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Northern Ireland vs Slovenia Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Joseph King in Euro Predictions
Matchday eight of 10 in the 2024 European Championship qualifiers sees fifth-placed Northern Ireland hosting leaders Slovenia for this Group H clash. Northern Ireland’s six points from seven matches means they can no longer qualify directly from the group with a top two finish. However, they do still retain a longshot chance of qualifying for the playoff. They’ll need to win their remaining matches and have a few other results go their way. Slovenia, meanwhile, are sitting pretty atop the standings with 16 points. They’re even on points with second-place Denmark and hold a four point lead over both Finland and Kazakhstan who are in third and fourth-place, respectively. With three matches remaining in the qualifying group, another win for Slovenia will all but guarantee their ticket to Germany.
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The Best Betting Odds for Northern Ireland v Slovenia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.15 | 2.95 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.07 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.07 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.24 | 3.14 | 2.34 |
|
|
3.24 | 3.14 | 2.34 |
|
|
3.15 | 2.75 | 2.41 |
|
|
3.4 | 3 | 2.34 |
|
|
3.34 | 3.2 | 2.34 |
|
|
3.26 | 3.05 | 2.5 |
|
|
3 | 3 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.05 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.1 | 2.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Northern Ireland and Slovenia?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2023 between Northern Ireland and Slovenia in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.78% for a win of Northern Ireland against Slovenia with odds of 3.52 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Northern Ireland vs Slovenia is 22.9% with odds of 3.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 56.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Slovenia vs Northern Ireland with odds of 2.5 at Vbet.
Northern Ireland - Slovenia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Northern Ireland Slovenia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Slovenia wins | 56.31% | 2.5 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.58 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Slovenia/Slovenia | 26.74% | 4 at Bet365 |
Northern Ireland vs Slovenia Form
Northern Ireland and Slovenia's standings in the Euro
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
22 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
|
5
|
9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -4 |
Northern Ireland and Slovenia Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
26 Mar 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
26 Mar 2023 - Euro
24 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
12 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
23 Mar 2023 - Euro
27 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
26 Mar 2023 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
26 Mar 2023 - Euro
20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
24 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
23 Mar 2023 - Euro
27 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
Northern Ireland vs Slovenia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
Northern Ireland - Slovenia: Form Analysis
Northern Ireland managed only their second victory of the qualifying campaign on Saturday with a 3-0 result at home over minnows San Marino. While a win is a win, fans might be disappointed that they weren’t able to boost their goal differential. This comes down to the Green and White Army creating seven clear cut scoring chances on 15 shots inside the opposition penalty area. The win put an end to Northern Ireland's spiraling form following five consecutive losses. During that time, Michael O’Neill’s men were shutout on four occasions and scored a total of only two goals in 450 minutes of football. Their only wins in this qualifying group have come against San Marino, with the reverse fixture ending in a 2-0 win. They lost all the remaining matches against the other group members.
Slovenia will come into this matchup knowing that they can essentially book their spot in the 2024 Euros with a win. The nation missed out on the previous five iterations of the tournament, last competing 23 years ago in Portugal 2000. Their last appearance at a major tournament was 13 years ago at the 2010 World Cup. Wonderkid Benjamin Sesko scored twice in the first 30 minutes of Slovenia’s most recent match against Finland to propel them to a 3-0 home win. The victory was the third in a row for Matjaz Kek’s side who are in fantastic form overall. They’ve racked up five wins, one draw and only one defeat in this qualifying group. Slovenia now has only a single defeat in their last 13 fixtures dating back to the Nations League in 2022.
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Northern Ireland against Slovenia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Northern Ireland & Slovenia Squad Analysis
Northern Ireland manager Michael O’Neill will be unable to call upon defender Paddy McNair after the Middlesbrough player picked up a third yellow card. Aside from that, Northern Ireland have no other concerns and should field a lineup similar to the one that faced San Marino. First-choice keeper Bailey Peacock-Farrell should come back into the starting 11 after Conor Hazard got the nod in the previous match. Jonny Evans will captain the squad following Alistair McCann’s withdrawal from the team due to injury.
Slovenia’s only concern would have been the head injury that Benjamin Sesko suffered against Finland. However, the 20-year-old was allowed to continue before eventually being subbed out in the second half. Sesko is expected to get the start here and will be partnered by Panathinaikos’ man Andraz Sporar who has three goals in five qualifying matches. Star keeper Jan Oblak will captain the side as he looks set to earn his 60th cap for his country.
Most goals and assists
Northern Ireland
Slovenia
D. Charles
(3 Goals)
B. Sesko
(5 Goals)
J. Lewis
(2 Assists)
A. Gnezda Cerin
(3 Assists)
,
A. Sporar
(3 Assists)
Northern Ireland - Slovenia Key Points
- The visitors have won their last three in a row and have lost only once in their last 13.
- The hosts have lost all of their qualifying matches against teams other than San Marino.
- Slovenia have scored a total of 11 goals in their last three outings alone.
- Northern Ireland have conceded in five of their seven qualifiers with their only clean sheets coming against San Marino.
- Slovenia have won two of their three away matches in qualifying and played fairly well in their only loss.
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Our Northern Ireland vs Slovenia Prediction
Slovenia scored at will against Northern Ireland in their first meeting but this will be a much sterner test in Belfast. However, the team should be encouraged given their away performances so far. Even in their 2-0 away loss to Finland, Slovenia played well enough to have gotten a result on another day. Northern Ireland, meanwhile, have looked hopeless against the legitimate teams in this group. They’ve lost to Denmark, Slovenia, Finland and Kazakhstan (twice) by a combined score of 8-2. With these two teams on very different trajectories, we like the in-form Slovenia to secure what would be a huge three points. Our Northern Ireland vs Slovenia prediction is for Slovenia to win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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