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Netherlands vs France Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Ian John in Euro Predictions
Tonight, we have one of the blockbuster games of the group stages of Euro 2024! World Cup Finalist France takes on the Netherlands in what is sure to be a high-quality contest between two giants of European football!
The French were narrow 1-0 winners over Austria in their opening Group D game, but saw star man Kylian Mbappe break his nose during the match, making him a severe doubt for the Netherlands game and their final group encounter with Poland.
Standing in their way is the towering Virgil van Dijk and his Netherlands team who also came into the game on the back of a 2-1 win against Poland. A draw would likely be enough for both teams to qualify for the Round of 16, but a win would make certain for the victors, and they would likely top the group too.
Strap yourself down for this one, as it promises to be one of the tournament's most exciting games so far!
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The Best Betting Odds for Netherlands v France Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15 | 1.11 | 11 |
|
|
3 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
|
|
4.3 | 3.55 | 1.68 |
|
|
27 | 1.02 | 20 |
|
|
27 | 1.02 | 20 |
|
|
3.26 | 3.1 | 2.36 |
|
|
3.26 | 3.1 | 2.36 |
|
|
13.25 | 1.12 | 9 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.28 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.35 | 2.15 |
|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
|
|
34 | 1.03 | 26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Netherlands and France?
Our prediction for the Netherlands vs France match is: Over 2.5 Goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/06/2024 between Netherlands and France in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.42% for a win of Netherlands against France with odds of 34 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Netherlands vs France is 12.83% with odds of 3.55 at NetBet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.75% chance ⭐ for a win of France vs Netherlands with odds of 26 at Vbet.
Netherlands - France Prediction and Best Odds:
| Netherlands France Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| France wins | 46.75% | 26 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.31% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 36.25% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: France/France | 19.83% | 4.2 at Betsson |
Netherlands vs France Form
Netherlands and France's standings in the Euro
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
|
3
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Netherlands and France Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - International Friendlies
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
Netherlands vs France Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
0 %
80 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2023 - Euro
16 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2018 - UEFA Nations League
31 Aug 2017 - World Cup
Netherlands - France: Form Analysis
France have suffered just two defeats in their last 11 games, both coming against Germany in friendly matches. They have drawn twice, away to Greece and then in their final warm-up friendly at home to Canada, but have racked up wins in the remaining games, including a 1-0 victory in their opening Euro 2024 fixture with Austria.
After finishing as runners-up in the 2022 World Cup, the French have won 11, drawn two and lost two of their following 15 games. They shortened in the markets to joint-favourites with many bookmakers after their opening win over Austria and England's lacklustre victory over Serbia.
They also boast a superb record over the Netherlands winning seven of the last eight games between the two teams, losing just once.
However, they are winless against the Dutch in their three European Championship meetings.
The French have been European Champions twice before, in 1984, when Michel Platini inspired the team to victory, and again in 2000 when David Trezeguet's golden goal had them the trophy in a 2-1 win over Italy.
The Netherlands won this trophy in 1988 with Ruud Gullit, Marco Van Basten, Frank Rikjaard and current manager Ronald Koeman the mainstays of the team. This current team isn't as talented as that Dutch squad, but has a number of outstanding players.
Virgil van Dijk, Memphis Depay, Cody Gakpo and youngster Xavi Simons are the players who will be focal points for the Dutch. The team lost to France twice in the qualifying campaign (4-0 in France and then 2-1 in the Netherlands). No doubt, they will want revenge for those two losses in this fixture.
The Dutch have won nine of their last 12 games, with no draws in that run. Their three defeats coming against Italy, France and Germany. They have won all their last three, scoring ten goals conceding just one.
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Netherlands against France Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Netherlands & France Squad Analysis
French fans will be concerned to hear that Kylian Mbappe's broken nose sustained against Austria will likely affect his availability for this key fixture. Real Madrid's newest signing is not likely to feature in the game, even with a protective mask.
Antoine Griezmann, who suffered a nasty cut to his head after colliding with an advertising board in the same game, should be fit. French boss Didier Deschamps will likely call on Bayern Munich star Kingsley Coman to fill in for Mbappe if he is unable to play.
N'Golo Kante's impressive display against Austria will likely see him retain his place in midfield, but Aurielen Tchouameni or Eduoardo Camavinga could come in for Adrien Rabiot. Having looked strongly defensively against Austria, Deschamps will likely pick the same back four, with Dayot Upemecano set to continue at center-half ahead of Ibrahma Konate.
