South Africa - Premier Soccer League
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by Thobelani Moyo in Premier Soccer League Predictions
Orlando Pirates are set to play hosts to Mamelodi Sundowns at Orlando Stadium on matchday 23 in the Betway Premiership. It has been eight years of dominance from Mamelodi Sundowns in the Betway Premiership who have become accustomed to lifting the league trophy. Is this their year of dominance again? Here's our match prediction.
Orlando Pirates have picked up 40 points from 18 league games and are second in the league standings. Fortunately for them, they have four games at hand and if victorious in all encounters could see the point gap between them and first-placed Mamelodi Sundowns cut to seven points.
At 58 points, Mamelodi Sundowns currently lead atop the league standings with an 18-point cushion. Their success this season can be attributed to their potent offense which has seen them score a whopping 50 goals. Can we expect a high-scoring affair from them here? Let's head into the stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Orlando Pirates v Mamelodi Sundowns Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.75 | 2.88 | 2.5 |
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|
2.8 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.1 | 2.53 |
|
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2.84 | 3.1 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our prediction for the Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns match is: Mamelodi Sundowns draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/03/2025 between Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns in Premier Soccer League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.03% for a win of Orlando Pirates against Mamelodi Sundowns with odds of 3.21 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns is 18.95% with odds of 3.1 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates with odds of 2.7 at Betobet.
Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction and Best Odds:
| Orlando Pirates Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates wins | 45.03% | 3.21 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.94% | 2.38 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Orlando Pirates/Orlando Pirates | 17.41% | 4.8 at Ladbrokes |
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns Form
Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns's standings in the Premier Soccer League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
58 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 37 |
|
2
|
46 | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 18 |
Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
8 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
5 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
1 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
15 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
15 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
12 Jan 2025 - CAF Champions League
4 Jan 2025 - CAF Champions League
24 Dec 2024 - Premier Soccer League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
8 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
5 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
1 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
8 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
5 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
5 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
1 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
1 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
16 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
8 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
2 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2025 - Premier Soccer League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
11 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
5 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
22 Jan 2025 - Premier Soccer League
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Feb 2025 - Premier Soccer League
1 Jun 2024 - FA Cup
17 Feb 2024 - Premier Soccer League
7 Oct 2023 - MTN 8
20 Sep 2023 - Premier Soccer League
17 Dec 2021 - Premier Soccer League
Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns: Form Analysis
Orlando Pirates' struggle in front of goal was evident in their away match against ten-man Stellenbosch as they settled for a point in a goalless draw. This result extended their unbeaten run in the league to two games (W1).
The Sea Robbers' have been hard to beat at home in their recent matches. They are currently riding a three-match winning streak and have scored a whopping 11 goals.
However, their display at home against Mamelodi Sundowns has left much to be desired. They have lost four consecutive matches at Orlando Stadium and failed to score on all occasions.
Orlando Pirates are searching for their first league win against Mamelodi Sundows since 2020.
Mamelodi Sundowns, on the other hand, are enjoying a solid run of form in the Betway Premiership. Last time out, they cruised past the threat of AmaZulu in a comfortable 2-0 home victory.
That result extended Masandawana's unbeaten run in the league to six games (W5, D1). Away from home, they are unbeaten in three league games recording two wins and a solitary draw.
In their previous meeting against Orlando Pirates, Miguel Cardoso's men won 4-1 at home and will aim for a similar outcome, this time, away from home.
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Players list
S. Chaine
DefenderMbokazi
N. Sibisi
T. Xoki
MidfielderP. Mako
M. Makhaula
G. Mosele
ForwardM. Nkota
D. Van Rooyen
B. Shandu
B. Radiopane
R. Williams
DefenderK. Mudau
T. Morena
A. Modiba
G. Kekana
MidfielderT. Mokoena
T. Matthews
M. Allende
ForwardArthur Sales
N. Maema
L. Ribeiro
Substitutes
M. Buthelezi
DefenderS. Frances Maela
P. Mako
N. Ndlondlo
G. Mosele
B. Shandu
T. Mabasa
M. Nkota
B. Radiopane
D. Onyango
DefenderM. Khoza
T. Morena
D. Lunga
MidfielderB. Aubaas
N. Maema
Arthur Sales
T. Matthews
K. Lethlaku
Orlando Pirates & Mamelodi Sundowns Squad Analysis
Orlando Pirates saw the return of Nkosinathi Sibisi back from Suspension, while Goodman Mosele also featured.
Head coach Jose Riveiro will stick to a 4-2-3-1 formation for this matchup. However, he will be forced to make changes from the starting line-up that played against Stellenbosch. That means we could see Thalente Mbatha return to the starting XI this Sunday.
The 25-year-old midfielder will have to be cautious at all costs as he sits at three yellow cards this season and is one booking away from suspension.
Orlando Pirates top goal scorer Tshegofatso Mabasa will lead the attack.
The visitors have finally welcomed the return of their highly esteemed first-choice goalkeeper Ronwen Williams. Williams was in front of goal in Mamelodi Sundowns' 2-0 win over AmaZulu and is expected to play another important role this Sunday.
Head coach Miguel Cardoso sacrificed Divine Lunga for Arthur Sales in the AmaZulu match. The 22-year-old forward changed the game on his head by scoring the winning goal 41 minutes after his introduction. He is expected to feature once again as a substitute.
Most goals and assists
Orlando Pirates
Mamelodi Sundowns
T. Mabasa
(5 Goals)
L. Ribeiro
(13 Goals)
Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns Key Points
- Orlando Pirates have won just two of their last three matches in the Betway Premiership.
- Mamelodi Sundowns have won seven of their last nine away league games.
- Orlando Pirates have won two of their last eight matches against Mamelodi Sundowns across all competitions.
- Mamelodi Sundowns have lost just one of their last seven away matches against Orlando Pirates.
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Our Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction
March has been a good month for Orlando Pirates who suffered just one defeat in three league games. The hosts will hope this solid run of form will be enough to prevent them from losing in this one.
Mamelodi Sundowns, on the other hand, have been in exceptional form but won't underestimate their opponents. However, we do expect them to present a tough challenge in this match leading us to believe they'll be happy with a point. Our Orlando Pirates v Mamelodi Sundowns prediction is for Mamelodi Sundowns draw no bet.
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Orlando Pirates Mamelodi Sundowns
| Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates wins | 2.5 | 2.75 | +10.0% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 2.88 | -7.1% |
| Mamelodi Sundowns wins | 2.63 | 2.5 | -4.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Orlando Pirates is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 36.4% (-3.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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