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England - Premier League

Newcastle
02 Nov 2024 08:30
Arsenal

Prediction :

Arsenal wins the match

$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Joseph King | in Premier League Predictions

One of the Premier League’s more fiery fixtures in recent years, Saturday’s slate in the English top flight sees 12th-place Newcastle hosting third-placed Arsenal. If you’re looking to bet on this match between the Magpies and the Gunners, then we’ve got a prediction that is sure to help!

Both teams could really use a win here after each dropping points in their last few league outings. Arsenal were unable to hold on to what would have been a huge three points against Liverpool last weekend, while Newcastle slumped to a second straight defeat after losing to Chelsea.

Matches between these two storied English clubs rarely disappoint and there’s been a number of extremely heated and controversial clashes over recent seasons. They traded wins at their respective home stadiums in the previous campaign, with Arsenal’s 4-1 win in February giving their fans the most recent set of bragging rights. Will we see a repeat of that fixture, or will Newcastle be able to respond in front of the home support at St. James’ Park?

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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Arsenal Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.75 3.75 1.95
Ladbrokes
3.6 2.6 2.2
1xbet
3.85 3.81 1.99
22bet
3.85 3.81 1.99
Betobet
3.7 3.8 1.9
Betwinner
3.64 3.68 1.97
Stake
3.7 3.85 1.95
Melbet
3.7 3.7 1.94
Tonybet
3.7 3.85 1.96
Check all Newcastle vs Arsenal odds
Up to $200 to bet on Newcastle - Arsenal! 

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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Arsenal?

Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2024 between Newcastle and Arsenal in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.34% for a win of Newcastle against Arsenal with odds of 3.85 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Arsenal is 25.64% with odds of 3.85 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 40.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Newcastle with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.

Newcastle vs Arsenal Form

Newcastle and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Arsenal
Arsenal
18 9 5 3 1 7
12
Newcastle
Newcastle
12 9 3 3 3 -1

Newcastle and Arsenal Last Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
D W D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

27 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Newcastle

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  1
Brighton

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Newcastle

1 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
1 :  0
AFC Wimbledon

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Manchester City
W W D W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  1
Brighton

1 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
1 :  0
AFC Wimbledon

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Manchester City

1 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Tottenham

17 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Southampton
D D W L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Newcastle

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Newcastle

21 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  1
Newcastle

15 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  2
Newcastle

28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Newcastle

25 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Newcastle
Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W W L W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Preston North End
0 :  3
Arsenal

27 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Liverpool

22 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Shakhtar Donetsk

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Arsenal

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Southampton

1 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  0
PSG
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Liverpool

22 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Shakhtar Donetsk

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Southampton

1 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  0
PSG

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  2
Leicester

25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
5 :  1
Bolton
W W D D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Preston North End
0 :  3
Arsenal

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Arsenal

22 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Arsenal

19 Sep 2024 - Champions League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Arsenal

15 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Arsenal

24 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  2
Arsenal

Newcastle against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

33 %

Draw

17 %

Arsenal

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
17%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
17%
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5

24 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Newcastle

4 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Arsenal

7 May 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  2
Arsenal

3 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Newcastle

16 May 2022 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Arsenal

27 Nov 2021 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Newcastle
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Newcastle - Arsenal: Form Analysis

Both teams were victorious in their midweek Carabao Cup fixtures. Arsenal grabbed a 3-0 away win over Preston North End which marked their second win in their last three matches.

Their last Premier League appearance saw them frustratingly concede with nine minutes left to ultimately draw 2-2 with Liverpool.

It will feel like two points dropped for Arsenal fans, who witnessed their team twice squander the lead.

As a result, Arsenal now sit third in the standings on a total of 18 points, putting them four points behind second-place Liverpool and five points off leaders Man City.

Newcastle picked up a much-needed 2-0 home win over Chelsea in their Carabao Cup fixture on Wednesday. It ended a three match winless run for the club and they’ll be hoping to carry over that positive momentum into Saturday.

Manager Eddie Howe has seen his Newcastle side enter into a tailspin as the club’s top four ambitions are at risk. After a positive start to the season saw Newcastle take 10 points from the first 12 available, they’re now on a five-match league winless run with two draws and three defeats.

Last weekend, they were beaten 2-1 away from home against Chelsea, which marked their second straight Premier League loss. The hosts’ 12 points sees them six points off of a Champions League qualification spot.

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Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

J. Lascelles

S. Botman

K. Trippier

Forward

C. Wilson

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

K. Tierney

T. Tomiyasu

R. Calafiori

Midfielder

M. Odegaard

Newcastle & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Newcastle come into this fixture without the service of a pair of defenders in Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascelles, both of whom suffered ACL injuries at the end of last season.

They’ll also be without two of their fullbacks as both Matt Targett (Eczema), and Kieran Trippier (thigh) are expected to miss out.

On the attacking front, Newcastle has also sustained injuries to winger Jacob Murphy (hamstring) and striker Callum Wilson (back).

Arsenal have been plagued by injuries to key players in the still young 2024/25 season.

Center back Gabriel Magalhães was the latest casualty as the Brazilian was forced to come off in his team’s 2-2 draw with Liverpool last weekend. 

Arsenal do have William Saliba back after serving his red card suspension and he featured in the starting lineup for the team’s win over Preston on Wednesday.

Also making a start in that game was versatile defender Jurriën Timber. The Dutchman looked like he had also suffered an injury last weekend but he appears to be good to go and will be a big boost for the visitors.

Martin Ødegaard, Riccardo Calafiori, Takehiro Tomiyasu and Kieran Tierney all remain in the treatment room and will not play a part here.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
Sweden A. Isak (3 Goals)
England H. Barnes (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany K. Havertz (7 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Murphy (2 Assists)
Best assists
England B. Saka (7 Assists)

Newcastle and Arsenal Stats in Premier League

Newcastle
Newcastle
Arsenal
Arsenal
33%
Victories
56%
33%
Draw
33%
33%
Defeats
11%
2.11
Total goals per match
3
1
Goals scored per match
1.89
1.11
Goals conceded per match
1.11
44%
Over 2.5
44%
56%
Under 2.5
56%
67%
BTTS
56%
22%
No goals conceded
33%

Newcastle - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Arsenal have won two of their last three meetings with Newcastle, the most recent of which finished in a 4-1 victory.
  2. Newcastle have failed to win in their last five Premier League fixtures, losing three.
  3. The hosts have failed to score in two of their last three league appearances.
  4. Arsenal have six wins from their last eight matches across all competitions.
  5. In those eight games, the visitors have racked up a total of 20 goals (2.5 average per game).
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Our Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction

With both teams come into this game off of midweek wins in the Carabao Cup, it’s Arsenal who are undoubtedly the team in the better form overall. Newcastle have struggled to put consistent wins on the board and their job won’t get any easier here.

Arsenal have faced plenty of challenges so far in this season but they are still producing the results. They have what it takes to claim a big three points at St. James’ Park on Saturday. Our Newcastle vs Arsenal prediction: Arsenal to win.

Prediction :

Arsenal wins the match

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Newcastle vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score

Odds 1.75
Both teams are dealing with injury problems and will be without a few of their regular starters, which could result in more goal action in the match. Arsenal have been scoring the ball well this season but have been uncharacteristically vulnerable on defense. Newcastle, meanwhile, will hope that their Carabao Cup win over Chelsea sparks a turnaround.
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Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction
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