France - Ligue 1
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Nice vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Nice playing at home in Ligue 1 has always had a positive vibe for their fans, who are set for another treat. This Sunday, third-placed Nice welcomes sixth-placed Lyon to the Allianz Riviera. Below is our preview and prediction for the match.
Elimination from Europe and the French Cup have turned out to be disguised blessings for Nice. They’ve shifted focus to the league and are currently on four straight wins.
Les Aiglons are also firm challengers for the top two, currently trailing Marseille by three points. Home form will come as a major boost for Nice, who have six straight wins there in the league.
This season, Nice are unbeaten in Ligue 1 at home.
Lyon’s time in 2025 hasn’t been stable; they are coming into their 14th match of the year having managed just five wins. Their latest five matches have however had a rhythm, with Les Gones winning four.
The latest of them was away in Romania, where they beat FCSB 3-1 in a Europa League match. Back in Ligue 1 action the visitors will seek to build on the rise from behind to beat Brest 2-1 in the last match.
Things haven't been smooth on the road in Ligue 1 though. Lyon lost three of their last five away league matches and only beat struggling Montpellier in that period.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nice v Lyon Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
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2.1 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
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2.05 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
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2.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
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2.17 | 3.61 | 3.41 |
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2.17 | 3.61 | 3.41 |
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2.15 | 3.5 | 3.45 |
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2.11 | 3.48 | 3.4 |
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2.11 | 3.48 | 3.4 |
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2.07 | 3.65 | 3.55 |
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2.04 | 3.58 | 3.5 |
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2.16 | 3.6 | 3.45 |
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2.16 | 3.59 | 3.47 |
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2.15 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
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2.02 | 3.6 | 3.55 |
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2.42 | 3.55 | 2.8 |
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2.1 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nice and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Nice vs Lyon match is: Nice wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/03/2025 between Nice and Lyon in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.72% for a win of Nice against Lyon with odds of 2.42 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nice vs Lyon is 29.49% with odds of 3.65 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Nice with odds of 3.55 at Stake.
Nice - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
Nice Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Nice wins | 45.72% | 2.42 at Betsson |
Over 2.5 goals | 55.17% | 1.8 at Unibet |
Both Team To Score | 67.92% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Nice | 21.33% | 6 at Betsson |
Nice vs Lyon Form
Nice and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3
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46 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 21 |
7
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39 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Nice and Lyon Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2025 - French Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2025 - French Cup
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
17 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1

4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
Nice vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
3 Jun 2023 - Ligue 1
11 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1
12 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
Nice against Lyon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players

M. Sanson
T. Ndombele
ForwardT. Moffi

Most goals and assists







Nice and Lyon Stats in Ligue 1


Nice - Lyon Key Points
- In the last eight away league matches, Lyon managed just two wins.
- Lyon lost three of their last five away league matches.
- Nice won each of their last six home league matches.
- In 11 home matches in Ligue 1, Nice are unbeaten.
- In their last 10 league matches, Nice won seven.
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Our Nice vs Lyon Prediction
Lyon have been the dominant side in this fixture and have even beaten Nice this season. However, they come into this game with weaker numbers in recent matches. The visitors have lost three times in the last five away league matches.
Two of those defeats were against sides currently in the top three. Nice comes with the same caliber of threat and fatigue could be an issue for Lyon, who are coming from midweek action. Nice have also won their last four matches. Our prediction for Nice v Lyon is that Nice wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nice Lyon
Nice vs Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Nice wins | 2.4 | 2.1 | -12.5% |
Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
Lyon wins | 2.75 | 3.3 | +20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nice is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 47.6% (6.0%)
Use the Nice vs. Lyon game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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