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Napoli vs Inter Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Saturday will be another busy day in the Italian Serie A and many top European leagues. Among the weekend highlights will be the Serie A top of the table clash featuring Napoli and Inter Milan hosted at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples. Below we have the preview and at least two predictions for the match.
At the start of the weekend, Inter Milan lead the standings on 57 points while Napoli are second, trailing by a point. This match comes just days after Inter Milan knocked Napoli off the league summit. Here the hosts will have an early chance to rise back to the top of the standings.
The Serie A title race has been quite absorbing in the past few weeks and this will definitely offer a new twist especially as third-placed Atalanta are three points behind the leaders. Inter Milan will go into the game with the upper hand, unbeaten in four against Napoli, though the last two ended in draws.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Inter Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.2 | 2.38 |
|
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3.1 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
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|
3.1 | 3.2 | 2.37 |
|
|
3.31 | 3.31 | 2.43 |
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3.31 | 3.31 | 2.43 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.15 | 2.35 |
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|
3.15 | 3.15 | 2.39 |
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3.15 | 3.15 | 2.39 |
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3.15 | 3.2 | 2.43 |
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3.15 | 3.15 | 2.39 |
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3.15 | 3.2 | 2.42 |
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3.27 | 3.18 | 2.41 |
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3.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
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3.15 | 3.1 | 2.35 |
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|
2.8 | 3.1 | 2.45 |
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3.2 | 3.15 | 2.38 |
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3.2 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Inter Milan?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Inter Milan match is: Inter Milan to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/03/2025 between Napoli and Inter Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.02% for a win of Napoli against Inter Milan with odds of 3.31 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Inter Milan is 23.35% with odds of 3.31 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs Napoli with odds of 2.45 at Betfair.
Napoli vs Inter Milan Form
Napoli and Inter Milan's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
57 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 35 |
|
2
|
56 | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 21 |
Napoli and Inter Milan Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
15 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
Napoli vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Nov 2024 - Serie A
17 Mar 2024 - Serie A
22 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
3 Dec 2023 - Serie A
21 May 2023 - Serie A
4 Jan 2023 - Serie A
Napoli - Inter Milan: Form Analysis
The last time Napoli won in this fixture, they were at home. They will look to invoke the same even though in their most recent home matches against Inter Milan they lost.
Once again, Napoli will go into this game as the underdogs, having failed to beat Inter Milan in their last four meetings. While the latest two ended in 1-1 draws, Napoli will not have the mental edge here, as they’ve only won once in the last 12 matches against Inter Milan.
Their recent run will further complicate Gli Azzurri's chances here. They are coming from a shock 2-1 defeat away to struggling Como. That marked a fourth straight winless outing and the second straight game in which they conceded twice.
Napoli haven't beaten Inter Milan in four straight matches.
Inter Milan haven't been at their best in their recent league matches but will be happy that Napoli failed to capitalize. Had Napoli taken advantage of Inter Milan winning just two of their last five league matches, this fixture would have a completely different feel at the moment.
Interestingly, Inter also benefitted from Atalanta, as La Dea failed to take advantage of the defending champions' recent struggles.
A combination of all of these factors is what makes this an interesting title race, with Inter Milan currently only three points ahead of third-placed Atalanta. They warmed up for this game with a 2-0 win at home to Lazio in the Coppa Italia. That built up to the earlier 1-0 win at Genoa.
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Napoli vs Inter Milan last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
P. Mazzocchi
MidfielderF. Anguissa
ForwardD. Neres
R. Di Gennaro
Y. Sommer
DefenderM. Darmian
C. Augusto
MidfielderN. Zalewski
ForwardJ. Correa
M. Thuram
Napoli & Inter Milan Squad Analysis
Romelu Lukaku will once again be a man to watch in this game. The former Inter Milan forward is looking to guide Napoli to the league title like he did with the Nerazzurri in the 2021/21 campaign.
While with Inter, he scored in this fixture and will be keen on returning the favor while with Napoli. He will be a dangerman here, looking at his returns of 16 goal contributions this season.
From 41 shots in the league, Lukaku has nine goals with 41% of the shots being on target. He holds an expected goals return of 9.29 which should worry Inter Milan.
Napoli haven't lost in the league when Lukaku scored.
Inter Milan will have their own goal threat in skipper Lautaro Martinez, who has been stepping up in recent matches. With Marcus Thuram a doubt for this match, Martinez will shoulder most of the attacking responsibility.
With 13 goal contributions from 24 matches, Martinez will be good enough here though it would have been better with Thuram available.
While his work rate is impressive, this season Martinez hasn’t hit the target as much as he’d have loved. He has attempted 81 shots in Serie A and only managed 10 goals. The Argentine comes to this game with three assists so far, and an expected goals rating of 10.53.
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Inter Milan
R. Lukaku
(9 Goals)
L. Martinez
(15 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(7 Assists)
N. Barella
(6 Assists)
Napoli and Inter Milan Stats in Serie A
Napoli - Inter Milan Key Points
- Napoli are winless in their last four matches.
- Inter Milan have three wins in their last four matches.
- In Napoli’s last six league matches, both teams scored.
- Both teams scored in six of 10 meetings between these two.
- Napoli are winless in their last four matches against Inter Milan.
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Our Napoli vs Inter Milan Prediction
Inter Milan are coming into this game holding the cards as favorites, but they have just one clean sheet in the last five league matches. It shows they aren’t infallible even as they enjoy a better head-to-head run against Napoli.
They face a Napoli side that has found the net in the last 11 straight matches in Serie A. Napoli, however, failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six league matches. Both teams scoring has been a repetitive stat in the hosts’ matches and they have a history of struggling in this fixture. Our prediction for Napoli v Inter Milan is for Inter Milan to win and both teams to score.
Napoli vs Inter Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Inter Milan to score the opening goal
Napoli are coming into this game having conceded the opening goal in three of their last five matches. It also happened so in two of their last five home matches as well as in three of the last four meetings with Inter.
Meanwhile, Inter Milan scored the opening goal in three of their last four matches. With this trend, our second prediction for this match will be for Inter Milan to score the opening goal.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Napoli vs. Inter Milan game!
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Napoli vs Inter Milan match : Frequently asked questions
The Napoli v Inter Milan match will be played on Saturday 1 March.
The Napoli v Inter Milan match will be played at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples.
Daniele Doveri has been named the center referee for the Napoli v Inter Milan match. He will be assisted by Stefano Alassio and Giorgio Peretti. Andrea Colombo will serve as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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