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Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Matthew Newman in Serie A Predictions
Napoli take on Atalanta in Serie A action on Sunday. Gli Azzurri are top of the pile as things stand while the visiting La Dea sit in 3rd. It is a match that catches the eye in the league this weekend so we are looking forward to watching the game after making our prediction.
Five games, five wins, 11 scored and only two conceded is the strongest home form in the division so far. Napoli lifted the title in the 2022/23 season but had an abject time of things last time around, only finishing 10th.
A 0-3 loss to Verona in their opening game, they have gone unbeaten since. The lack of a European campaign could stand them in good stead this season, able to concentrate purely on the league.
Atalanta have played four of their last five games at home. A goalless draw with Celtic will have disappointed them but they bounced back to beat Verona 6-0 and then Monza 2-0 on Wednesday.
The ship has been righted since losing three of their opening five games. Unbeaten in seven in all competitions, only Inter has stopped them from scoring away from home this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Atalanta Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.5 | 3.71 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.5 | 3.71 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.35 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.36 | 3.56 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.45 | 3.65 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.27 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.2 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.4 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Atalanta?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Atalanta match is: Napoli to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/11/2024 between Napoli and Atalanta in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.29% for a win of Napoli against Atalanta with odds of 2.33 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Atalanta is 14.01% with odds of 3.5 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Napoli with odds of 3.71 at 1xbet.
Napoli - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Atalanta Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 60.29% | 2.33 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.67% | 2.05 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 34.58% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Napoli | 22.69% | 5.6 at Unibet |
Napoli vs Atalanta Form
Napoli and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
|
2
|
25 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
Napoli and Atalanta Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
18 Aug 2024 - Serie A
17 May 2024 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
24 Sep 2024 - Serie A
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
2 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Serie A
30 Aug 2024 - Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
19 Aug 2024 - Serie A
Napoli vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2024 - Serie A
25 Nov 2023 - Serie A
11 Mar 2023 - Serie A
5 Nov 2022 - Serie A
3 Apr 2022 - Serie A
4 Dec 2021 - Serie A
Napoli against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
M. Folorunsho
G. Scalvini
ForwardG. Scamacca
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Atalanta
K. Kvaratskhelia
(5 Goals)
M. Retegui
(11 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(4 Assists)
C. De Ketelaere
(5 Assists)
Napoli - Atalanta Key Points
- Napoli have been perfect at home this season.
- Only Torino out of the top 12 have conceded more than Atalanta this season.
- Although Napoli has only conceded two at home, Como and Parma were the teams who scored them, they are 13th and 17th in the league.
- Atalanta has a mighty xGF of 1.81 on the road this season.
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Our Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction
Napoli have been excellent at home this season, picking up the maximum 15 points so far. It could be that the lack of any European games will prove beneficial to them which could work the other way for their visitors.
This will be the fifth game in 15 days for Atalanta and by far the toughest test in that time. They have lost three times in seven games away from the Gewiss Stadium this season and this can make it four. Their xGF suggests they will find a way though, so our Napoli vs Atalanta prediction is a Napoli win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Atalanta
| Napoli vs Atalanta | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 2.1 | 2.25 | +7.1% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.2 | -1.5% |
| Atalanta wins | 3.6 | 3.3 | -8.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 44.4% (-3.2%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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