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Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Joseph King in Premier League Predictions
One of the Premier League’s more fiery fixtures in recent years, Saturday’s slate in the English top flight sees 12th-place Newcastle hosting third-placed Arsenal. If you’re looking to bet on this match between the Magpies and the Gunners, then we’ve got a prediction that is sure to help!
Both teams could really use a win here after each dropping points in their last few league outings. Arsenal were unable to hold on to what would have been a huge three points against Liverpool last weekend, while Newcastle slumped to a second straight defeat after losing to Chelsea.
Matches between these two storied English clubs rarely disappoint and there’s been a number of extremely heated and controversial clashes over recent seasons. They traded wins at their respective home stadiums in the previous campaign, with Arsenal’s 4-1 win in February giving their fans the most recent set of bragging rights. Will we see a repeat of that fixture, or will Newcastle be able to respond in front of the home support at St. James’ Park?
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.6 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.6 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.77 | 3.67 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.77 | 3.67 | 2.05 |
|
|
4 | 3.6 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.64 | 3.68 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.64 | 3.68 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.6 | 2.04 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.7 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.75 | 1.97 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.62 | 1.99 |
|
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3.5 | 3.6 | 2 |
|
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4 | 3.75 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.6 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.7 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.5 | 2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2024 between Newcastle and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.02% for a win of Newcastle against Arsenal with odds of 4.1 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Arsenal is 25.63% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Newcastle with odds of 2.05 at 1xbet.
Newcastle - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 40.35% | 2.05 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 66.28% | 2.06 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 29.58% | 1.75 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal | 15.85% | 5.2 at Betsson |
Newcastle vs Arsenal Form
Newcastle and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
|
8
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Newcastle and Arsenal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Nov 2023 - Premier League
7 May 2023 - Premier League
3 Jan 2023 - Premier League
16 May 2022 - Premier League
27 Nov 2021 - Premier League
Newcastle - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Both teams were victorious in their midweek Carabao Cup fixtures. Arsenal grabbed a 3-0 away win over Preston North End which marked their second win in their last three matches.
Their last Premier League appearance saw them frustratingly concede with nine minutes left to ultimately draw 2-2 with Liverpool.
It will feel like two points dropped for Arsenal fans, who witnessed their team twice squander the lead.
As a result, Arsenal now sit third in the standings on a total of 18 points, putting them four points behind second-place Liverpool and five points off leaders Man City.
Newcastle picked up a much-needed 2-0 home win over Chelsea in their Carabao Cup fixture on Wednesday. It ended a three match winless run for the club and they’ll be hoping to carry over that positive momentum into Saturday.
Manager Eddie Howe has seen his Newcastle side enter into a tailspin as the club’s top four ambitions are at risk. After a positive start to the season saw Newcastle take 10 points from the first 12 available, they’re now on a five-match league winless run with two draws and three defeats.
Last weekend, they were beaten 2-1 away from home against Chelsea, which marked their second straight Premier League loss. The hosts’ 12 points sees them six points off of a Champions League qualification spot.
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Newcastle against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
J. Lascelles
S. Botman
K. Trippier
ForwardC. Wilson
K. Tierney
T. Tomiyasu
R. Calafiori
Newcastle & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Newcastle come into this fixture without the service of a pair of defenders in Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascelles, both of whom suffered ACL injuries at the end of last season.
They’ll also be without two of their fullbacks as both Matt Targett (Eczema), and Kieran Trippier (thigh) are expected to miss out.
On the attacking front, Newcastle has also sustained injuries to winger Jacob Murphy (hamstring) and striker Callum Wilson (back).
Arsenal have been plagued by injuries to key players in the still young 2024/25 season.
Center back Gabriel Magalhães was the latest casualty as the Brazilian was forced to come off in his team’s 2-2 draw with Liverpool last weekend.
Arsenal do have William Saliba back after serving his red card suspension and he featured in the starting lineup for the team’s win over Preston on Wednesday.
Also making a start in that game was versatile defender Jurriën Timber. The Dutchman looked like he had also suffered an injury last weekend but he appears to be good to go and will be a big boost for the visitors.
Martin Ødegaard, Riccardo Calafiori, Takehiro Tomiyasu and Kieran Tierney all remain in the treatment room and will not play a part here.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Arsenal
A. Isak
(5 Goals)
K. Havertz
(7 Goals)
S. Tonali
(2 Assists)
,
A. Isak
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Murphy
(2 Assists)
B. Saka
(7 Assists)
Newcastle - Arsenal Key Points
- Arsenal have won two of their last three meetings with Newcastle, the most recent of which finished in a 4-1 victory.
- Newcastle have failed to win in their last five Premier League fixtures, losing three.
- The hosts have failed to score in two of their last three league appearances.
- Arsenal have six wins from their last eight matches across all competitions.
- In those eight games, the visitors have racked up a total of 20 goals (2.5 average per game).
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Our Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction
With both teams come into this game off of midweek wins in the Carabao Cup, it’s Arsenal who are undoubtedly the team in the better form overall. Newcastle have struggled to put consistent wins on the board and their job won’t get any easier here.
Arsenal have faced plenty of challenges so far in this season but they are still producing the results. They have what it takes to claim a big three points at St. James’ Park on Saturday. Our Newcastle vs Arsenal prediction: Arsenal to win.
Newcastle vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Arsenal
| Newcastle vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 4.2 | 4 | -4.8% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.6 | -10.0% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.73 | 1.95 | +12.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 51.3% (-6.5%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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