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Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Newcastle
13/04/2025 11:30
Manchester United

Prediction :

 

Newcastle wins the match

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions

Manchester United will have no time to rest as they switch from Europe to Premier League action, where they are scheduled to play Newcastle United. Going into this matchday 32 league encounter, hosts Newcastle United are fifth with a game in hand while Manchester United are 13th. With 15 points separating the two sides, bookies’ predictions are heavy on a Newcastle United win in this match.

This clash marks the start of a hectic period for Newcastle United. In the next six days, they are scheduled to face Manchester United and Crystal Palace at home then travel to Aston Villa. Nine points from that run will be a massive boost to their Champions League ambitions.

Manchester United, on the other hand, are coming from an away match in France in the Europa League and pack up straight to a tough venue. The Red Devils have already lost 13 league matches, and there are no guarantees in this one. Can they break their recent poor run against Newcastle United?

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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Manchester United Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.65 4.2 4.75
Betfred
1.67 4.2 5
Ladbrokes
1.91 2.7 4.4
NetBet
1.62 4.2 5
1xbet
1.68 4.33 5
Check all Newcastle vs Manchester United odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Manchester United?

Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Manchester United match is: Newcastle wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/04/2025 between Newcastle and Manchester United in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.19% for a win of Newcastle against Manchester United with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Manchester United is 23.19% with odds of 4.4 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 27.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Newcastle with odds of 5.3 at Vbet.

Newcastle vs Manchester United Form

Newcastle and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Newcastle
Newcastle
53 30 16 5 9 13
13
Manchester United
Manchester United
38 31 10 8 13 -4

Newcastle and Manchester United Last Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  3
Newcastle

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Brentford

16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
1 :  2
Newcastle

10 Mar 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  1
Newcastle

2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Newcastle
1 :  2
Brighton

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Newcastle
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Brentford

2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Newcastle
1 :  2
Brighton

23 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  3
Nottingham Forest

5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Arsenal

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Fulham

18 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  4
Bournemouth
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  3
Newcastle

16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
1 :  2
Newcastle

10 Mar 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  1
Newcastle

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Newcastle

15 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  0
Newcastle

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Birmingham
2 :  3
Newcastle
Manchester United
Manchester United Last matches
D W W L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Apr 2025 - Europa League

Lyon
2 :  2
Manchester United

6 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City

1 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Manchester United

16 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  3
Manchester United

13 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

9 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal
W W D D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City

13 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

9 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester United
1 :  1
Fulham

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Ipswich Town

7 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester United
2 :  1
Leicester
L D D W L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Apr 2025 - Europa League

Lyon
2 :  2
Manchester United

1 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Manchester United

16 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  3
Manchester United

6 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Manchester United

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Manchester United

16 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Manchester United

Newcastle vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

67 %

Draw

0 %

Manchester United

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
17%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

30 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  2
Newcastle

15 May 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Newcastle

2 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Manchester United

1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United
0 :  3
Newcastle

2 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Manchester United

26 Feb 2023 - Carabao Cup

Manchester United
2 :  0
Newcastle
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Newcastle - Manchester United: Form Analysis

Newcastle United are already having a good campaign, which was boosted by the revelation that England will have five teams in the Champions League. They’ve bagged the League Cup and look set to make a comeback among Europe’s elite next season.

As they prepare for this game, the Magpies will be favored by the fact they had more rest days than their visitors. Securing the three points at home will be the target here, and in their current form, that looks given.

Newcastle have won four of their last five league matches at home, and in their 14 league games there this season, they won eight.

Manchester United have three wins in their last 11 matches in all competitions.

As Newcastle are busy preparing for this match, Manchester United are still working on their recovery after a midweek game. The Red Devils are coming from France, where they played out a 2-2 draw with Lyon in the first leg of their Europa League quarter-final.

While an away draw would be celebrated, conceding in stoppage time felt like a loss for United. They’ve now failed to win in the last three matches.

Back home, United have suffered more in the Premier League, losing 13 times already. In their last 15 league matches, they’ve won only four times, and three of those were against the current bottom three sides.

