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Napoli vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
The Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples will this Sunday host one of the biggest games in the Serie A. Home team Napoli will be defending their league position and home honor against visiting AS Roma. Gli Azzurri start the weekend top of the standings, while I Giallorossi are 12th and below is our prediction for the match.
Ahead of this game, there will be a special focus on the dugouts. At Roma, Claudio Ranieri is back for a second spell and this is considered a baptism by fire as he seeks to lift the team out of the current slump.
In the pre-match engagements, his opposite number Antonio Conte praised the legendary manager. He spoke of his wish to see Ranieri succeed at Roma but not just in his opening game. After all is said and done, the two sides will be up for a bruising battle, one which Roma prevailed in last season. Named the Derby del Sole, who will claim the bragging rights here?
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Roma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.81 | 4.92 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.81 | 4.92 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.7 | 5 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.66 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.7 | 5 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.6 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.7 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.7 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.71 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Roma?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Roma match is: Napoli to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/11/2024 between Napoli and Roma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.98% for a win of Napoli against Roma with odds of 1.82 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Roma is 25.92% with odds of 3.81 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Napoli with odds of 5.3 at Vbet.
Napoli vs Roma Form
Napoli and Roma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
|
12
|
13 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 |
Napoli and Roma Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
18 Aug 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
31 Oct 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
31 Oct 2024 - Serie A
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Europa League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2024 - Serie A
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
Napoli vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Apr 2024 - Serie A
23 Dec 2023 - Serie A
29 Jan 2023 - Serie A
23 Oct 2022 - Serie A
18 Apr 2022 - Serie A
24 Oct 2021 - Serie A
Napoli - Roma: Form Analysis
Napoli haven't had the best of times in recent matches. Their lead in the league has been slashed to just a point and it is now a crowded race. Any of the teams in the top six can, mathematically, finish the weekend top of the standings.
Napoli are there at the moment and will want to defend that, despite coming here winless in the last two matches. After a 3-0 defeat at home to Atalanta, Napoli had a much-improved performance in their 1-1 draw with Inter Milan.
In that game, however, they were lucky the champions missed a penalty. With five wins in six home league matches, Napoli will be confident of bouncing back.
On their last six trips to Napoli, Roma lost three and drew as many.
Apart from banking on the new manager bounce, Roma will be looking to build on their impressive performances against Napoli last season. In the two meetings, the visitors bagged four points in a home win and a 2-2 draw at this same venue.
Their first leg win last season remains their only victory against Napoli in nine matches though. Ranieri’s side has also not won at Napoli in their last six visits.
This run won’t augur well with their ambitions as they look to rise from four defeats in their last five Serie A matches. The latest of those was at home, falling 3-2 to Bologna.
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Napoli vs Roma last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
M. Folorunsho
M. Hermoso
MidfielderA. Saelemaekers
ForwardP. Dybala
E. Shomurodov
Napoli & Roma Squad Analysis
Scott McTominay is proving to be an important player for Napoli following his switch from Manchester United. He scored the opener against Inter Milan and will be upbeat coming into this game.
Not many players in the current Napoli setup have played more minutes than the Scot, meaning Antonio Conte sees the gem in him. Another start for the midfielder is likely.
Romelu Lukaku left the Belgium camp with injury and Napoli will be sweating over his fitness for this match.
The hosts are, however, sure of having Khvicha Kvaratskhelia for this game, despite unsettling transfer rumors involving the Georgia international.
Lukaku has four goals for Napoli this season and the home fans will hope he features here.
Roma’s biggest star, Paulo Dybala, on whose shoulder a lot of hopes rest, seems to be struggling ahead of this game. He has been hampered by muscular issues and could be named on the bench in Ranieri’s first match in charge.
The manager has already indicated he will go easy on using the Argentinian. Away fans will be hoping for better news, as without Dybala, their win rate goes down by about 13 percent.
Roma lead scorer Artem Dovbyk continues to be dogged by fitness issues. While he is expected to start here, he may have to play in pain with a recovering knee issue. Eldor Shomurodov and Mario Hermoso are confirmed absentees for this game.
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Roma
K. Kvaratskhelia
(5 Goals)
A. Dovbyk
(6 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(4 Assists)
L. Pellegrini
(2 Assists)
Napoli and Roma Stats in Serie A
Napoli - Roma Key Points
- Napoli have five wins in their last six home league matches.
- Roma have only one win in nine meetings with Napoli.
- At home to Roma, Napoli are unbeaten in the last six matches.
- Roma lost four times in their last five Serie A matches.
- In nine away league games, Roma remain winless.
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Our Napoli vs Roma Prediction
There’s a lot to mend at Roma other than just a replacement in the manager’s position. That is one of the realities Claudio Ranieri will find on his return to Roma. Getting to face the league leaders away from home in his first game in charge isn’t the introduction he’d have hoped for.
The job has to be done anyway and it is Antonio Conte who will come here the happier. With a strong run at home, Napoli are favorites here, and they’d do with a return to winning ways. Our prediction for Napoli v Roma is for Napoli to win.
Napoli vs Roma - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Napoli have the better run coming into this game and while they’ll be confident, their defending hasn’t been very convincing. In the last two matches, they conceded four goals, yet they face a good attacking side next.
While they have very few issues in attack, we won’t back Napoli to keep a clean sheet. Our second prediction here is for both teams to score.
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Napoli vs Roma match : Frequently asked questions
The Napoli v Roma game will be played at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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