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Nigeria vs Benin Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
African giants Nigeria will kick off their 2025 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers with a battle against Benin at the Godswill Akpabio International Stadium in Uyo on Saturday evening. The Super Eagles and the Cheetahs are joined in Group D by Rwanda and Libya, who played to a 1-1 draw earlier this week. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Just under three months ago, these two faced off in a crucial 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifier clash in which Benin pulled off an against-the-odds 2-1 victory in neighbouring Ivory Coast. That result has thrown the Super Eagles’ World Cup qualification hopes into major doubt and they will undoubtedly be out to exact their revenge in this match.
Nigeria are considered favourites by a significant margin by bookmakers, but Benin are the side with the momentum, having notched up back-to-back victories in their last two outings. Let’s take a look at some of the other important factors at play here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nigeria v Benin Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.51 | 3.84 | 7 |
|
|
1.51 | 3.84 | 7 |
|
|
1.45 | 3.7 | 8.25 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.15 | 8.05 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.15 | 8.05 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.1 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.51 | 3.84 | 7 |
|
|
1.49 | 3.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.1 | 9.3 |
|
|
1.38 | 4 | 8 |
|
|
1.33 | 4 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.2 | 7.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nigeria and Benin?
Our prediction for the Nigeria vs Benin match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/09/2024 between Nigeria and Benin in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.88% for a win of Nigeria against Benin with odds of 1.51 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nigeria vs Benin is 31.24% with odds of 4.2 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Benin vs Nigeria with odds of 9.3 at Vbet.
Nigeria - Benin Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nigeria Benin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins | 46.88% | 1.51 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.98% | 2.12 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | 2.6 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Nigeria | 18.97% | 3.75 at Betfair |
Nigeria vs Benin Form
Nigeria and Benin's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
|
2
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Nigeria and Benin Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Feb 2024 - AFCON
7 Feb 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Feb 2024 - AFCON
7 Feb 2024 - AFCON
2 Feb 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Nov 2023 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
17 Jun 2023 - AFCON
22 Mar 2023 - AFCON
8 Jun 2022 - AFCON
11 Nov 2021 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Nov 2023 - World Cup
9 Sep 2023 - AFCON
29 Mar 2023 - AFCON
Nigeria vs Benin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
27 Mar 2021 - AFCON
Nigeria - Benin: Form Analysis
Abidjan has proven a disappointing hunting ground for the Super Eagles in 2024, as it was at that venue they lost to their upcoming opponent in June and were also beaten in the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations final by the tournament hosts back in February.
In between those defeats, it has been a mixed bag of results for Nigeria, with a win over Ghana and a loss to Mali in their March friendlies, before drawing 1-1 with arch-rivals South Africa in World Cup qualifying at the start of June.
Notably, the Super Eagles are without a first-team manager after Finidi George resigned following the defeat to the Cheetahs in June!
Meanwhile, Benin are setting off on their journey to return to Africa’s premier cup competition for the first time since the 2018-19 campaign, when they managed to reach the quarter-final stage before bowing out to Senegal.
Ranked 91st in the world and 13 places behind Nigeria in the CAF region, the Cheetahs' record over recent years has perhaps unsurprisingly been fairly underwhelming, with just three wins posted in their last 17 matches dating back to the start of 2022 (W3 D6 L8).
However, two of those victories came in their last two matches against Rwanda (1-0) and Nigeria (2-1) in June, and the side have now lost only one of their last five in all competitions. Both those victories were at home, though, while the Cheetahs are winless in their last seven away games, losing four and drawing three.
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Missing players
T. Moffi
C. Hountondji
Nigeria & Benin Squad Analysis
Augustine Eguavoen will lead Nigeria on an interim basis this month, but he will be without the services of Fenerbahce defender Bright Osayi-Samuel due to injury, with Crawley Town’s Benjamin Tanimu being brought in as his replacement.
Despite Osayi-Samuel’s absence, the Super Eagles squad is bursting with talent, with the likes of William Troost-Ekong, Ademola Lookman and Taiwo Awoniyi all fit and available for selection.
Reigning African Footballer of the Year Victor Osimhen is a minor doubt having arrived late at the Super Eagles training camp!
Genort Rohr has selected 25 players to make the trip to Uyo this week with Jodel Dossou and Steve Mounie, who scored Benin’s goals in the previous match between these sides, headlining the list.
The German tactician has also called up two first-timers in Coton FC’s Bachirou Sika and Samadou Attidjikou of Bani Ganse FC, both of whom will be hoping to earn their first cap for the Cheetahs this month
Most goals and assists
Nigeria
Benin
W. Troost-Ekong
(3 Goals)
,
A. Lookman
(3 Goals)
A. Lookman
(1 Assists)
,
V. Osimhen
(1 Assists)
,
C. Bassey
(1 Assists)
,
M. Simon
(1 Assists)
Nigeria - Benin Key Points
- Five of Nigeria’s last six matches in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Nigeria have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven home matches.
- Seven of Benin’s last 10 matches in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Benin have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven away games.
- Both teams scored in two of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Nigeria vs Benin Prediction
While Nigeria are rightfully installed as favourites here, it is somewhat surprising to see just how heavily fancied they are, given their performances in the lead-up to this competition.
Benin, while still considered relative minnows in the CAF region, showed that they are a side that can show up on their day when these two faced off in June, and we feel that they will be able to at least get on the scoresheet in this one. Our Nigeria vs Benin prediction: Both teams to score!
Nigeria vs Benin - Other Interesting Predictions
Benin +2
Benin have only lost one of their last five matches. Additionally, the Cheetahs have not lost by two clear goals in any of their last 13 matches in all competitions.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nigeria Benin
| Nigeria vs Benin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins | 1.57 | 1.51 | -3.8% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.84 | +3.8% |
| Benin wins | 6.34 | 7 | +10.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nigeria is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 66.2% (2.5%)
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Nigeria vs Benin match : Frequently asked questions
The Africa Cup of Nations qualifier between Nigeria and Benin will be played on September 7 at 17:00 GMT.
The Africa Cup of Nations qualifier between Nigeria and Benin will take place at the Godswill Akpabio International Stadium in Uyo.
The Africa Cup of Nations qualifier between Nigeria and Benin will be broadcast live on DSTV’s Supersport and Afro Sport.
You can also keep up-to-the-minute with all the AFCON Liverscores right here on SportyTrader!
Amin Mohamed Omar will take charge of this match with the assistance of Mahmoud Abouelregal, Ahmad Hossam Taha and Ahmed El Ghandour as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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