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Newcastle vs Manchester United last Lineups

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

22
N. Pope
2
K. Trippier
5
F. Schar
33
D. Burn
21
T. Livramento
39
B. Guimaraes
8
S. Tonali
7
Joelinton
23
J. Murphy
14
A. Isak
11
H. Barnes
17
A. Garnacho
9
R. Hojlund
8
B. Fernandes
13
P. Dorgu
25
M. Ugarte
18
Casemiro
20
D. Dalot
15
L. Yoro
5
H. Maguire
3
N. Mazraoui
24
A. Onana

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Manchester United

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

J. Lascelles

S. Botman

L. Hall

Forward

A. Gordon

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

J. Evans

L. Martinez

A. Heaven

Midfielder

A. Diallo

Newcastle & Manchester United Squad Analysis

The pre-match talk has been centered largely on Newcastle manager Eddie Howe’s reported illness. The Magpies are, however, assured of having their key men for the game.

Top on that list is lead scorer Alexander Isak, who has netted 20 times in the league and laid five assists. The Swede has been lethal this season, and his xG of 16.28 makes him a serious contender for the Golden Boot.

He trails the leading candidate, Mohamed Salah, by seven goals. Newcastle will, however, miss a key cog in Anthony Gordon, who is nursing a hip injury. The Englishman has 11 goal contributions this season and scored twice in three meetings with United.

Manchester United are in a defensive crisis ahead of the trip to Newcastle United.

Newcastle United have scored 11 times in their last five home league matches. Manchester United will need their defensive players at the top of their game for this challenge.

This may give Ruben Amorim a fresh headache seeing that his injury list is populated by defenders. Matthijs de Ligt is nursing a knee injury, Ayden Heaven is out with a leg injury, Jonny Evans is said to be having physical discomfort, and Lisandro Martinez is set for a long spell on the sidelines after his ACL tear.

That all these are central defenders leaves the manager with a very thin pool to pick from. A three-man backline is, therefore, the only option again here despite the troubles this has caused the Red Devils.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Manchester United
Top Goalscorer
Sweden A. Isak (23 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal B. Fernandes (14 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Murphy (10 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal B. Fernandes (15 Assists)

Newcastle and Manchester United Stats in Premier League

Newcastle
Newcastle
Manchester United
Manchester United
53%
Victories
32%
17%
Draw
26%
30%
Defeats
42%
3.03
Total goals per match
2.52
1.73
Goals scored per match
1.19
1.3
Goals conceded per match
1.32
63%
Over 2.5
55%
37%
Under 2.5
45%
53%
BTTS
42%
33%
No goals conceded
29%

Newcastle - Manchester United Key Points

  1. Newcastle United have four wins in their last five league matches.
  2. Newcastle posted eight wins in their 14 home league games this season.
  3. Manchester United suffered seven losses in the last 15 league matches.
  4. Manchester United lost three of the last four league games against Newcastle.
  5. Newcastle won their last two home league matches against Manchester United.
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Our Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction

Manchester United are still in two competitions, the Premier League and the Europa League. Their biggest promise comes from the Europa League. After losing 13 matches in the Premier League, there isn’t much but pride to play for. It will be unsurprising to see key players rested for this match in anticipation of the Lyon return leg.

That should give Newcastle United the edge, as this game means much more to them. The hosts are chasing a place in the Champions League and are expected to give a bit more than their visitors here. Our prediction for Newcastle United v Manchester United is that Newcastle wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Newcastle wins the match

 
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Newcastle vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score – NO.

Odds 1.66

In six of their last 13 away matches in the Premier League, Manchester United failed to score. In four of their last five league meetings with Newcastle United also, United didn’t score.

Meanwhile, in Newcastle United’s last six league matches, at least one side failed to score in four. The same was the case as well in half of the Magpies’ last 10 home matches in the league. Therefore, our second prediction for this match is: Both teams to score – NO.

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Newcastle vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions

The Newcastle United v Manchester United match will be played on Sunday, 13th April.

The Newcastle United v Manchester United match will be played at St. James’ Park.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction
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