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Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
This weekend’s Premier League action will get underway at St. James’ Park where Newcastle United will be playing host to Bournemouth in Saturday’s lunchtime kickoff. The Magpies are in fourth place in the league standings, while the Cherries are four places below them in eighth after 21 games. Check out our match prediction below!
In the last five matches between these sides, four games ended level with the only exception being a 2-0 win for Bournemouth back in November 2023. At St. James’ Park, both teams have scored in five of the last six encounters barring a 1-0 win to the Cherries in November 2017. However, Bournemouth have failed to win on any of their last four visits to this venue, drawing two and losing two.
Both these teams are putting very impressive unbeaten records on the line here, but the hosts are the clear favourites in the contest according to the latest bookmakers’ odds. Let’s get into the stats and trends.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Bournemouth Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.33 | 5 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.75 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.42 | 4.89 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.42 | 4.89 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.2 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.3 | 4.76 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.3 | 4.76 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.3 | 5 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.28 | 4.86 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.3 | 5 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.4 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.33 | 5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.5 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.2 | 4.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Bournemouth match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2025 between Newcastle and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.83% for a win of Newcastle against Bournemouth with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Bournemouth is 27.09% with odds of 4.5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Newcastle with odds of 5.2 at Unibet.
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Form
Newcastle and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
38 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 15 |
|
8
|
34 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Newcastle and Bournemouth Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
16 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Nov 2023 - Premier League
11 Feb 2023 - Premier League
20 Dec 2022 - Carabao Cup
17 Sep 2022 - Premier League
Newcastle - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Newcastle United have been on an absolute tear since mid-December and extended their excellent record to six consecutive league wins, beating Wolves 3-0 at home on Wednesday.
That result also marked the Magpies' third consecutive home win in the top flight and fourth game in succession without defeat. They have taken 20 of a possible 30 points at St. James’ Park this season.
During their ongoing unbeaten run at home, the hosts have scored three or more goals in each of those four games and kept clean sheets in the last three.
Newcastle have won nine straight across all competitions - the club’s joint-longest win streak ever!
Meanwhile, Bournemouth have also been one of the most improved teams in the Premier League this season, and notched up another big result, holding Chelsea to a 2-2 draw on Tuesday.
With that, the Cherries are now unbeaten in their last nine league games, including five wins and four draws, which is their club record for the most consecutive league games without defeat.
On the road, the visitors are undefeated in five games (W3 D2 L1) and have scored two or more goals in each of their last six away matches dating back to the end of October last year.
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Newcastle vs Bournemouth last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Pope
DefenderJ. Lascelles
ForwardC. Wilson
M. Senesi
J. Araujo
A. Smith
MidfielderA. Scott
M. Tavernier
ForwardL. Sinisterra
E. Unal
Evanilson
Newcastle & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
Eddie Howe’s side were dealt a significant injury blow in the lead-up to their midweek triumph, with Fabian Schar forced to miss out due to illness following a two-match suspension.
Schar is unlikely to feature this weekend and will join fellow defender Jamaal Lascelles in a watching brief, along with goalkeeper Nick Pope, who is out with a knee injury.
Forwards Callum Wilson and Harvey Barnes are sidelined until next month, but the Magpies’ attack has been incredible of late, thanks to the form of Alexander Isak.
Isak broke Alan Shearer’s record of scoring in seven consecutive games in the win over Wolves!
Meanwhile, Andoni Iraola’s side’s unbeaten run is all the more remarkable when considering that they are missing 10 players through injury, including both first-team strikers Enes Unal and Evanilson.
Julian Araujo, Marcos Senesi, and James Hill are all slated to remain on the treatment table until next month. Adam Smith, Marcus Tavernier, Luis Sinisterra and Alex Scott will also miss this weekend's trip to Newcastle.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Bournemouth
A. Isak
(17 Goals)
J. Kluivert
(7 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(7 Assists)
, 
J. Murphy
(7 Assists)
M. Tavernier
(4 Assists)
Newcastle and Bournemouth Stats in Premier League
Newcastle - Bournemouth Key Points
- Seven of Newcastle United’s last eight league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Newcaslte United have scored two or more goals in 11 consecutive matches across all competitions.
- Newcastle United have scored three or more goals in each of their last four home league matches.
- Five of Bournemouth’s last eight league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Bournemouth have scored two or more goals in each of their last six away league matches.
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Our Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction
Newcastle United have been sensational over the last month, breaking records as they go along, and they have gotten themselves well and truly in the title race conversation, now nine points off Liverpool.
However, Bournemouth are proving to be a bogey side for most of the top teams in the league recently, and have found a way to extend their unbeaten run in the top flight to nine, despite having a laundry list of players sidelined through injury. We’re expecting a very entertaining contest to kick off the weekend and fancy there will be a few goals in this one. Our Newcastle United vs Bournemouth prediction is over 2.5.
Newcastle vs Bournemouth - Other Interesting Predictions
Alexander Isak to score anytime
Isak is the hottest striker in the league at the moment and just broke Alan Shearer’s record - which stood for almost two decades - for scoring in an eighth successive match for the Magpies in midweek. We’ve been backing the Swede blindly in recent weeks and he continues to cash tickets, and we’ll keep doing so until this well runs dry.
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Newcastle vs Bournemouth match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Newcastle United and Bournemouth will be played on January 18 at 12:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Newcastle United and Bournemouth will take place at St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne.
The Premier League match between Newcastle United and Bournemouth will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Stuart Attwell will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Constantine Hatzidakis, Natalie Aspinall and Dean Whitestone as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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