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Nigeria vs Rwanda Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
Group D at the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers will be decided on Sunday evening when Nigeria take on Rwanda at the Godswill Akpabio International Stadium in Uyo. The Super Eagles are top of the group standings, while the Wasps are in third place heading into the final match. Check out our prediction below.
For Nigeria, this match is a mere formality, as they have already booked their spot in the main draw, currently on 11 points, four clear of second-placed Benin. Rwanda, on the other hand, are right in the thick of the qualification race, two points behind second place, meaning they have to win here and also need Libya to beat the Cheetahs in the other match in the group to progress.
The hosts are the clear favourites here, but with qualification already guaranteed, they may consider rotation in this match, which could benefit the visitors, who will undoubtedly put out their best lineup. Let’s take a look at some of the odds and key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nigeria v Rwanda Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 2.6 | 6 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.99 | 7.16 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.99 | 7.16 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.3 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.37 | 4.74 | 9 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.5 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.48 | 3.6 | 7 |
|
|
1.3 | 4.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 3.6 | 8 |
|
|
1.45 | 4 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 4 | 9 |
|
|
1.5 | 4 | 7.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nigeria and Rwanda?
Our prediction for the Nigeria vs Rwanda match is: Under 2.5 goals!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/11/2024 between Nigeria and Rwanda in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.56% for a win of Nigeria against Rwanda with odds of 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nigeria vs Rwanda is 33.97% with odds of 4.74 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.47% chance ⭐ for a win of Rwanda vs Nigeria with odds of 10 at Betobet.
Nigeria - Rwanda Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nigeria Rwanda Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins | 42.56% | 1.75 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 66.73% | 2.2 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 29.17% | 3.1 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Nigeria/Nigeria | 17.65% | 2.25 at Betsson |
Nigeria vs Rwanda Form
Nigeria and Rwanda's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
|
3
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
Nigeria and Rwanda Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Feb 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jan 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Nigeria vs Rwanda Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
Nigeria - Rwanda: Form Analysis
Nigeria booked their place at the main event to be held in Morocco by pulling off a late draw against Benin on Thursday thanks to an 81st-minute goal by Victor Osimhen.
That result kept the Super Eagles’ unbeaten record in this competition intact (W3 D2 L0), which is a significant improvement after failing to win their three preceding matches leading up the these qualifiers.
The hosts have been very good on their home patch, winning both games in this competition without conceding, while they are unbeaten in their last five dating back to March 2023.
Nigeria have only conceded a single goal in their five AFCON qualifier matches!
Meanwhile, Rwanda lost to Libya 1-0 last week but remained in qualification contention thanks to their upcoming opponents holding Benin to that draw in the last round.
Still, that defeat to the Mediterranean Knights was the second one the Wasps have conceded in this competition, and they have only won one of their five qualification games (W1 D2 L2).
Notably, the visitors have lost one and drawn one of their two away games in this competition, and they have only managed a single win in their last nine matches on the road.
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Missing players
T. Moffi
V. Boniface
Nigeria & Rwanda Squad Analysis
As mentioned, given that Nigeria have already secured their qualification, we could see a few changes to the starting 11 this week.
That could leave the door open for Real Sociedad attacker Umar Sadiq to feature in this match after earning his first call-up since sustaining a serious ACL injury.
Defensive duo Olisa Ndah and West Bromwich Albion’s Semi Ajayi both pulled out of the Super Eagles squad due to injury, so the backline is likely to feature Auxerre's Gabriel Osho and William Troost-Ekong.
Victor Osimhen has scored six goals in six Super Lig matches for Galatasaray this season!
Frank Spittler Torsten called up a new face to this month’s squad in Birmingham Region’s Phanuel Mabaya Kavita and he will be hoping to get his first cap here after sitting out the loss to Libya.
Niyigena Clement of APR FC was ineligible to feature in the last match due to suspension but should return to the starting lineup in this one.
Innocent Nshuti, who scored in the win against Benin last month, should continue to lead the line here alongside Jojea Kwizera and Gilbert Mugisha.
Most goals and assists
Nigeria
Rwanda
W. Troost-Ekong
(3 Goals)
,
A. Lookman
(3 Goals)
A. Lookman
(1 Assists)
,
V. Osimhen
(1 Assists)
,
C. Bassey
(1 Assists)
,
M. Simon
(1 Assists)
Nigeria - Rwanda Key Points
- Three of Nigeria’s last four matches in this competition have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Nigeria have kept four clean sheets in their five qualifier matches.
- Three of Rwanda’s five matches in this competition have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Rwanda have failed to score in three of their last four matches.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in each of the last five matches between these sides.
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Our Nigeria vs Rwanda Prediction
Nigeria have been very good in these qualifiers, particularly in defence, where they only just conceded their first goal following four consecutive clean sheets since the start of the competition.
Rwanda are still in with a chance to qualify, albeit a slender one, and have to throw caution to the wind here, but breaking down the Super Eagles’ defence on their home patch will certainly not be an easy task for Amavubi. Our Nigeria vs Rwanda prediction: Under 2.5 goals!
Nigeria vs Rwanda - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score (NO)
Nigeria have kept four clean sheets in their five qualification matches, while Rwanda have failed to score in three of their five games. Additionally, each of the last four matches between these sides ended with only one team scoring, while the last two ended goalless.
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Nigeria vs Rwanda match : Frequently asked questions
The AFCON qualifier match between Nigeria and Rwanda will be played on November 18 at 16:00 GMT.
The AFCON qualifier match between Nigeria and Rwanda will take place at the Godswill Akpabio International Stadium in Uyo.
The AFCON qualifier match between Nigeria and Rwanda will be broadcast on DSTV’s Supersport in Africa and on Eurosport in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the AFCON Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Samir Guezzaz will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Abdessamad Abertoune, Zakaria Brinsi and Kech Chaf Mustapha as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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