Netherlands vs Germany Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Devesh Jaganath in UEFA Nations League Predictions
European giants Netherlands and Germany will face off in a Nations League confrontation at the Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam on Tuesday night. Nationalelf and Oranje are both on three points and occupy first and second place in League A Group 3 respectively. Let’s get into the match prediction below.
Both these sides will enter this contest brimming with confidence after putting in commanding performances in the first round of the competition. The Netherlands romped to a 5-2 victory against Bosnia-Herzegovina over the weekend, but at the same time, Germany were in the process of smashing in five without response against Hungary in Dusseldorf.
Matches between these titans of Europe seldom disappoint, with 20 shots finding the back of the net in the last five meetings alone, averaging four goals per game. On that basis, we should be in for a very entertaining match, but let’s take a look at some of the other key stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Netherlands v Germany Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 3.5 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.5 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.59 | 3.59 | 2.73 |
|
|
2.59 | 3.59 | 2.73 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.44 | 2.59 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.55 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.66 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.55 | 2.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Netherlands and Germany?
Our prediction for the Netherlands vs Germany match is: Over 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between Netherlands and Germany in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.77% for a win of Netherlands against Germany with odds of 2.66 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Netherlands vs Germany is 24.35% with odds of 3.66 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Germany vs Netherlands with odds of 2.75 at Bet365.
Netherlands - Germany Prediction and Best Odds:
| Netherlands Germany Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Netherlands wins | 39.77% | 2.66 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.41% | 1.81 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 64.17% | 1.53 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Netherlands | 15.9% | 6 at Bet365 |
Netherlands vs Germany Form
Netherlands and Germany's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
|
2
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Netherlands and Germany Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
2 Jul 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
14 Jun 2024 - Euro
Netherlands against Germany : Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
40 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
6 Sep 2019 - Euro
19 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League
Netherlands - Germany: Form Analysis
The Netherlands kicked off the competition in Eindhoven with Manchester United's new signing Joshua Zirkzee giving them a perfect start, finding the net inside the first 15 minutes of play.
While a further four players went on to get on the scoresheet, the one concern for Ronald Koeman will be the concession of two goals from just three shots that the Dragons registered on target.
With that result, the Flying Dutchmen now have a record of six wins, one draw and three losses in their last 10 matches in all competitions.
The last six matches between these sides have been split: two wins and two draws each, while the remaining two ended level!
Meanwhile, Germany’s 5-0 victory over Hungary was the biggest winning margin of any fixture in the first round, and their personal biggest since trouncing Liechtenstein 9-0 back in November 2021.
Die Mannschaft’s record over the last 10 matches in all competitions now reads as seven wins, two draws and one loss, with that sole defeat being the one to Spain in the European Championship quarter-final in July.
However, Germany’s recent away record has not been as impressive, with two wins, one draw and two losses posted in their last five since the World Cup in Qatar.
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Netherlands against Germany Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Ake
N. Fullkrug
Netherlands & Germany Squad Analysis
Joshua Zirkzee’s goal last weekend was not only the first for the team on the day but was also his first in the famous orange jersey, and will likely see him keep his place in attack this week as well.
Wout Weghorst is likely the main contender to challenge Zirkzee for the number nine role after getting on the scoresheet last time out, while Cody Gakpo could fill in as a false nine if Koeman decides to use that tactic against the German defence.
Brothers Jurrien and Quinten Timber both came off the bench to represent Oranje together for the first time last week against Bosnia-Herzogovina!
Germany are in a transitionary period at present, following the retirement of Manuel Neuer, Ilkay Gundogan, Toni Kroos and Thomas Muller, with Julian Nagelsmann handing the armband to Joshua Kimmich.
With Antonio Rudiger being rested for this round of qualifiers, Jonathan Tah is likely to feature in defence alongside Nico Schlotterbeck, while at the other end of the pitch, Niclas Fullkrug has now notched up 14 goals in 22 matches after opening the scoring against Hungary.
Netherlands - Germany Key Points
- Nine of the Netherlands’ last 10 matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- The Netherlands have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 matches.
- The Netherlands have only kept one clean sheet in their last five games.
- Germany have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 matches.
- Three or more goals were scored in five of the last six matches between these sides.
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Our Netherlands vs Germany Prediction
While the Netherlands notched up a big win in their opening match of the competition, they conceded two fairly soft goals, which is something they can ill-afford to do against the Germans.
Indeed, Die Mannschaft look like a very attacking unit now, though they are also very youthful, and while they did keep a sheet last time out, the Netherlands do carry a much greater attacking threat than their last opponent, Hungary. We feel there will be a few goals in this one. Our Netherlands vs Germany prediction: Over 2.5!
Netherlands vs Germany - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
A total of 33 goals have been scored in the last 10 matches between these sides and both teams found the net in seven of those games.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Netherlands Germany
| Netherlands vs Germany | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands wins | 2.5 | 2.45 | -2.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
| Germany wins | 2.7 | 2.75 | +1.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Netherlands is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 40.8% (0.8%)
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Netherlands vs Germany match : Frequently asked questions
The Nations League match between the Netherlands and Germany will be played on September 10 at 19:45 GMT.
The Nations League match between the Netherlands and Germany will take place at the Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam.
The Nations League match between the Netherlands and Germany will be broadcast live in the UK on ESPN (UK).
You can also keep up-to-the-minute with all the Nations League Liverscores right here on SportyTrader!
Davide Massa will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Filippo Meli, Stefano Alassio and Ermanno Feliciani as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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