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Napoli vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
Napoli return to Serie A action this weekend and will be at home to welcome Lazio. This is the second meeting between these two teams in a matter of three days. They faced off in a Coppa Italia duel in midweek with Lazio prevailing. Napoli are the bookies’ favorites to win this match, so read on to find out if our prediction tallies with that.
Napoli are presented an immediate chance to avenge their Cup elimination and also solidify their hold on top spot in the league table. Gli Azzurri currently top the standings after 14 rounds of play. They, however, might have lost this privilege by the time they take to the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium.
Lazio are currently fifth in the standings and will be buoyed by their midweek win. A second successive victory over Napoli will see them move to within a point of their hosts in the table.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Lazio Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.45 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.57 | 4.85 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.57 | 4.85 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.6 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.65 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.5 | 4.34 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.25 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.55 | 4.45 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.61 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.4 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.6 | 4.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Lazio?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Lazio match is: Napoli to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/12/2024 between Napoli and Lazio in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.5% for a win of Napoli against Lazio with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Lazio is 11.1% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Lazio vs Napoli with odds of 5.1 at Vbet.
Napoli - Lazio Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Lazio Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 48.5% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 2.06 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 38.75% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Napoli | 20.15% | 5 at Betsson |
Napoli vs Lazio Form
Napoli and Lazio's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
38 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
|
4
|
34 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 8 |
Napoli and Lazio Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
31 Oct 2024 - Serie A
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
19 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
Napoli vs Lazio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
28 Jan 2024 - Serie A
2 Sep 2023 - Serie A
3 Mar 2023 - Serie A
3 Sep 2022 - Serie A
27 Feb 2022 - Serie A
Napoli - Lazio: Form Analysis
Napoli suffered a humiliating 3-1 defeat in the capital in midweek which ended their Coppa Italia campaign at the last 16 round. They will seek to respond immediately and dish out the same treatment to Lazio here.
Napoli do not have any more engagements outside of the league and will now be fully focused on becoming champions once again. Antonio Conte’s men have won 10 of their 14 league matches and are unbeaten in their last three Serie A fixtures.
They defeated Torino 1-0 last weekend to move up to 32 points.
Napoli have an immediate opportunity to exact revenge on Lazio when they visit.
Lazio continued their newfound dominance in this fixture with their Coppa Italia success. They now haven’t lost to Napoli in four meetings and have won three times. Marco Baroni’s men had not won in two matches going into Thursday’s duel.
Tijjani Noslin, making his 13th appearance of the season, bagged a hat-trick. Le Aquile, who came out guns blazing at the Stadio Olimpico, also had a penalty saved in an explosive first half.
Their performance will have them confident of bouncing back in the league after a shock 3-1 loss to Parma last weekend. The visitors have claimed nine wins in the league, and are tied with two other teams on 28 points.
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Napoli against Lazio Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
P. Mazzocchi
M. Vecino
Napoli & Lazio Squad Analysis
Napoli made 11 changes against Lazio in midweek and will be expected to make a similar line-up change. Khvicha Kvartashkelia, Romelu Lukaku, Scott McTominay, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Matteo Politano, and Alex Meret were all named on the bench on Thursday.
Kvartashkhelia and Lukaku are the team’s top scorers in the league with five goals each. Meret on his part has kept seven clean sheets. Giovanni Simeone has a great record against Lazio and he will be looked upon to deliver here.
Napoli’s Giovanni Simeone has faced Lazio 14 times and scored eight goals.
Lazio also made changes but not as wholesome as Napoli. After the dominant victory, Marco Baroni will likely retain faith with largely the same squad. Tijjani Noslin scored all three goals on Thursday and should be one to look out for here.
Nuno Tavares, Boulaye Dia and Matias Vecino have missed game time in recent weeks due to injuries and could be unavailable again.
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Lazio
R. Lukaku
(6 Goals)
T. Castellanos
(9 Goals)
D. Neres
(4 Assists)
,
R. Lukaku
(4 Assists)
N. Tavares
(8 Assists)
Napoli - Lazio Key Points
- All four of Lazio’s defeats in the league have come away from home.
- Napoli have won six of their seven league matches as hosts.
- In their last seven league games at home against Lazio, Napoli have won five times.
- Lazio haven’t won in two of their last three games, losing once.
- Napoli have kept nine clean sheets in the league.
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Our Napoli vs Lazio Prediction
Our prediction for Napoli v Lazio is for Napoli to win. Napoli made wholesome changes in midweek and will be expected to restore their strongest team for this tie. A second-string line-up was preferred by Antonio Conte and none of their first-team regulars started the match.
This could be the reason why they lost heavily. Napoli are dominant in the league and have won 10 of 14 games. Six of those 10 wins have come at home where they have dropped points only once in seven fixtures. With this record and Lazio’s struggles when on the road, Napoli are likely to claim victory here.
Napoli vs Lazio - Other Interesting Predictions
under 2.5 goals
For our second prediction, we have this match producing an under 2.5 goals outcome. Napoli are one of the best defensive teams in the league.
They have kept an impressive nine clean sheets and have conceded just nine goals. Napoli have also not conceded in their last two league games, which have all ended 1-0.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Lazio
| Napoli vs Lazio | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 1.67 | 1.83 | +9.6% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.5 | -12.5% |
| Lazio wins | 5 | 4.5 | -10.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 54.6% (-5.2%)
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Napoli vs Lazio match : Frequently asked questions
The Napoli v Lazio match will be played on Sunday 8 December.
The Napoli v Lazio match will be played at Napoli’s Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples, Italy.
Fans in the UK will be able to watch this game live on TNT Sports 1. For match updates, you can always find them on the Serie A live scores tab on Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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