Italy - Serie A
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Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
In a match likely to further disrupt the Serie A title race, Napoli will be hosting Fiorentina in Naples this Sunday. A recent poor run has Napoli second while Fiorentina are seventh ahead of the match. We have a prediction for this match below.
Napoli will go into this game desperate for a return to winning ways. A winless run of five matches has left the hosts trailing league leaders Inter Milan by a point.
In their last match, Napoli did well to net late for a 1-1 draw at home to Inter Milan. From a possible 15 points in the last five matches, Gli Azzurri have collected just four.
While Napoli have one defeat in the last five matches, Fiorentina come into this game with one win in five. The other four matches all ended in defeat.
La Viola’s latest outing was in the Conference League last 16, where they suffered a 3-2 defeat away to Panathinaikos. Four wins in their last seven league matches, however, should build the needed confidence at Raffaele Palladino’s side.
Lately things haven't gone to plan for Fiorentina away from home, the team losing three times in the last four matches. Having failed to win in this fixture in the last three meetings further complicates it for Fiorentina.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Fiorentina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 3.9 | 7 |
|
|
1.53 | 4 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.84 | 6.94 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.84 | 6.94 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.08 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.08 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.59 | 4 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.08 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.1 | 7 |
|
|
1.59 | 3.85 | 6.9 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.85 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.7 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.57 | 4 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Fiorentina match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/03/2025 between Napoli and Fiorentina in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.48% for a win of Napoli against Fiorentina with odds of 1.72 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Fiorentina is 25.48% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Napoli with odds of 7 at Bet365.
Napoli - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Fiorentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 54.48% | 1.72 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.45% | 2.2 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.33% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Napoli | 27.79% | 4.5 at Betsson |
Napoli vs Fiorentina Form
Napoli and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
60 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 22 |
|
8
|
45 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 13 |
Napoli and Fiorentina Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4 Jan 2025 - Serie A
23 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
13 Jan 2025 - Serie A
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
Napoli vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jan 2025 - Serie A
17 May 2024 - Serie A
18 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
8 Oct 2023 - Serie A
7 May 2023 - Serie A
28 Aug 2022 - Serie A
Napoli against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
P. Mazzocchi
MidfielderF. Anguissa
ForwardD. Neres
E. Bove
A. Colpani
M. Folorunsho
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Fiorentina
R. Lukaku
(10 Goals)
M. Kean
(16 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(8 Assists)
R. Gosens
(6 Assists)
Napoli - Fiorentina Key Points
- Both teams scored in Napoli’s last seven matches.
- In half of the last 10 meetings between these teams, both scored.
- In four of Fiorentina’s last five away league matches both teams scored.
- Napoli managed four clean sheets only in their last 10 home matches.
- Fiorentina managed just two clean sheets in their last 15 matches.
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Our Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction
These two sides haven't posted the best results in the past few matches and here we expect a big fight for three points. In their desperate push for wins in their last five matches, Napoli lost their defensive solidity, conceding in all five. They, however, managed to score and that is the positive they will want to build on here.
Their visitors kept just two clean sheets in the last 10 matches and this should give Napoli hope. The concern for the hosts, on the other hand, would be Fiorentina’s scoring form. In our prediction for Napoli v Fiorentina, we will back both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Fiorentina
| Napoli vs Fiorentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 1.73 | 1.53 | -11.6% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.9 | +2.6% |
| Fiorentina wins | 4.5 | 7 | +55.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 65.4% (7.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Napoli vs. Fiorentina game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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