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Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Premier League action returns to St James’ Park this weekend for gameweek eight with Newcastle United taking on Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday afternoon. Both these sides are locked on 12 points apiece, separated only on goal difference, with the Seagulls currently in sixth place while the Magpies are seventh. Check out our match prediction below!
Newcastle are unbeaten in their last three Premier League home matches against this opponent (W2 D1 L0), with the last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw back in May. Brighton have only lost two of their last 14 top-flight matches against the Magpies, though both those defeats came in their last three visits to Tyneside.
Bookmakers have made the hosts the favourites in this contest, but the visitors have been excellent in attack over the early stages of the season and cannot be ruled out without a chance. Let’s jump into the key stats to note in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.62 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.03 | 4.08 | 3.48 |
|
|
2.03 | 4.08 | 3.48 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.8 | 3.45 |
|
|
2 | 3.92 | 3.34 |
|
|
2 | 3.92 | 3.34 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.95 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.96 | 3.42 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.95 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.93 | 4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.05 | 4 | 3.45 |
|
|
2 | 3.75 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
|
|
2 | 3.75 | 3.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Brighton match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/10/2024 between Newcastle and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.9% for a win of Newcastle against Brighton with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Brighton is 22.4% with odds of 4.1 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Newcastle with odds of 4.8 at Vbet.
Newcastle - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 44.9% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.08% | 1.65 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Newcastle/Newcastle | 21.66% | 3.25 at Betsson |
Newcastle vs Brighton Form
Newcastle and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
|
9
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Newcastle and Brighton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Newcastle vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 May 2024 - Premier League
2 Sep 2023 - Premier League
18 May 2023 - Premier League
13 Aug 2022 - Premier League
5 Mar 2022 - Premier League
6 Nov 2021 - Premier League
Newcastle - Brighton: Form Analysis
Newcastle United went into the international break off the back of a fairly disappointing goalless draw away to Everton, a week after holding Manchester City to a 1-1 draw.
Those results mean that the Magpies are winless in their last three matches, which is a significant turnaround after notching up three wins in their first four this season.
Notably, the hosts have only scored seven goals in as many games this season, which is the worst tally of any side in the top half, barring 10th-placed Nottingham Forest.
Newcastle are unbeaten in their last 11 Premier League home games dating back to February (W6 D5 L0)!
Meanwhile, Brighton & Hove Albion pulled off a remarkable comeback from two goals down to beat Tottenham Hotspur 3-2 ahead of the international break.
The Seagulls have now scored two or more goals in each of their last three Premier League matches, a feat they last achieved in January 2023 when they went five in a row.
However, the visitors have conceded eight goals in their last three league games as well, which is one more than they allowed in their previous eight league matches combined.
Brighton’s 10 goals conceded over the first seven gameweeks is also the most of any of the top 10 sides in the division this season.
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Newcastle against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
J. Lascelles
S. Botman
K. Trippier
ForwardC. Wilson
A. Webster
MidfielderS. March
J. Milner
Newcastle & Brighton Squad Analysis
Eddie Howe’s side have two long-term injury absentees at present in the form of Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascelles. Both players have undergone cruciate ligament surgery and are only expected to return by December.
Callum Wilson (back) and Garang Kuol (muscle) have each missed the last nine games for the Magpies and are expected to be sildeined this weekend.
Lewis Miley, Alexander Isak and Martin Dubravka have been spotted back in first-team training!
Fabian Huzerler confirmed last Thursday that veteran midfielder James Milner is set to be out for a “prolonged period” after suffering a setback in his recovery from a hamstring injury.
Milner will be joined on the sidelines this week by Joao Pedro (ankle), Adam Webster (thigh), Matt O’Riley (ankle) and Solly March, who is reportedly close to returning after a 12-month absence.
Simon Adingra and Jan Paul van Hecke are both cleared fit and should be in contention for selection this weekend.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Brighton
A. Isak
(5 Goals)
D. Welbeck
(6 Goals)
S. Tonali
(2 Assists)
,
A. Isak
(2 Assists)
,
J. Murphy
(2 Assists)
G. Rutter
(3 Assists)
Newcastle - Brighton Key Points
- Five of Newcastle United’s seven Premier League matches this season have ended with both teams scoring.
- Newcastle United have scored in each of their last 22 home league games.
- Five of Brighton & Hove Albion’s seven Premier League matches this season have ended with both teams scoring.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have scored two or more goals in each of their last three league games.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last four matches between these sides in all competitions.
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Our Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction
While Newcastle United have a very good record here at St James’ Park, Brighton arrive in Tyneside in excellent goal-scoring form, netting seven in their last three league games.
However, the Seagulls have also been conceding in multiples of late, letting in eight over their last three, and they are likely to struggle to shut out the Magpies here on their home patch. We’re expecting an entertaining match with plenty of chances in this one. Our Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction: Both teams to score!
Newcastle vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
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Newcastle vs Brighton match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion will be played on October 19 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion will take place at St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne.
The Premier League match between Manchester United and Brentford will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Peter Bankes will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Edward Smart, Nick Greenhalgh and James Bell as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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