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Napoli vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Nella Wagah in Serie A Predictions
In-form Napoli’s quest for another Serie A title will continue this weekend when they host struggling Lecce. To the Saturday game, these teams carry contrasting runs. We have a prediction as I Giallorossi visits Gli Azzurri.
Napoli rose from failing to score in their opening two matches of the season, to set up an eight-game undefeated streak. In those eight matches, they managed seven wins, only drawing with giants Juventus.
The former champions have in the process posted good numbers in both defence and attack. They’ve conceded two goals in eight matches, while scoring 20. This season they’ve only failed to score three times.
Last season Lecce finished three points above the relegation zone. Early signs show they could struggle this term too. They have one win only in their eight league matches and have already been eliminated from the Coppa Italia.
A 6-0 home loss to Fiorentina last week marked their biggest Serie A defeat in four years. It also left them with the most porous defence in the league at this point of the season.
That loss will come with a hit on their confidence, Lecce having also struggled in attack. Three goals only in their eight league matches means they have the weakest attack in Serie A, and a massively inferior goal difference.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Lecce Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 5.25 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.79 | 11 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.79 | 11 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.25 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.45 | 10 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.45 | 10 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.4 | 10 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.55 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.6 | 10 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.75 | 9 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.8 | 10 |
|
|
1.3 | 5 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.35 | 8.7 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.25 | 11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Lecce?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Lecce match is: Napoli to win without conceding.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2024 between Napoli and Lecce in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.58% for a win of Napoli against Lecce with odds of 1.35 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Lecce is 25.72% with odds of 5.8 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 8.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Napoli with odds of 11 at Bet365.
Napoli - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Lecce Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 65.58% | 1.35 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.02% | 1.91 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 22.08% | 2.2 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Napoli/Napoli | 29.23% | 1.98 at Betsson |
Napoli vs Lecce Form
Napoli and Lecce's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
|
18
|
9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -16 |
Napoli and Lecce Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
10 Aug 2024 - Coppa Italia
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
18 Aug 2024 - Serie A
17 May 2024 - Serie A
6 May 2024 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
27 Sep 2024 - Serie A
24 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
24 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
19 Aug 2024 - Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
27 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Serie A
Napoli vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 May 2024 - Serie A
30 Sep 2023 - Serie A
7 Apr 2023 - Serie A
31 Aug 2022 - Serie A
9 Feb 2020 - Serie A
22 Sep 2019 - Serie A
Napoli against Lecce Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Lecce
K. Kvaratskhelia
(5 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(2 Goals)
, 
P. Dorgu
(2 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(4 Assists)
Y. Ramadani
(1 Assists)
, 
L. Banda
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Gallo
(1 Assists)
, 
K. Gaspar
(1 Assists)
Napoli - Lecce Key Points
- Lecce are winless in their last six matches.
- In their last four matches, Lecce failed to score.
- In their last six matches, Napoli conceded only one goal.
- Napoli have posted four straight wins ahead of this game.
- Lecce have zero goals in their last five away league games.
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Our Napoli vs Lecce Prediction
Our prediction for Napoli v Lecce is for Napoli to win without conceding. As Lecce try to rise from the lower reaches of the Serie A, they’ve been let down massively by both defence and attack. They start the weekend as the poorest scorers and weakest defence at the same time.
Facing the league leaders, who have one of the firmest defences doesn’t leave a lot of guarantees for Lecce. It is also an away match and Lecce will struggle to shut out one of Serie A’s most attacking sides. The visitors haven't scored an away goal in five league matches.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Lecce
| Napoli vs Lecce | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 1.3 | 1.29 | -0.8% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.25 | +5.0% |
| Lecce wins | 11 | 11 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 77.5% (0.6%)
Use £30 free bets for the Napoli vs. Lecce game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Napoli and Lecce? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of £30 free bet credits if you bet £10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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