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Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Ian John in Premier League Predictions
Newcastle United host Brighton this weekend in a game which could see the home side close the gap on fifth placed Tottenham Hotspur in the race for fifth. Eddie Howe’s team lie 6th in the table at present, four points behind Spurs but with three games still to play. The first of these comes against Brighton this weekend and the home team should be confident after a seven game unbeaten run at St. James’ Park. They have also been amongst the goals in those games, rattling in 23 goals in those matches and conceding 11. At St James’ Park, Newcastle have won 12, drawn three and lost three of their 18 home games, the best home record outside of the top three.
Brighton ended a run of six games without a win thanks to a 1-0 win over Aston Villa last weekend. They now lie 11th in the Premier League table on 47 points, albeit with a game in hand on a couple of teams above them in the table. Robert De Zerbi’s team have endured a torrid time with injuries of late, which has played a large part in their lack of form. They have also struggled away from home, losing three times as many games on the road (nine) as they have at home (three). The Seagulls have won just one of their last 12 away games in the Premier League, a 5-0 win at Sheffield United in February, drawing four and losing the other six games. They will take one positive into this game and that is the fact that they beat Newcastle United 3-1 when the teams met back in September.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.5 | 1.18 | 15 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.62 | 4.57 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.62 | 4.57 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.84 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.84 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.44 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.57 | 5 | 5 |
|
|
11 | 1.07 | 23 |
|
|
2.45 | 2.06 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.95 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.33 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.62 | 5 | 4.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Brighton?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2024 between Newcastle and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.46% for a win of Newcastle against Brighton with odds of 11 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Brighton is 26.16% with odds of 5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 9.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Newcastle with odds of 23 at Betway.
Newcastle - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 64.46% | 11 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.51% | 8 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 49.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Newcastle/Newcastle | 31.05% | 251 at Unibet |
Newcastle vs Brighton Form
Newcastle and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
60 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 23 |
|
11
|
48 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | -7 |
Newcastle and Brighton Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
24 Apr 2024 - Premier League
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
2 Apr 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
2 Apr 2024 - Premier League
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
2 Mar 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2024 - Premier League
24 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
16 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
11 Mar 2024 - Premier League
27 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
25 Apr 2024 - Premier League
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2024 - Premier League
25 Apr 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
14 Mar 2024 - Europa League
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Apr 2024 - Premier League
31 Mar 2024 - Premier League
7 Mar 2024 - Europa League
2 Mar 2024 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Sep 2023 - Premier League
18 May 2023 - Premier League
13 Aug 2022 - Premier League
5 Mar 2022 - Premier League
6 Nov 2021 - Premier League
20 Mar 2021 - Premier League
Newcastle against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
S. Botman
J. Lascelles
M. Targett
MidfielderS. Tonali
L. Miley
J. Willock
ForwardC. Wilson
P. Estupinan
J. Van Hecke
MidfielderS. March
J. Milner
J. Hinshelwood
K. Mitoma
ForwardE. Ferguson
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Brighton
A. Isak
(23 Goals)
J. Pedro
(15 Goals)
K. Trippier
(11 Assists)
P. Gross
(11 Assists)
Newcastle - Brighton Key Points
- Newcastle have won 12 drawn three and lost three of their 18 EPL home games this season, scoring 48 goals in those games.
- Brighton have won just four of their 18 away games this season.
- Newcastle are unbeaten in their last seven home games.
- Brighton have won just one of their last 12 away games.
- The last two fixtures between the teams at St James' Park have finished in 2-1 and 4-1 victories for Newcastle United.
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Our Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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