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England - Premier League

Newcastle
07 May 2023 11:30
Arsenal

Prediction :

 

Newcastle wins the match

 
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Joseph King | in Premier League Predictions

With their title hopes dwindling, second-place Arsenal seek a response when they travel north to take on third-place Newcastle for matchday 35 of the English Premier League. The Gunners find themselves trailing league leaders Manchester City by just a single point but could see that gap widen to four points with their title rivals holding a game in hand advantage. Newcastle will be looking to hold on to their third-place spot as they lead fourth-place Manchester United by two points with five matches remaining. Newcastle also hold a six point lead over streaking fifth-place Liverpool as the Magpies attempt to secure entry to the Champions League for the first time in 20 years.

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The oddsmakers have the home side listed as slight favorites with Newcastle coming in at a price of 2.45 to get the three points. Arsenal are the underdogs at odds of 2.63 while the draw comes in at 3.75. Also interesting to note is that Arsenal have odds of 13.0 to win the Premier League title while Newcastle have odds of 1.06 for a top four finish.

Newcastle vs Arsenal Form

Newcastle and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Arsenal
Arsenal
84 38 26 6 6 45
4
Newcastle
Newcastle
71 38 19 14 5 35

Newcastle and Arsenal Last Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

30 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  1
Southampton

27 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  4
Newcastle

23 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
6 :  1
Tottenham

15 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  0
Newcastle

8 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  2
Newcastle

5 Apr 2023 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  5
Newcastle
D L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  1
Southampton

23 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
6 :  1
Tottenham

2 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Manchester United

12 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Wolves

18 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  2
Liverpool

4 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
West Ham
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  4
Newcastle

15 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  0
Newcastle

8 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  2
Newcastle

5 Apr 2023 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  5
Newcastle

17 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Newcastle

4 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Newcastle
Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W D D D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

2 May 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Chelsea

26 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Arsenal

21 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  3
Southampton

16 Apr 2023 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Arsenal

9 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Arsenal

1 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Leeds
W D W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 May 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Chelsea

21 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  3
Southampton

1 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Leeds

19 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Crystal Palace

16 Mar 2023 - Europa League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

4 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  2
Bournemouth
W D W D D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Arsenal

16 Apr 2023 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Arsenal

9 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Arsenal

12 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  3
Arsenal

9 Mar 2023 - Europa League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  2
Arsenal

25 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  1
Arsenal

Newcastle vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Newcastle

17 %

Draw

17 %

Arsenal

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
17%
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5

3 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Newcastle

16 May 2022 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Arsenal

27 Nov 2021 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Newcastle

2 May 2021 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  2
Arsenal

18 Jan 2021 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Newcastle

9 Jan 2021 - FA Cup

Arsenal
2 :  0
Newcastle
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Newcastle - Arsenal: Form Analysis

A recent four match winless run culminating in a 3-1 away loss to Manchester City all but ended Arsenal’s hopes of a first league title since the 2003/04 season. Mikel Arteta’s young Arsenal side were, however, able to respond positively in their last outing against London rivals Chelsea, dominating the match to record a 3-1 home victory. The Gunners, who had previously been near faultless away from home, have wobbled somewhat in recent trips as they have now failed to win in their last three away matches. During this time Arsenal have conceded eight goals which accounts for nearly half of the 17 total goals that they have conceded this season in their 17 away matches. They’ve also seen a significant dropoff in their defensive efficiency as the team has conceded in eight straight matches.

Newcastle come into this matchup in a superb vein of form after recording their third consecutive win following a 3-1 home victory over Southampton. The result means that the Magpies have now won eight of their last nine matches and have the oddsmakers laying them as heavy favorites to secure a top four finish. Newcastle have been excellent when playing at St. James’ Park this season, winning 10 of their 16 outings and losing only once.  In addition, they’ve seemingly found a new offensive gear in recent matches with 20 of their 61 total league goals coming in the last six matches. Newcastle have scored 13 goals in their last three matches alone, nine of which came on their home pitch.

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Newcastle against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11

Newcastle

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

22
N. Pope
2
K. Trippier
5
F. Schar
4
S. Botman
33
D. Burn
7
Joelinton
39
B. Guimaraes
28
J. Willock
23
J. Murphy
14
A. Isak
9
C. Wilson
11
G. Martinelli
9
G. Jesus
7
B. Saka
34
G. Xhaka
20
Jorginho
8
M. Odegaard
35
O. Zinchenko
6
G. Magalhaes
15
J. Kiwior
4
B. White
1
A. Ramsdale

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

E. Krafth

J. Lascelles

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

T. Tomiyasu

W. Saliba

Newcastle & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Arsenal are dearly missing defender William Saliba. There has been a night-and-day difference in their defense without the Frenchman partnering Gabriel at the back and is a large reason as to why they’ve struggled to pick up wins in the last month. To make matters worse, the aforementioned Gabriel was forced off late on in the win over Chelsea although is expected to suit up for this one. Arteta will likely hand Jakub Kiwior another spot in the starting 11 after the young Polish international was highly impressive in his start against Chelsea. The usual suspects are expected to lead the line for the Gunners with Jesus, Martinelli and Saka supported by Odegaard, Xhaka and Partey behind. 

For Newcastle boss Eddie Howe, he’ll be without team captain Jamaal Lascelles who is set to miss the rest of the season with a calf injury, and Emil Krafth who is dealing with an ACL injury. The hosts are still sweating the fitness of the electric Allan Saint-Maximin and Sean Longstaff who both appear to be touch-and-go right up until kickoff. Striker Callum Wilson scored two goals off the bench as a second-half substitute against Southampton and will be pushing for a spot in the starting 11 here. However, Howe may opt to keep Wilson in the effective super-sub role and continue with club record signing Alexander Isak as the main striker.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Newcastle
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
England C. Wilson (18 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway M. Odegaard (15 Goals) England B. Saka (15 Goals) Brazil G. Martinelli (15 Goals)
Best assists
England K. Trippier (7 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (12 Assists)

Newcastle - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Newcastle have won their last four straight at home, outscoring their opponents by a total of 13-3 during that time.
  2. Arsenal have conceded 12 goals in their last five matches.
  3. Newcastle have scored in eight of their last nine matches.
  4. Newcastle have conceded a second best 11 goals at home this season and have kept a clean sheet in eight of their 16 home matches.
  5. Arsenal have failed to win in their last three away trips, allowing eight goals during that stretch.
Up to $150 to bet on Newcastle - Arsenal! 

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Our Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction

The last match between these two teams finished in a 0-0 stalemate and we certainly wouldn’t fault anyone who were to predict another draw in this one. However, there are reasons to believe that Newcastle hold the edge here given their overall recent form when compared with their opponents. Additionally, the absence of Saliba has been a huge blow to the Arsenal defense and undoubtedly increases Newcastle's chances of getting on the scoresheet. With Newcastle in red-hot goal scoring form and the visitors unable to keep a clean sheet at the moment, we see clear value in backing a home win. Our Newcastle vs Arsenal prediction: Newcastle to win

Prediction :

 

Newcastle wins the match

 
Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

Newcastle vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score + over 2.5 goals

Odds 1.83
This bet would have come through in the last seven consecutive Premier League matches for Arsenal and five of the last six for Newcastle. Both teams have had very little trouble in finding the net lately which should make for an entertaining fixture despite their first meeting finishing as a goalless draw.
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction
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