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Norway vs Slovenia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Ian John in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Nations League action returns to Oslo this week as Norway host Slovenia in a match from Group B3. The visitors lead the group under head coach Matjaz Kek, while the home team Drillos will be hoping Erling Haaland can fire them to victory. Check out our prediction for this crucial Nations League match!
Norway sit second in Group B3 on goal difference behind their opponents. Consistency has been their big issue with four wins, three draws and three losses in their last ten games. Manager Stale Solbakken will be hoping to get more from his team, and his key players in this important fixture.
They started their Nations League campaign with a 0-0 draw away to Kazakhstan, another unimpressive result. However, they were much better in their second game, a 2-1 home win over Austria, where Haaland’s 80th-minute strike handed the Norwegians a vital win.
Excluding losses via penalties, Slovenia are on a long run of games without a defeat. They have gone 12 games without a loss, drawing seven of those games (losing one on penalties), winning five. That includes a 1-1 draw at home with Austria in their opening Nations League match and then a 3-0 home win over Kazakhstan in their second game in the group.
Matjaz Kek’s team are certainly hard to beat but their record against Norway isn’t that impressive, winning just two of the eleven games played against Norway. However, they did win the most recent contest, another Nations League clash in September 2022, beating their opponents 2-1 in Ljubljana.
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The Best Betting Odds for Norway v Slovenia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 3.5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.9 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.27 | 5.76 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.27 | 5.76 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.7 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.7 | 5.45 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.7 | 5.45 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.65 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.06 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.63 | 4 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.68 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.4 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.65 | 6 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.75 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.6 | 5.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Norway and Slovenia?
Our prediction for the Norway vs Slovenia match is: Erling Haaland (Norway) to score at any time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2024 between Norway and Slovenia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.58% for a win of Norway against Slovenia with odds of 1.68 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norway vs Slovenia is 36.38% with odds of 4.27 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Slovenia vs Norway with odds of 6.2 at Vbet.
Norway - Slovenia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Norway Slovenia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36.38% | 4.27 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 57.84% | 2.01 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 18.17% | 5.25 at Ladbrokes |
Norway vs Slovenia Form
Norway and Slovenia's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
|
3
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
Norway and Slovenia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
28 Mar 2023 - Euro
25 Mar 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
Norway vs Slovenia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
50 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League
Norway against Slovenia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
Norway
Slovenia
E. Haaland
(7 Goals)
B. Sesko
(5 Goals)
A. Sorloth
(3 Assists)
E. Janza
(2 Assists)
Norway - Slovenia Key Points
- Haaland scored the winner in Norway's last game against Austria.
- The Manchester City striker also scored Norway's goal in their last game against Slovenia (a 2-1 loss).
- Haaland has scored 32 goals in 35 caps for Norway.
- Haaland is in exceptional form, averaging a goal a game for club and country this season.
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Our Norway vs Slovenia Prediction
Our prediction for Norway vs. Slovenia in the Nations League Group B3 is: Erling Haaland (Norway) to score at any time.
It's generally rare that we predict an anytime goalscorer as a primary option. However, Haaland's form, combined with the inconsistency of both teams competing in these games, does make it a less risky option than backing some results or score-based bets. The Man City striker has averaged a goal per game this season. He should continue that form here, too, on home soil.
Prediction :
Erling Haaland (Norway) to score at any time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Norway Slovenia
| Norway vs Slovenia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway wins | 1.53 | 1.65 | +7.8% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.5 | -10.3% |
| Slovenia wins | 6.5 | 5.75 | -11.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.6% and is now 28.6% (2.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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