England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
With the international break and FA Cup quarter-finals now done, Premier League action resumes this week with Newcastle United taking on Brentford on Wednesday night at St. James’ Park. The Magpies are in sixth place in the league standings, while the Bees are 11th. Check out our match prediction below!
Newcastle United have enjoyed success in this fixture in recent years, having avoided defeat in their last six league matches against this opponent at St. James’ Park (W5 D1 L0). However, while Bretford failed to win any of their first six Premier League games against the Toons, they did come out on top in the reverse fixture 4-2 at the Gtech at the start of December last year.
The hosts are the clear favourites in this match, but it is worth considering that the visitors were excellent on the road leading up to the international break. Let’s get into the key stats in more detail.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Brentford Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.8 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.41 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.41 | 4.74 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Brentford?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Brentford match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/04/2025 between Newcastle and Brentford in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.34% for a win of Newcastle against Brentford with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Brentford is 11.29% with odds of 4.5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Brentford vs Newcastle with odds of 5 at Betfred.
Newcastle - Brentford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Brentford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 48.37% | 5 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.23% | 1.56 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 51.67% | 1.6 at Betway |
| Half-time : Newcastle / Full-time : Brentford | 17.22% | 47 at Betsson |
Newcastle vs Brentford Form
Newcastle and Brentford's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
59 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 18 |
|
11
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
Newcastle and Brentford Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
10 Mar 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
10 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
21 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
21 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Brentford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 May 2024 - Premier League
16 Sep 2023 - Premier League
8 Apr 2023 - Premier League
8 Oct 2022 - Premier League
Newcastle - Brentford: Form Analysis
Newcastle United will be buzzing this week, as it will be their first match back in front of their home fans since winning their first trophy in seven decades, beating Liverpool to the Carabao Cup on March 16.
However, prior to that historic result, the Magpies were not in the best form in the league, losing four of their last seven top-flight matches, while conceding two or more goals in each of those defeats.
Two of those defeats came on their home patch, but the hosts did win four of their last six at St. James’ Park and scored three or more goals in each of the wins during that period.
Five of the last six matches between these sides across all competitions ended with BTTS!
Meanwhile, Brentford also went into the international break off the back of a big result, coming from a goal down to beat one of this season’s surprise packages, Bournemouth, 2-1 on the road.
The Bees have now won three, drawn one and lost just one of their last five league games, which is a notable improvement after managing only three wins in their preceding 10 matches.
As mentioned, the visitors have also been in sublime form on the road of late, winning each of their last five away league games - the longest winning run on the road by any team in 2024-25.
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Players list
N. Pope
DefenderE. Krafth
F. Schar
D. Burn
T. Livramento
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
S. Tonali
J. Willock
ForwardJoelinton
C. Wilson
L. Miley
M. Flekken
DefenderS. Van den Berg
N. Collins
K. Ajer
MidfielderC. Norgaard
M. Damsgaard
E. Maghoma
Y. Wissa
ForwardK. Lewis-Potter
B. Mbeumo
K. Schade
Substitutes
M. Dubravka
DefenderL. Shahar
E. Krafth
J. Willock
S. Longstaff
L. Miley
W. Osula
S. Neave
C. Wilson
H. Valdimarsson
DefenderM. Kayode
B. Mee
K. Ji-soo
K. Ajer
Y. Konak
E. Maghoma
M. Damsgaard
I. Morgan
Missing players
J. Lascelles
S. Botman
L. Hall
ForwardA. Gordon
R. Henry
MidfielderJ. Da Silva
A. Hickey
F. Carvalho
ForwardI. Thiago
G. Nunes
Newcastle & Brentford Squad Analysis
Lewis Hall was spotted during Newcastle’s EFL Cup victory celebration wearing a protective boot following foot surgery, and he has been ruled out for the remainder of the season.
Anthony Gordon left the England camp early last week owing to a hip injury, and while he was already flagged as a doubt, he is also suspended for this match.
Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascelles are longer-term absentees and will not feature in the squad this week, though they both could return during the run-in to the end of the season.
Alexander Isak has scored seven goals in his last seven home league games!
Meanwhile, Aaron Hickey scored the first goal in Brentford Under-21s' win over Birmingham before the international break, and he has an outside shot to return to the squad for the first time since October 2023 this week.
Gustavo Nunes, Igor Thiago and Josh Dasilva are out through injury, but Rico Henry resumed full training this month and could feature in the Bees’ matchday squad.
Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa have scored four and three times respectively in their last five away league games and are ones to watch for the visitors this weekend.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Brentford
A. Isak
(24 Goals)
B. Mbeumo
(18 Goals)
J. Murphy
(12 Assists)
M. Damsgaard
(9 Assists)
Newcastle - Brentford Key Points
- Newcastle have conceded two or more goals in four of their last seven league matches.
- Both teams have scored in each of Newcastle’s last three home league games.
- Brentford have scored two or more goals in four of their last five away league matches.
- Brentford have only kept two clean sheets in their last nine league games.
- Both teams have scored in five of the last six games in all competitions between these sides.
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Our Newcastle vs Brentford Prediction
In recent weeks, home matches involving Newcastle have been high-scoring affairs, with each of the last seven such games ending with three or more striking the back of the net. Across those seven games, a total of 31 goals were scored.
While the Magpies have scored the lion’s share during that period, they will need to be wary of Brentford here, as the Bees have been sensational on the road of late, winning each of their last five away games and scoring 14 goals in that time. Therefore, our Newcastle vs Brentford prediction is both teams to score.
Newcastle vs Brentford - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Each of Newcastle United’s last seven home league games have ended with over 2.5 goals, while seven of Brentford’s last 10 away matches have seen three or more hit the back of the net.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Brentford
| Newcastle vs Brentford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 1.57 | 1.65 | +5.1% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 4.2 | -11.6% |
| Brentford wins | 4.5 | 4.75 | +5.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brentford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 22.2% and is now 21.1% (-1.2%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Newcastle vs. Brentford game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Newcastle and Brentford when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Premier League!
Newcastle vs Brentford match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Newcastle and Brentford will be played on April 2 at 19:45 GMT.
The Premier League match between Newcastle and Brentford will take place at St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne.
The Premier League match between Newcastle and Brentford will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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