Europe - UEFA Nations League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Defending champions Spain travel to the Netherlands for the first leg of this Nations League quarter-final. The winners will be up against either Croatia or France in the last four next June. Can the Flying Dutchmen get a home win? Here's our match prediction.
The Netherlands reached the Nations League final in 2019 and were fourth two years ago. They finished second behind Germany in the group stages and now face this tough two-legged tie against Spain. They are in good form at home and will be hoping to secure a lead to take to Spain.
Their opponents won the Nations League in 2023 and twelve months later, followed that up by becoming European champions. They comfortably won their Nations League group finishing eight points clear of Denmark. As you will read in the form section of this Nations League preview, Spain are on an excellent run at present and will want to return home to Spain with a great chance of reaching the last four again.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Netherlands v Spain Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.4 | 2.62 |
|
|
1.55 | 2.88 | 8.55 |
|
|
1.55 | 2.88 | 8.55 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Netherlands and Spain?
Our prediction for the Netherlands vs Spain match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/03/2025 between Netherlands and Spain in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.62% for a win of Netherlands against Spain with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Netherlands vs Spain is 31.43% with odds of 3.42 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Spain vs Netherlands with odds of 8.55 at 1xbet.
Netherlands vs Spain Form
Netherlands and Spain Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jul 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
9 Jul 2024 - Euro
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
Netherlands vs Spain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
11 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies
Netherlands - Spain: Form Analysis
The Netherlands are unbeaten in their last two matches. Their most recent fixture saw them draw 1-1 away to Bosnia & Herzegovina, though they did lead in that match. Before that, they had a convincing 4-0 home victory over Hungary.
The Clockwork Orange have only lost one of their last six matches, a 1-0 away defeat in Germany. Home form is strong with 11 goals scored in their last three games and eight of the last nine played have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
Spain are in top form.
Spain have won each of their last five internationals. The most recent of those victories came in November of last year when beating Switzerland 3-2 at home. They needed a 93rd minute penalty to win that Nations League match.
The Red One are unbeaten in their last 16 matches. Their last defeat was in March 2023 in a friendly against Colombia. They have gone 21 competitive fixtures without defeat. Eight of their last ten games have had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Netherlands vs Spain last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Ake
S. De Vrij
Netherlands & Spain Squad Analysis
The Netherlands have some selection problems ahead of this Nations League quarter-final first leg. They will be without both Jedry Schoulen and Denzel Dumfries who have been ruled out due to injuries.
Brighton and Hove Albion have been in good form in the English Premier League in recent weeks. Mat Wieffer has been called up for the national team. Also called into the squad is the Ajax defender Youri Baas.
"Super team" selected to face the Netherlands.
Spain will want to do all they can to hold onto their Nations League title. Their coach Luis de la Fuente says he has "a super team for the game plan that we have."
They have included the Bournemouth defender Dean Huijsen in their squad for this match. He and Alex Garcia have been included after the withdrawals of Inigo Martinez and Marc Casado.
Most goals and assists
Netherlands
Spain
D. Dumfries
(3 Goals)
F. Ruiz
(2 Goals)
D. Malen
(2 Assists)
L. Yamal
(1 Assists)
,
F. Ruiz
(1 Assists)
,
P. Porro
(1 Assists)
,
A. Perez
(1 Assists)
,
D. Olmo
(1 Assists)
,
M. Joselu
(1 Assists)
,
F. Torres
(1 Assists)
Netherlands and Spain Stats in UEFA Nations League
Netherlands - Spain Key Points
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the last five Spain games in the Nations League.
- Eight of the last ten Spain matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in the last six Netherlands home matches.
- Six of the last seven Netherlands home games in the Nations League have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Netherlands vs Spain Prediction
This does not look like a game that is going to be a low-scoring one. The Netherlands have a good record in the Nations League and were the losing finalists in 2019. They had a tough group draw and finished second behind Germany but ahead of Hungary.
Now they take on the holders Spain who are also the European champions. Spain had few problems winning their group and have gone 21 competitive fixtures without defeat. They did struggle to beat Switzerland last time out.
Our main Netherlands v Spain prediction is over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Netherlands vs Spain - Other Interesting Predictions
Spain to win
Use £/€50 free bets for the Netherlands vs. Spain game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Netherlands and Spain? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's UEFA Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Netherlands vs Spain match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
