England - Championship
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Oxford United vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Kennedy Kechula in Championship Predictions
Two newly promoted sides, Oxford United and Derby County will face off in the 11th round of the Championship. Going into this midweek clash at The Kassam Stadium, the two teams are tied on 13 points. Goal difference gives The U’s an advantage over The Rams. Here’s a look at the stats and a prediction for the match.
The past few weeks haven't gone to plan at Oxford United; they are coming from four straight draws. The 1-1 draw with West Bromwich Albion on Saturday marked the third straight time they came from behind to draw. It was also their fifth straight winless outing.
Derby County also drew their last match, letting a slim lead slip on Saturday to end it 1-1 against Millwall.
Four points from their last two matches is a marked improvement, having earlier lost three straight matches. Their only win in the last five matches was a 2-0 victory against Queens Park Rangers, the team’s fifth clean sheet in 10.
There’s, however, a clear need to improve on their away form. Derby County haven't won any of their six away matches this season in all competitions. They can bank on their form in this fixture, having won four of the last five meetings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Oxford United v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.37 | 3 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.3 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.41 | 3.42 | 2.89 |
|
|
2.41 | 3.42 | 2.89 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.34 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.2 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.34 | 2.66 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.2 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.31 | 2.82 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Oxford United and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Oxford United vs Derby County match is: Game to end in a draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/10/2024 between Oxford United and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.1% for a win of Oxford United against Derby County with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Oxford United vs Derby County is 29.09% with odds of 3.42 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Oxford United with odds of 3 at Ladbrokes.
Oxford United - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Oxford United Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford United wins | 49.1% | 2.75 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 60.41% | 1.97 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Oxford United | 23.26% | 6.5 at Betsson |
Oxford United vs Derby County Form
Oxford United and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
24 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -1 |
|
23
|
18 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -16 |
Oxford United and Derby County Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
16 Aug 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
9 Aug 2024 - Championship
Oxford United vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
29 Dec 2023 - League One
Oxford United against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Oxford United
Derby County
D. Scarlett
(4 Goals)
, 
M. Harris
(4 Goals)
,
T. Goodhram
(4 Goals)
J. Yates
(4 Goals)
,
K. Jackson
(4 Goals)
R. Rodrigues
(2 Assists)
,
C. Brannagan
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Brown
(2 Assists)
, 
I. El Mizouni
(2 Assists)
,
E. Moore
(2 Assists)
N. Mendez Laing
(3 Assists)
Oxford United - Derby County Key Points
- Oxford United drew each of their last four matches.
- Derby County have one win in the last five matches.
- In the last 10 matches, Oxford United managed just two wins.
- Two of Derby County’s last four away matches ended in draws.
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Our Oxford United vs Derby County Prediction
The last three meetings between these teams went in favor of the team playing away from home. Derby County, who have dominated recent meetings, will be looking at that stat hoping it can extend to this match.
The two teams competing here haven't won a lot of their matches, thus picking out a favorite isn’t easy. Oxford won twice in their last 10 matches and Derby have one win in five.
As both are still trying to adapt to the Championship, shared spoils look likely. Our prediction for Oxford United v Derby County is for the game to end in a draw.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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