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Napoli vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Ian John | in Champions League Predictions
Napoli face Barcelona in the Champions League Round of 16 first leg on Wednesday night, kick off 8pm. The Italian Champions have had a miserable domestic campaign after winning Serie A last season and their progress in the Champions League saw them lose home and away to Real Madrid. Barcelona lies third in La Liga behind Real Madrid and Girona, but it has hardly been a vintage season for the Catalan's who also lost two group games but still topped their group on head-to-head record over FC Porto. The two teams have met four times before and Barcelona are unbeaten in those quartet of games.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.5 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.25 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.45 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.67 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.67 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.52 | 2.31 |
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2.97 | 3.52 | 2.31 |
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2.9 | 3.55 | 2.47 |
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2.8 | 3.48 | 2.45 |
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2.85 | 3.5 | 2.48 |
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2.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 |
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2.95 | 3.55 | 2.55 |
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2.8 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.45 | 2.52 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.47 | 2.59 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Barcelona?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/02/2024 between Napoli and Barcelona in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.42% for a win of Napoli against Barcelona with odds of 2.97 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Barcelona is 23.76% with odds of 3.67 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Napoli with odds of 2.59 at Vbet.
Napoli - Barcelona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Barcelona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 42.82% | 2.59 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.68% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 72.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Barcelona | 20.43% | 6.4 at Unibet |
Napoli vs Barcelona Form
Napoli and Barcelona Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Serie A
11 Feb 2024 - Serie A
4 Feb 2024 - Serie A
28 Jan 2024 - Serie A
22 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
18 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Serie A
4 Feb 2024 - Serie A
22 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
18 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Serie A
29 Dec 2023 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2024 - Serie A
28 Jan 2024 - Serie A
7 Jan 2024 - Serie A
23 Dec 2023 - Serie A
8 Dec 2023 - Serie A
29 Nov 2023 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
3 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
21 Dec 2023 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
3 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
21 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
14 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
Napoli vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Feb 2022 - Europa League
17 Feb 2022 - Europa League
8 Aug 2020 - Champions League
25 Feb 2020 - Champions League
Napoli - Barcelona: Form Analysis
Napoli face Barcelona on Wednesday Night in the Champions League Round of 16 first leg, very much feeling that their season hinges on them being able to defeat the Catalan giants and progress into the last eight. A poor season domestically for the Neapolitans has been a huge disappointment in the year after their Serie A title success last season and the drop off in form has been so great that many of their top players, such as Victor Osimhen and Kvicha Kvaratskhelia, have been linked with a move away from the club at the end of the season. The team has been inconsistent from the start of the season and seems unable to string a run of strong results together.
Barcelona come into this game knowing that this will be manager Xavi's final Champions League campaign as manager. The Spanish legend has already stated he will leave the club at the end of the season. Financial struggles have not helped Barcelona this season but they remain third in La Liga, but some way off the pace being set by Real Madrid at the top of the table. Their Champions League performances have replicated their league form with two defeats and four wins in the group stages. Worryingly, Robert Lewandowski has scored just one Champions League goal this season for the Catalan side and both their top scorers in this competition, Ferran Torres and Joao Felix (3 goals apiece) are currently injured.
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Napoli against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Napoli & Barcelona Squad Analysis
Napoli welcomed back first choice goalkeeper Alex Meret in their 1-1 home draw with Genoa at the weekend and the Italian international will likely keep his place in the team for the game with Barcelona on Wednesday. Natan has also recently returned from injury and Victor Osimhen should return to the squad after returning from African Cup of Nations duty with Nigeria. With no players suspended for this game, Napoli boss Walter Mazzari should have a full-strength squad to pick from. Osimhen's return would be a welcome boost for the Neapolitans given their struggles to score goals while their top striker has been representing his country at the AFCON tournament. The Nigerian striker has 7 goals in 13 Serie A appearances this season as well as one Champions League goal in four appearances in the competition.
Barcelona head coach Xavi has a lengthy injury list ahead of this tricky trip to Naples. Defenders Alejandro Balde, Sergi Roberto are both absent long term, as is young midfielder Gavi. Ex-Chelsea full back Marcos Alonso is another who is out with a back injury with his return slated to be some time around the middle of March. Worryingly for Barcelona fans two key strikers, Ferran Torres and Joao Felix are both set to miss the game, Torres is out for another couple of weeks after picking up a thigh injury againsy Osasuna, while Felix has missed Barcelona's previous four games with an ankle issue picked up in training and he is not due to return until the end of February at the earliest. Ronald Araujo and Pedri will be fit despite being withdrawn from Barcelona's game with Celta at the weekend. Araujo though is just one booking away from suspension in the second leg of the tie.
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Barcelona
V. Osimhen
(17 Goals)
R. Lewandowski
(22 Goals)
M. Politano
(8 Assists)
I. Gundogan
(14 Assists)
Napoli - Barcelona Key Points
- Current Serie A Champions Napoli lie a disappointing 9th in the Serie A table, 27 points behind leaders Inter. They finished second in Group C of the League Stages, finishing 8 points behind Real Madrid, but six ahead of Braga.
- Barcelona are third in La Liga, two points behind Girona in second and 8 behind Real Madrid who sit top of the table. The Catalan side finished top of Group H due to their better head-to-head record over FC Porto, picking up 12 points from their six games.
- The two teams have met four times in the UEFA competitions over the past four years. Barcelona winning two of those games (3-1 and 4-2), with the other two games drawn 1-1. All four matches have seen both teams score.
- In those four previous matches between the two teams, the games have typically averaged 3.5 goals per game.
- Napoli average 1.83 points per game at home in the Champions League, while Barcelona pick up two points per away game in the competition.
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Our Napoli vs Barcelona Prediction
Napoli vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Predictions
Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona) to score at any time
Draw And Under 2.5 Goals
Napoli vs Barcelona match : Frequently asked questions
In the United Kingdom TNT Sports will be covering the game live on its TNT Sports 2 channel. Kick off is 8pm at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples.
However, if you don't own that paid subscription channel and still want to follow the action live, then check out the Napoli vs Barcelona livescore page at SportyTrader. Here you will get real-time data updates as the game progresses, with text highlights relaying you all the information you need.
Germany's Felix Zwayer will be the referee in control of the action when Napoli face Barcelona in the first leg of their Round of 16 tie in the Champions League on Wednesday night.
He will be supported by an all-German team including assistant referees Stefan Lipp and Robert Kempter, as well as fourth official Sven Jablonski. Bastian Dankert will be the VAR Official with Soren Storks assisting him in those duties.
Wednesday is shaping up to be a very pleasant day in Naples for the Napoli v Barcelona Champions League tie.
It is expected to be sunny and clear, with a top daily temperature of around 17 degrees centigrade.
However, by kick off time of 9pm local time, temperatures are expected to fall to around 11 or 12 degrees centigrade, although no rain or notable winds are forecast.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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