England - Carabao Cup
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Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Devesh Jaganath in Carabao Cup Predictions
Arguably the pick of the round of 16 clashes in the Carabao Cup this week will feature Newcastle United taking on Chelsea at St James’ Park on Wednesday evening. The Magpies currently sit in 12th place in the Premier League standings, while the Blues are fifth after nine matches. Check out our match prediction below.
Just three days ago, these Premier League rivals faced off in an entertaining league fixture at Stamford Bridge which Chelsea won 2-0 thanks to goals from Nicolas Jackson and Cole Palmer. That result extended the Blues win streak against this opponent to three matches across all competitions, including knocking the Toons out of this competition last season.
However, given that they have the home advantage this time around, Newcastle United are the favourites according to the bookmakers, but by a very slender margin. Can the Magpies get their revenge in this one? Let’s get into the key stats in this encounter.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.62 | 2.62 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.75 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.57 | 3.75 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.68 | 2.72 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.68 | 2.72 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.55 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.54 | 3.68 | 2.58 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.45 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.7 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.75 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.73 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.65 | 2.88 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Chelsea match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/10/2024 between Newcastle and Chelsea in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.69% for a win of Newcastle against Chelsea with odds of 2.62 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Chelsea is 17.7% with odds of 3.75 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Newcastle with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
Newcastle - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 42.61% | 3.3 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.16% | 1.81 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chelsea | 15.92% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
Newcastle vs Chelsea Form
Newcastle and Chelsea Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
24 Oct 2024 - Conference League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2024 - Conference League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2024 - Conference League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2024 - Conference League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
11 Mar 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2023 - Carabao Cup
25 Nov 2023 - Premier League
28 May 2023 - Premier League
12 Nov 2022 - Premier League
Newcastle - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Newcastle United earned a spot in the last 16 of this competition by beating League Two outfit AFC Wimbledon 1-0 in the last round at the start of the month.
Since then, though, the Magpies have failed to win a game leading up to this match, drawing one and losing their most recent two, while failing to score in two of those matches.
At home, Newcastle have played five games in all competitions this season and were unbeaten in their first four (W3 D1 L0), before suffering their first defeat against Brighton after the international break.
After last weeks victory, Chelsea have now scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions!
Indeed, the Blues’ attack has been extremely impressive this season, with 19 goals scored in the Premier League, which is the second-most of any team in the division this term.
On the road, Chelsea’s last league outing ended in defeat to Liverpool, though they had won three straight in the top flight prior to that, scoring 10 goals in that period while conceding just two.
The visitors booked their place in this match by breezing past lower-league Barrow with a commanding 5-0 victory in the last round of the competition.
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Players list
N. Pope
DefenderF. Schar
L. Kelly
E. Krafth
D. Burn
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
L. Miley
S. Longstaff
ForwardJoelinton
W. Osula
T. Livramento
F. Jorgensen
DefenderR. Veiga
A. Disasi
B. Badiashile
T. Adarabioyo
M. Cucurella
MidfielderN. Madueke
E. Fernandez
ForwardC. Nkunku
Joao Felix
M. Mudryk
Substitutes
M. Dubravka
DefenderT. Livramento
D. Burn
A. Murphy
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
M. Almiron
L. Miley
H. Barnes
W. Osula
M. Bettinelli
L. Bergstrom
DefenderB. Chilwell
L. Colwill
MidfielderC. Casadei
C. Chukwuemeka
C. Palmer
ForwardN. Madueke
M. Guiu
Missing players
S. Botman
J. Lascelles
ForwardC. Wilson
R. James
W. Fofana
MidfielderR. Lavia
ForwardO. Kellyman
Newcastle & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Newcastle United suffered a major injury blow ahead of last weekend’s fixture against the Blues with Anthony Gordon forced to sit out the match after sustaining a groin injury during training.
The England international is flagged as a doubt for this one as well, along with his compatriots Kieran Trippier and Callum Wilson, who are out with a hamstring and back injury respectively.
Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascelles have not featured at all this season as they continue their recoveries from serious knee injuries. Garang Kuol is only expected to return to action from a muscle tear in mid-November.
Reece James, Wesley Fofana and Romeo Lavia are expected to be rested for this match!
Enzo Maresca previously stated that the aforementioned trio will only play one game per week having only just returned from injuries. Thus, the expectancy is that they will sit this one out, especially ahead of Manchester United this weekend.
Ben Chillwell is listed as questionable due to an illness and teenager Omari Kellyman is ruled out for this match owing to a hamstring strain.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Chelsea
A. Isak
(11 Goals)
C. Palmer
(11 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
,
J. Murphy
(5 Assists)
E. Fernandez
(7 Assists)
Newcastle - Chelsea Key Points
- Six of Newcastle United's last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Newcastle United have only kept two clean sheets in their last 10 games.
- Each of Chelsea’s last six matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Chelsea have scored in 13 consecutive matches ahead of this one.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last six matches between these sides in all competitions.
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Our Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction
Less than 72 hours ago, these two sides went toe-to-toe in a very entertaining Premier League encounter at Stamford Bridge which delivered a total of 28 shots at goal between them with 10 on target.
With personnel changes expected to be made for this match, we feel that there will be plenty more chances created and both ends in this one and expect there will be a few goals in it too. Our Newcastle United vs Chelsea prediction: Both teams to score!
Newcastle vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Three of the last four matches between these sides have ended with over 2.5 goals scored. Additionally, seven of the last eight matches involving Chelsea have seen three or more goals hit the back of the net.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Chelsea
| Newcastle vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 2.45 | 2.05 | -16.3% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.6 | +9.1% |
| Chelsea wins | 2.8 | 3.3 | +17.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 30.3% (-5.4%)
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Newcastle vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions
The Carabao Cup match between Newcastle United and Chelsea will be played on October 30 at 21:45 GMT.
The Carabao Cup match between Newcastle United and Chelsea will take place at St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne.
The Carabao Cup match between Newcastle United and Chelsea will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Carabao Cup Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Chris Kavanagh will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Lee Betts, Adrian Holmes and Thomas Bramall as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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