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Newport County vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions
Newport County face Manchester United in the FA Cup Fourth Round on Sunday. Rodney Parade will be packed to the rafters as the Welsh League Two minnows host one of the biggest clubs in world football. A place in the last 16 of the competition awaits the winner and Manchester United will have to be wary as Newport have found the net at home against five of six Premier League opponents in cup competitions in recent times. United though were last year's beaten finalists in this competition, losing 2-1 to Manchester City at Wembley, and they will certainly be focused on performing well in the FA Cup once again.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Newport County v Manchester United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15 | 11 | 1.11 |
|
|
20 | 11 | 1.08 |
|
|
15.9 | 11 | 1.1 |
|
|
15.9 | 11 | 1.1 |
|
|
20 | 9.3 | 1.11 |
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|
20 | 9.3 | 1.11 |
|
|
18 | 9.6 | 1.1 |
|
|
18 | 11.9 | 1.09 |
|
|
22 | 11 | 1.11 |
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21 | 13 | 1.1 |
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19 | 9 | 1.09 |
|
|
19 | 12 | 1.08 |
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29 | 11 | 1.1 |
|
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21 | 11 | 1.08 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newport County and Manchester United?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/01/2024 between Newport County and Manchester United in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.99% for a win of Newport County against Manchester United with odds of 29 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newport County vs Manchester United is 38.62% with odds of 13 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Newport County with odds of 1.11 at Bet365.
Newport County - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newport County Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 38.62% | 13 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 63.79% | 3.95 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.08% | 111 at Unibet |
Newport County vs Manchester United Form
Newport County and Manchester United Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2024 - League Two
16 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
13 Jan 2024 - League Two
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2024 - League Two
29 Dec 2023 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2024 - League Two
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2023 - League Two
26 Dec 2023 - League Two
16 Dec 2023 - League Two
2 Dec 2023 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
13 Jan 2024 - League Two
1 Jan 2024 - League Two
23 Dec 2023 - League Two
12 Dec 2023 - FA Cup
9 Dec 2023 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2024 - Premier League
8 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
23 Dec 2023 - Premier League
17 Dec 2023 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
12 Dec 2023 - Champions League
9 Dec 2023 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
11 Nov 2023 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
23 Dec 2023 - Premier League
17 Dec 2023 - Premier League
2 Dec 2023 - Premier League
29 Nov 2023 - Champions League
Newport County - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Newport County have never played Manchester United before, but they have proven to be a tough team to beat for Premier League opponents. Over the last decade or so, the Welsh side have faced six Premier League opponents at home, scoring against five of them, and securing a draw (and a replay) in four others. Manager Graham Coughlan has led his team to 14th in the League Two table, but their recent form suggests better things ahead with the Exiles unbeaten in their last seven games, winning four and drawing three. Newport reached the Fourth Round after beating Oldham Athletic 2-0, then beating Barnet 4-1 after a 1-1 draw in their first second round tie. They then overcame Eastleigh, once again with a 3-1 win in a replay after a 1-1 draw.
Erik Ten Hag's Manchester United team sits 8th in the Premier League and have lost nine games already this season in that competition. However, they have drawn just two games this season, one at home, one away, which suggests its been a feast or famine for United fans following their favorites. The Red Devils form has been patchy all season long, and their record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last six games in all competitions exemplifies this. Scoring goals on the road has been a real problem with just 9 in 10 games in the Premier League. They did manage two in their 2-0 win at Wigan Athletic in the Third Round of the competition though and over the years, United have a very good record against lower league opponents in the FA Cup, even if they have been struggling in their league campaign.
Erik ten Hag has described this FA Cup trip as a 'nightmare' for United as they are expected to win and win well against a tricky opponent, who also have found good form of late. County were also boosted by the news that Huw Jenkins has taken over as chairman. The former Swansea City chairman took over as chairman of the club once his purchase was ratified last week.
