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Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Newcastle United will on Thursday welcome Aston Villa in a crunching English Premier League tie. This match involves two teams with ambitions of qualifying for the Champions League. Two points separate the two sides in the standings with sixth-placed Aston Villa having a slight advantage over their eighth-placed hosts. Below we have a look at the stats and numbers in the lead up to this game and at least two predictions of the match’s outcome.
Newcastle have won their last two meetings with Villa and the bookies have them as favourites to win again. They have also bagged three straight wins ahead of this game, including two in the league.
Both Newcastle United and Aston Villa are in splendid form, meaning we are in for an exciting Boxing Day matchup. Aston Villa beat champions Manchester City in their last outing while Newcastle United were winners at St. James Park against Ipswich Town.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.8 | 3.6 |
|
|
2 | 3.98 | 3.65 |
|
|
2 | 3.98 | 3.65 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.8 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.9 | 3.58 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.9 | 3.58 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.9 | 3.58 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.9 | 3.65 |
|
|
1.99 | 4 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.85 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.85 | 3.65 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.8 | 3.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Aston Villa match is: Newcastle United to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/12/2024 between Newcastle and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.27% for a win of Newcastle against Aston Villa with odds of 2.02 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Aston Villa is 11.83% with odds of 4 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Newcastle with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Form
Newcastle and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
28 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
|
8
|
26 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Newcastle and Aston Villa Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
25 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
7 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
12 Aug 2023 - Premier League
15 Apr 2023 - Premier League
29 Oct 2022 - Premier League
13 Feb 2022 - Premier League
21 Aug 2021 - Premier League
Newcastle - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Newcastle have won three successive games. A 3-1 League Cup success over Brentford is sandwiched by identical 4-0 league victories over Leicester City and Ipswich Town.
This exciting form should make Eddie Howe’s men confident that they will win four straight matches for the first time this season. The Magpies have won seven and drawn another five of their 17 matches to accumulate 26 points.
Another win here could move them into the European places and also within two points of the Champions League bracket. Newcastle’s home form is however a concern as they have dropped points in half of their eight league matches at St. James’ Park.
Newcastle United are eyeing four wins in a row for the first time this season.
Aston Villa got back to winning ways this past weekend thanks to a 2-1 victory over struggling Manchester City. Unai Emery’s men have picked up their form in recent outings.
They have won four times in their last five games and before this period, they had gone eight straight fixtures without a win. The Villans have amassed 28 points after winning eight and drawing four of 17 league fixtures.
Villa have managed just one win in their last five competitive encounters with Newcastle and haven’t won away against them since 2005.
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Newcastle vs Aston Villa last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
N. Pope
DefenderJ. Lascelles
S. Botman
E. Krafth
ForwardC. Wilson
Joelinton
J. Ramsey
Newcastle & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Joelinton is back from suspension but the midfielder could find himself on the sidelines for this match. He is dealing with a facial injury sustained during a League Cup tie a week ago.
The Brazilian is a huge presence for the hosts but they have shown, with the win over Ipswich, that they have enough cover. Alexander Isak is having yet another exciting season in front of goal and with 10 league goals is firmly in the Golden Boot race.
Callum Wilson, Sven Botman, Nick Pope and Jamal Lascelles are still out injured.
Newcastle United have Joelinton back from suspension but not from injury.
Leon Bailey returned from a muscle injury and was on the bench in the win over City this past weekend. He is therefore likely to play a part in his side’s trip to Tyne Wear which is a major boost to the visitors.
Ollie Watkins and Jhon Duran have scored seven league goals each and will fight for the starting spot to lead the attack.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Aston Villa
A. Isak
(11 Goals)
J. Duran
(12 Goals)
J. Murphy
(5 Assists)
, 
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
Y. Tielemans
(6 Assists)
Newcastle and Aston Villa Stats in Premier League
Newcastle - Aston Villa Key Points
- Newcastle have won four of the last five meetings with Villa.
- Four of Villa’s five league defeats have come away from home.
- Five of Villa’s last six away fixtures have ended in defeat.
- Newcastle United are on a three-match winning run.
- Aston Villa haven’t won any of their last 15 league away matches against Newcastle.
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Our Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction
Our prediction for Newcastle United v Aston Villa is for Newcastle to win. Newcastle have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five competitive showdowns. Their home record against Villa is even more impressive as they haven’t lost to their visitors at St. James’ Park in 19 years.
Newcastle are also in a rich vein of form. Coupling this with Villa’s away struggles this season, another home win for them in this fixture looks very likely.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
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Newcastle vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Thursday 26 December.
This match will be played at Newcastle’s St. James’ Park in Newcastle, England.
This match will be live on Amazon Prime for audiences in the UK. SportyTrader, meanwhile, through the Premier League live scores tab, will have the match updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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