England - FA Cup
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Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Steve Ashfield | in FA Cup Predictions
Brighton and Hove Albion are in top form at present. Sunday sees them travel to Newcastle United in the fifth round of the FA Cup. Can the Seagulls reach the quarter-finals for the second time in three seasons?
The away side have won their last four matches with 11 goals scored. Three of those games have been on home soil though but confidence must be high at the south coast club. As you'll read in the form guide section of this preview, their away FA Cup record is strong.
Newcastle United have already reached the final of this Carabao Cup. The Magpies are sixth in the Premier League, a point and two places above Brighton. They lost in midweek at Liverpool and will be hoping Isak will make his return to the squad. Last season saw them reach the quarter-finals of the FA Cup for only the second time since 2006. Can they make it to the last eight for the second successive season?
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.75 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.98 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.13 | 3.98 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.8 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.86 | 3.19 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.86 | 3.19 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.75 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.86 | 3.19 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.8 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.19 | 3.89 | 3.11 |
|
|
2 | 3.75 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.95 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.7 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.1 | 4 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Brighton match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/03/2025 between Newcastle and Brighton in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.16% for a win of Newcastle against Brighton with odds of 2.19 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Brighton is 14.2% with odds of 4 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Newcastle with odds of 3.28 at 1xbet.
Newcastle vs Brighton Form
Newcastle and Brighton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
16 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
2 Sep 2023 - Premier League
18 May 2023 - Premier League
13 Aug 2022 - Premier League
5 Mar 2022 - Premier League
Newcastle - Brighton: Form Analysis
Newcastle United have lost two of their last three games. Midweek saw them beaten at Liverpool, the other loss being away at Manchester City 4-0. Home form has seen them win their last two games, most recently a 4-3 victory over Nottingham Forest.
Three of their last four home games have seen both teams score. In this season's FA Cup, they have beaten Bromley at home and then won away at Birmingham City. Over 2.5 goals were scored in those two fixtures.
The Seagulls have an impressive away FA Cup record.
Brighton and Hove Albion are bidding to again reach the FA Cup quarter-finals. They have beaten Norwich City 4-0 away and then beaten Chelsea 2-1 at home. Their away form in this competition is impressive with five of their last six games won.
Six of their last eight away FA Cup ties have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
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Newcastle vs Brighton last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
J. Lascelles
S. Botman
ForwardJoelinton
J. Steele
DefenderF. Kadioglu
Igor
L. Dunk
J. Veltman
MidfielderJ. Milner
Newcastle & Brighton Squad Analysis
Alexander Isak is a doubt for this FA Cup tie against Brighton and Hove Albion. The in-form striker missed Newcastle's midweek game at Liverpool. His injury isn't a long-term problem but United felt he couldn't be risked against Liverpool.
Lots of decisions for Newcastle to make.
A decision will be taken after Friday's training session on whether Isak (who scored a hat-trick in their last home match) will take part on Sunday. The same applies to both Joelinton and Sven Botman who have been absent for recent games.
United do have a good replacement though with Callum Wilson likely to play again if Isak is absent. He suffered a cut eye against Liverpool but is expected to be fit.
Brighton and Hove Albion are very unlikely to have Lewis Dunk playing in defence for them this Sunday. They know just how strong their opponents can be up front in home games so the return of Eiran Cashin is a boost for the Seagulls.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Brighton
A. Isak
(21 Goals)
D. Welbeck
(7 Goals)
, 
K. Mitoma
(7 Goals)
, 
J. Pedro
(7 Goals)
J. Murphy
(8 Assists)
J. Pedro
(6 Assists)
Newcastle and Brighton Stats in FA Cup
Newcastle - Brighton Key Points
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in the last five Brighton games.
- Three of the last four games between these two sides have had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Six of the last eight Brighton away FA Cup games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of Newcastle's last four matches.
- Eight of the last ten Newcastle home games have seen at least three goals scored.
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Our Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction
An exciting FA Cup tie looks on the cards here. Both sides are likely to make team changes but not too many with a lot on the line. Newcastle United will be hoping that Isak will be fit for this match after missing the Liverpool game.
Brighton and Hove Albion are in good form at present, though three of their four recent wins have come at the Amex Stadium. Their away FA Cup record is strong though and there are plenty of goals being scored and conceded. our main Newcastle v Brighton prediction is over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Newcastle vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions
Brighton to win or draw
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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Newcastle vs Brighton match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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