Despite scoring the winning goal for the Netherlands after coming on from the bench against Poland, Morten Weghorst is likely to continue on the bench for the Dutch in this game. Manager Ronald Koeman is likely to stick with his front trio of Cody Gakpo, Memphis Depay and Xavi Simons.
Changes could come in what was a youthful midfield line-up for the first game. Georginio Wijnaldum could come into midfield to add experience against the French. Koeman played a 3-4-3 formation last time against France, but may elect to play a back four this time around, especially after winning their opening game.
Most goals and assists
Netherlands
France
C. Gakpo
(3 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(1 Goals)
,
R. Kolo Muani
(1 Goals)
N. Ake
(2 Assists)
,
X. Simons
(2 Assists)
K. Mbappe
(1 Assists)
Netherlands - France Key Points
- The Netherlands have scored 21 goals in their last six games.
- Seven of France’s last ten games have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored.
- France have scored 30 goals in their last ten games, including 14 against Gibraltar.
- Ten of the Netherlands’ last 12 games have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored.
- Four of the last five France v Netherlands matches have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored.
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Our Netherlands vs France Prediction
Our prediction for the France v Netherlands Euro 2024 Group D game is for over 2.5 Goals to be scored. The data seems to suggest that this fixture will see a fair few goals, if recent form and the history between France and the Netherlands are anything to go by.
Certainly, the data suggesting the over 2.5 goals option is the way to go is more convincing than backing either team to win or the draw, as this fixture is a difficult one to predict with any certainty. That's despite the French having much the better of things between the two teams over the last decade.
Both teams know that while a victory will guarantee a Round of 16 spot, a draw may also be enough.
Neither will want to risk a heavy loss going into a final group game, which then becomes a tricky prospect for the loser.
Our research suggests we could be in for a classic here with certainly more than 2.5 goals scored!
Netherlands vs France - Other Interesting Predictions
Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals
The primary prediction for this game is for over 2.5 goals to be scored. We've also indicated that there is an excellent chance that both teams will find the net in what promises to be an open game.
As such, the sensitive secondary prediction for France vs the Netherlands is to combine Over 2.5 Goals with Both Teams to Score.
Memphis Depay (Netherlands) to score at any time.
Memphis Depay may currently be without a club, but he is still the focal point of the Netherlands attack. He was very bright in their opener against Poland in the first half, but did fade slightly in the second half. His pace and shooting ability are certainly the Netherlands most dangerous threat and he has a knack of scoring key goals for the Dutch.
If this game is to have a fair few goals, at both ends, then Depay is a good bet to score one of them. So our final secondary prediction for France vs the Netherlands is for Memphis Depay to score at any time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Netherlands France
| Netherlands vs France | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands wins | 3.9 | 15 | +284.6% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 1.11 | -69.2% |
| France wins | 1.95 | 11 | +464.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- France is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 464.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 9.1% (-42.2%)
Netherlands vs France match : Frequently asked questions
France and the Netherlands have met a total of 30 times in total. Their first meeting resulted in a 4-1 win for the Netherlands back in May 1908.
Draws have been scarce between the teams with just 3 in the 30 matches played between them. France have the edge with 16 victories, while the Dutch have 11.
However, France have won seven of the last eight fixtures between the two teams, including both games in the European Championship Qualifiers for this tournament.
France will take on the Netherlands in Group D of Euro 2024 on Friday at the Red Bull Arena, the home of Red Bull Leipzig.
BBC One will be showing live coverage of the Netherlands v France Group D game at Euro 2024. Kicking off at 8pm UK Time on Friday June 21st.
Customers can also follow the match live on the BBC iPlayer and BBC Website via live streaming.
If you want real-time data on all aspects of the Netherlands v France game, why not access Sportytrader's Euro 2024 Livescore page? Our site offers real-time updates on all key stats for fans and punters to enjoy free of charge!
English referee Anthony Taylor will be the man in charge of the Netherlands v France Group D game at Euro 2024.
This will be Mr Taylor's first Euro 2024 fixture, but he has refereed 35 games in the Premier League, Champions League, Europa League and Championship this season. He has awarded 161 yellow cards in those matches (4.6 per game) and 7 red cards.
His assistant referees are Gary Beswick and Adam Nun, with Stuart Attwell on VAR duty.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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