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Newcastle vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Kennedy Kechula | in Champions League Predictions
Newcastle United will on Wednesday play host to AC Milan in the final match day in Group F of this season's Champions League. The two teams are tied on points coming into this match with United in third edging Milan in fourth on goal difference. The winner here will confirm third place and a slot in the playoff knockout rounds of the Europa League.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v AC Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.9 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.89 | 4.2 | 4.05 |
|
|
1.89 | 4.2 | 4.05 |
|
|
1.82 | 4.04 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.82 | 4.04 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.82 | 4.04 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.89 | 4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.9 | 4.2 | 3.83 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.84 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.88 | 4 | 3.95 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.75 | 3.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and AC Milan?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/12/2023 between Newcastle and AC Milan in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.95% for a win of Newcastle against AC Milan with odds of 1.95 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs AC Milan is 31.44% with odds of 4.2 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.61% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Newcastle with odds of 4.05 at 1xbet.
Newcastle - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle AC Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 46.95% | 1.95 at William Hill |
| Under 2.5 | 51.59% | 2.39 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Newcastle | 26.22% | 5.2 at Betsson |
Newcastle vs AC Milan Form
Newcastle and AC Milan's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 |
|
4
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 |
Newcastle and AC Milan Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2023 - Premier League
7 Dec 2023 - Premier League
2 Dec 2023 - Premier League
28 Nov 2023 - Champions League
25 Nov 2023 - Premier League
11 Nov 2023 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Dec 2023 - Premier League
25 Nov 2023 - Premier League
4 Nov 2023 - Premier League
25 Oct 2023 - Champions League
21 Oct 2023 - Premier League
4 Oct 2023 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2023 - Premier League
7 Dec 2023 - Premier League
28 Nov 2023 - Champions League
11 Nov 2023 - Premier League
7 Nov 2023 - Champions League
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2023 - Serie A
2 Dec 2023 - Serie A
28 Nov 2023 - Champions League
25 Nov 2023 - Serie A
11 Nov 2023 - Serie A
7 Nov 2023 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Dec 2023 - Serie A
28 Nov 2023 - Champions League
25 Nov 2023 - Serie A
7 Nov 2023 - Champions League
4 Nov 2023 - Serie A
22 Oct 2023 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2023 - Serie A
11 Nov 2023 - Serie A
29 Oct 2023 - Serie A
25 Oct 2023 - Champions League
7 Oct 2023 - Serie A
4 Oct 2023 - Champions League
Newcastle vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
19 Sep 2023 - Champions League
Newcastle - AC Milan: Form Analysis
A draw will keep Newcastle’s European journey going in the Europa League but a win can see them progress in the Champions League. Eddie Howe’s men are two points behind second-placed PSG who will be away to group leaders Dortmund also on Wednesday. They will have to be at their very best though to achieve one of these scenarios as they have wavered recently. The Magpies have won just twice in their last seven fixtures and have been defeated four times. Two of those defeats have come in their last two outings and in both, they have conceded at least three times. They were hammered 4-1 over the weekend by Tottenham in the Premier League. Newcastle have lost twice in Group F and one of those defeats came the last time they were home in this competition. They drew 0-0 with Milan on matchday one and if push comes to shove, they will gladly settle for the same result.
AC Milan are also arriving here off the back of a defeat. Their fourth Serie A loss of the season saw them drop nine points off the pace. Stefano Pioli’s men were defeated 3-2 away to Atalanta over the weekend to suffer their second loss in three matches. In both defeats, they conceded three times. Milan are also struggling to win matches and in their last 10 fixtures, they have claimed all the spoils just three times. To at least continue their European presence in the Europa League, Milan have to win here. A win, coupled with a loss for PSG in Germany will see the seven-time Champions League winners advance to the round of 16.
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Newcastle against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
S. Botman
M. Targett
MidfielderJ. Willock
Newcastle & AC Milan Squad Analysis
Newcastle have been blighted by injuries and could have no less than 10 players absent for this do-or-die clash. Nick Pope, Jacob Murphy, Dan Burn, Elliot Anderson, Sven Botman, Joe Willock, Harvey Barnes, Javier Manquillo, and Matt Target are out injured. Former Milan midfielder Sandro Tonali continues his 10-month suspension. A positive for Newcastle though is that Callum Wilson is back from a one-month injury layoff. The English forward made an appearance off the bench against Tottenham. Having him back is a big boost as he is one of their top scorers with eight goals thus far. He could however start from the bench here with Alexander Isak, Aaron Gordon, and Miguel Almiron set to start in a three-pronged attack again.
AC Milan are also set to miss a good number here due to injuries. Marco Sportiello, Mallick Thiaw, Pierre Kalulu, and Noah Okafor are all out injured while Simon Kjaer is a doubt. Davide Calabria will be available for selection as his sending-off against Atalanta doesn't apply here. Tallismatic winger Rafael Leao has missed the last four games with a hamstring injury but could be available for this game. The Portuguese international has in the last few days trained with the Milan first team. Leao scored in Milan's only win in Group F which was a 2-1 victory over PSG. All hope however for a goal will be placed on Olivier Giroud who is the club's top scorer with nine. The Frenchman was on target over the weekend. Giroud scored nine goals against Newcastle in his time in England and will be a huge threat to the hosts.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
AC Milan
A. Isak
(23 Goals)
O. Giroud
(17 Goals)
K. Trippier
(11 Assists)
R. Leao
(13 Assists)
Newcastle - AC Milan Key Points
- Three of Newcastle’s last five matches have produced over 2.5 goals
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in four of Milan’s last five fixtures
- Milan haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last four away games which have all produced over 2.5 goals
- One of Newcastle’s two matches at home in Group F has seen over 2.5 goals
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in Milan’s last three matches in Group F
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Our Newcastle vs AC Milan Prediction
Our prediction for Newcastle United v AC Milan is for over 2.5 goals to be scored here. Both these teams have been porous in defense and arrived for this match having each conceded three times in their last outings. With this match an all-or-bust for both teams regarding knockout qualification, goals are bound to be in the plenty.
Newcastle vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Newcastle United to win
For our second take of this match, we settle for Newcastle United to win. Newcastle United have been almost perfect at home this season and only twice have they failed to win in their 11 games at St. James' Park. Milan on their part have struggled in their away matches and in their last four such games, they failed to win.
Newcastle United to score first
Our third prediction is for Newcastle United to score the match's opening goal. Eddie Howe's men have scored first in all but one of their home matches this season across all competitions. This is a trend we expect to extend to this game.
Newcastle vs AC Milan match : Frequently asked questions
The Newcastle United v AC Milan match will be played on Wednesday 13 December and will kick off at 20:00 GMT.
The Newcastle United v AC Milan match will be played at Newcastle's St. James' Park Stadium in Newcastle, England.
Fans in the UK can watch the Newcastle United v AC Milan match live on TNT Sports. Those in Italy can do so on Sky Italia, Prime Video, and Mediaset. For minute-by-minute updates, check out Sportytrader for this and the rest of the Champions League games this week.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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