top their group ahead of Trinidad and Tobago in second place. Thereafter, Los Canaleros convincingly defeated Costa Rica 6-1 on aggregate in the quarter-finals to book their spot in the final four. They will now face the only side that has got the better of them since June 2023, which came in a 1-0 loss in the CONCACAF Gold Cup final. Panama are riding a four-match winning streak and are unbeaten in their last seven. However, they are still the bookmakers underdog in this encounter.
Meanwhile, Mexico received direct entry to the quarter-final stage based on their CONCACAF ranking, where they currently hold the top position with 1,909 points, leading by 73 points over second-place USA. In the last eight, El Tricolor drew 2-2 on aggregate with Honduras over two legs before punching their ticket to the semi-finals on penalties. In recent times, Mexico have been in mixed form, with a record of two wins, two draws and two losses. Their last match ended in a 3-2 defeat to Colombia in a friendly back in December. Panama and Mexico have faced each other 42 times throughout their histories. Mexico holds a significantly superior record in the fixture, boasting 25 victories compared to Panama's five. El Tricolor are unbeaten in their last five against Los Canaleros (W4 D1 L0) and are the out-and-out favourites in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Panama v Mexico Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.33 | 3.4 | 1.85 |
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4 | 3.1 | 1.83 |
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5 | 3.45 | 1.61 |
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4.35 | 3.38 | 1.9 |
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4.35 | 3.38 | 1.9 |
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4.56 | 3.44 | 1.84 |
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4.56 | 3.44 | 1.84 |
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4.5 | 3.35 | 1.8 |
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4.68 | 3.44 | 1.82 |
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4.6 | 3.3 | 1.73 |
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4.2 | 3.25 | 1.8 |
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5 | 3.5 | 1.77 |
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4.2 | 3.3 | 1.8 |
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5 | 3.4 | 1.75 |
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5 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
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|
4.33 | 3.25 | 1.88 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Panama and Mexico?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2024 between Panama and Mexico in CONCACAF Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.83% for a win of Panama against Mexico with odds of 5 at NetBet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Panama vs Mexico is 20.92% with odds of 3.5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Mexico vs Panama with odds of 1.9 at 1xbet.
Panama - Mexico Prediction and Best Odds:
| Panama Mexico Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 40.25% | 1.9 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.69% | 2.39 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 35.83% | 2.18 at Unibet |
| Half-time : Panama / Full-time : Mexico | 16.38% | 36 at Betsson |
Panama vs Mexico Form
Panama and Mexico Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
16 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
17 Oct 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
13 Oct 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
10 Sep 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
7 Sep 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
17 Oct 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
7 Sep 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
8 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
4 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
18 Jun 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
13 Oct 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
10 Sep 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
16 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
12 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
30 Jun 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
17 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
16 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
12 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
8 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
16 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
8 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
2 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
25 Jun 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
12 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
29 Jun 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
18 Jun 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
15 Jun 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
23 Mar 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
Panama vs Mexico Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
25 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
18 Jun 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
2 Feb 2022 - World Cup
8 Sep 2021 - World Cup
Players list
O. Mosquera
DefenderJ. Cordoba
F. Escobar
A. Andrade
C. Blackman
MidfielderJ. Rodriguez
E. Barcenas
A. Carrasquilla
A. Godoy
ForwardJ. Fajardo
I. Diaz
G. Ochoa
DefenderJ. Gallardo
J. Vasquez
C. Montes
J. Araujo
MidfielderE. Sanchez
E. Alvarez
L. Chavez
ForwardH. Martin
J. Quinones
U. Antuna
Substitutes
E. Roberts
C. Samudio
DefenderE. Davis
R. Miller
J. Ramos
I. Anderson
K. Lenis
MidfielderA. Quintero
C. Martinez
A. Ayarza
ForwardC. Waterman
A. Stephens
L. Malagon
J. Gonzalez
DefenderJ. Orozco
G. Arteaga
MidfielderR. Alvarado
C. Rodriguez
O. Pineda
L. Romo
E. Aguirre
ForwardS. Gimenez
H. Lozano
Missing players
A. Murillo
Panama - Mexico Key Points
- Each of the last four games between these sides have ended with under 2.5 goals
- Panama have kept three clean sheets in six matches in this competition
- Panama have not conceded more than one goal in any match in this competition
- Three of Mexico’s last five matches have ended with under 2.5 goals
- Mexico have kept four clean sheets in their last five competitive matches
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Our Panama vs Mexico Prediction
While Mexico have let in a fair few goals in recent times, they tend to perform much better in competitive matches, as illustrated by their four clean sheets in their last five matches. In addition, matches between these sides tend to be very evenly contested with each of the last three being decided by a single goal. We are expecting another close encounter here and feel that this one will end with fewer than three goals. Our Panama vs Mexico prediction: Under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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