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Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John | in Premier League Predictions
Two of the richest Premier League sides meet at St James' Park on Saturday. Newcastle United host Manchester City in a battle of the biggest wallets in the EPL! On the field, will the Magpies get one over on the Citizens, or will the visitors more than match their hosts to claim the win? Let's check out our prediction on this often-dramatic Premier League clash!
Both teams come into this game in good form. Newcastle lie sixth in the Premier League table with just one defeat in five games, that coming against Fulham last week in a 3-1 loss at Craven Cottage. They have won three and drawn one of their other four games.
Manchester City dropped points for the first time this season last weekend in a 2-2 home draw with Arsenal. However, City remains top of the table with 13 points, one ahead of Liverpool and Aston Villa, who are second and third, respectively. City were also in action in midweek in the Carabao Cup, where a much-changed team earned a 2-1 victory over Watford ahead of this fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 | 4.1 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.8 | 4.2 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.03 | 4.19 | 1.69 |
|
|
5.03 | 4.19 | 1.69 |
|
|
5.25 | 4.3 | 1.61 |
|
|
4.9 | 4.4 | 1.61 |
|
|
4.9 | 4.4 | 1.61 |
|
|
4.7 | 4.1 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.9 | 4.46 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.2 | 4.5 | 1.6 |
|
|
4.5 | 4 | 1.7 |
|
|
5.4 | 4.5 | 1.6 |
|
|
5 | 4.33 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.2 | 4.65 | 1.6 |
|
|
5 | 4 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.1 | 4.33 | 1.67 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Manchester City match is: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2024 between Newcastle and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.38% for a win of Newcastle against Manchester City with odds of 5.4 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Manchester City is 14.4% with odds of 4.65 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Newcastle with odds of 1.72 at Stake.
Newcastle - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 53.22% | 1.72 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.23% | 1.83 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 44.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City | 23.97% | 2.46 at Betsson |
Newcastle vs Manchester City Form
Newcastle and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
27 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
|
8
|
26 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Newcastle and Manchester City Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup
19 Aug 2023 - Premier League
4 Mar 2023 - Premier League
21 Aug 2022 - Premier League
Newcastle - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Newcastle United didn't have the best preparation for this crucial home fixture with Man City. The Magpies traveled to Craven Cottage to face Fulham last weekend and came home with nothing after suffering a 3-1 defeat at the hands of the Londoners.
Newcastle's midweek Carabao Cup tie with AFC Wimbledon was postponed.
This did mean an extra few days left for their players.
In the Premier League, Newcastle opened with a narrow 1-0 win over Southampton before drawing 1-1 away to Bournemouth and then landed two consecutive wins. Beating Tottenham 2-1 at St James' Park and then earning a 2-1 away win at Wolverhampton Wanderers a fortnight ago.
While Newcastle have lost just one of their last three home games with City, they do not have a good overall record against today's opponents, winning just one of the last 13 games against Manchester City.
City's 2-2 draw with Arsenal last weekend was their first league game without a win this season.
An excellent opening-day 2-0 win at Stamford Bridge over Chelsea was followed by impressive wins over Ipswich Town (4-1), West Ham (3-1) and Brentford (2-1) before the draw with the Gunners.
Their last game came in midweek, a 2-1 Carabao Cup success over Watford.
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Players list
N. Pope
DefenderT. Livramento
F. Schar
D. Burn
L. Hall
MidfielderS. Longstaff
B. Guimaraes
J. Murphy
ForwardJoelinton
A. Gordon
J. Willock
Ederson
DefenderK. Walker
R. Dias
M. Akanji
J. Gvardiol
J. Doku
MidfielderM. Kovacic
B. Silva
P. Foden
Savinho
ForwardE. Haaland
Substitutes
M. Dubravka
DefenderT. Livramento
L. Kelly
E. Krafth
A. Murphy
MidfielderM. Almiron
J. Willock
S. Longstaff
W. Osula
S. Ortega
S. Carson
DefenderJ. Stones
MidfielderJ. McAtee
Savinho
P. Foden
M. Nunes
ForwardJ. Doku
Missing players
J. Lascelles
S. Botman
ForwardC. Wilson
O. Bobb
Rodri
Newcastle & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Both teams have a number of players on the treatment table ahead of Saturday's lunchtime clash.
Newcastle United will be without four long-term injury absentees. Lewis Miley, Callum Wilson, Jamal Lascalles and Sven Botman are all ruled out of this game.
Key striker Alexander Isak is carrying a knock.
However, the Swedish international played last weekend in the loss at Fulham and his injury is not thought to be severe enough to warrant him missing this crucial home game.
Harvey Barnes fine goalscoring form has helped Newcastle to sixth in the table with the ex-Leicester City winger scoring three goals in five league games this season, assisting with another goal.
Man City boss Pep Guardiola has a number of injury issues ahead of this game. Definitely out, and out for a long time, is key midfielder Rodri, who has serious knee ligament damage sustained in the draw with Arsenal.
Rodri may not play again this season.
Oscar Bobb and Nathan Ake are both ruled out of this game and remain some way off a return. However midfielders Kevin De Bruyne and Phil Foden are both thought to be close to being fully fit once again, but it is unlikely both will start this game.
Erling Haaland's ten goals in five Premier League games marks him out as Man City's main threat.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Manchester City
A. Isak
(11 Goals)
E. Haaland
(18 Goals)
J. Murphy
(5 Assists)
, 
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
M. Nunes
(6 Assists)
Newcastle - Manchester City Key Points
- Both teams have scored in all of Newcastle's last five games in all competitions.
- Both teams have scored in six of Manchester City's eight games this season.
- Five of Manchester City's last six games have seen Over 2.5 Goals.
- All of Newcastle's last three games have seen Over 2.5 Goals.
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Our Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction
Our prediction for Newcastle United vs. Manchester City in the Premier League is: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals.
The history of this game is that it is one frequently packed with goals. Last season, the game ended 3-2 to Man City and the teams form this season shows both can score goals but also tend to concede. With injuries to key midfielders for City, Newcastle may have a better than expected chance to win this fixture and that could lead to an open game with goals at both ends.
Newcastle vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Harvey Barnes (Newcastle United) to score at any time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Manchester City
| Newcastle vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 4.75 | 4.75 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 4.1 | +10.8% |
| Manchester City wins | 1.73 | 1.67 | -3.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 59.9% (2.1%)
Use £30 free bets for the Newcastle vs. Manchester City game!
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Try your luck on this year's Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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