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Players list
N. Townsend
DefenderR. Delaney
A. Lewis
J. Clarke
MidfielderW. Evans
S. Bennett
H. Charsley
B. Morris
A. Wildig
ForwardS. McLoughlin
S. Palmer Houlden
A. Bayindir
DefenderL. Shaw
L. Martinez
R. Varane
D. Dalot
MidfielderCasemiro
K. Mainoo
B. Fernandes
ForwardAntony
A. Garnacho
R. Hojlund
Substitutes
J. Maxted
DefenderK. Jameson
M. Baker
L. Payne
M. Bondswell
ForwardN. Wood
K. Rai
O. Zanzala
J. Waite
T. Heaton
DefenderH. Maguire
W. Kambwala
J. Evans
MidfielderA. Diallo
O. Forson
S. Mctominay
F. Pellistri
C. Eriksen
Newport County & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Newport boss Graeme Coughlan will have an almost fully fit squad available for the game. Young center back Josh Seberry is not far away from a return from a broken arm, but it may be February before he is back in contention to play. Omar Bogle could miss out, which has seen County move into the transfer market to sign Wales U21 forward Luke Jephcott on a free transfer from St. Johnstone. He is expected to go straight into the squad for Sunday's game.
Manchester United will be without a number of players for this game. Andre Onana and Sofyan Amrabat are away on African Cup of Nations duty, while defenders Victor Lindelof, Luke Shaw and Tyrell Malacia will all be absent. Anthony Martial should be fit after an illness last week, while on the positive side of things, Harry Maguire and Mason Mount are both close to a return to first team action. Alejandro Garnacho will likely be the man to watch for United after being one of their best players over the course of the current campaign.
Most goals and assists
Newport County
Manchester United
W. Evans
(22 Goals)
R. Hojlund
(15 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(10 Assists)
Newport County - Manchester United Key Points
- Newport and their opponents combine for an average of 3.21 goals per Newport home game in League Two this season.
- The League Two side have lost just twice at home this season, winning six, drawing six.
- Manchester United's four away wins have come against teams in the bottom half of the EPL table (Fulham, Everton, Burnley and Sheffield United)
- Man Utd's only away win since the 29th November came in their 2-0 win over Wigan in the Third Round of the FA Cup.
- Newport have drawn at home with Brentford, Newcastle, Brighton and Tottenham in recent years. They have lost to Man City (1-4) and West Ham (0-2) over that time too.
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Our Newport County vs Manchester United Prediction
Prediction :
Manchester United to win and both teams to score
Newport County vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions
Correct Score - Manchester United to win 2-1
Scott McTominay (Manchester United) to score at any time
Newport County vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions
David Coote has been appointed the referee for the Newport County v Manchester United FA Cup clash. He has refereed 9 Premier League games this season, awarding 43 yellow cards and 3 red.
Timothy Wood and Craig Taylor will be the assistant referees and Andrew Kitchen will take on fourth official duties.
As the game involves a team outside of the Premier League hosting the game, VAR will not be in operation for this match.
Newport and Manchester United have never met previously in any competition, but Manchester United were instrumental in saving Newport County almost 50 years ago.
United were one of a number of teams who agreed to play a friendly game to raise funds to save Newport County as the Welsh club was in danger of folding back in 1976.
Playing against a South Wales XI that featured players from Swansea City, Cardiff City and Newport County, Manchester United boss Tommy Docherty picked a team including several full internationals such as Lou Macari, Steve Coppell and Sammy McIlroy.
The game raised £8,000 - enough to save Newport financially - but it was the South Wales Xi that won the game winning 1-0.
Fans can tune in to watch the Newport County v Manchester United FA Cup Fourth Round tie from Rodney Parade from 4pm on Sunday, live on BBC One. Kick off is 4.30pm.
Also check out our Newport County v Manchester United Livescore page for all the up to date stats and information from the game once it kicks off on Sunday!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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