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Namibia vs Mali Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Daniel Ngulu | in AFCON Predictions
Namibia will be hoping for a second win at AFCON 2023, when they face Mali, to secure their slot in the Round of 16. The two nations are a point apart, Mali topping Group E with four and Namibia third with three points. The prize for the winner here is a place in the round of 16, though Mali have one foot in, after a win and a draw in the opening matches. You can follow this and more AFCON matches on our 2023 AFCON predictions page.
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The Best Betting Odds for Namibia v Mali Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
|
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6.4 | 3.55 | 1.57 |
|
|
7.56 | 3.73 | 1.54 |
|
|
7.56 | 3.73 | 1.54 |
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|
6.6 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
|
|
6.6 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
|
|
6.4 | 3.8 | 1.56 |
|
|
6.96 | 3.73 | 1.56 |
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6.2 | 3.7 | 1.58 |
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7.3 | 3.59 | 1.58 |
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6 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
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7.4 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
|
|
6.9 | 3.7 | 1.58 |
|
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6.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Namibia and Mali?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2024 between Namibia and Mali in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.54% for a win of Namibia against Mali with odds of 7.56 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Namibia vs Mali is 23.42% with odds of 3.8 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Mali vs Namibia with odds of 1.6 at Betwinner.
Namibia - Mali Prediction and Best Odds:
| Namibia Mali Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mali wins | 57.03% | 1.6 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 63.82% | 1.69 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mali | 33% | 4.2 at Unibet |
Namibia vs Mali Form
Namibia and Mali's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
|
3
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 |
Namibia and Mali Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
11 Jul 2023 - COSAFA Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2023 - COSAFA Cup
8 Jul 2023 - COSAFA Cup
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
4 Jun 2022 - AFCON
15 Nov 2021 - World Cup
12 Oct 2021 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - AFCON
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
24 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
9 Jun 2022 - AFCON
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
Namibia vs Mali Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Nov 2020 - AFCON
13 Nov 2020 - AFCON
Namibia - Mali: Form Analysis
Namibia opened their campaign at AFCON with a shock 1-0 win over favorites Tunisia. That marked their first ever AFCON win, and they will want to build on it. They however suffered a loss in the run up to this game, falling 4-0 to their neighbours, South Africa. While they managed to hold off Tunisia until late, against South Africa it was game over at half time. In the opening 45 minutes against South Africa, they were already 3-0 down. Namibia offered really little in terms of resistance. Their run of three matches unbeaten, all with clean sheets, also ended in that defeat. That was their third game in five without scoring. A run of eight losses in 11 AFCON matches doesn’t present a very inspiring read for Namibia. In their last seven AFCON matches, Namibia have lost four without scoring. Twice in their last three AFCON matches, they conceded four goals. They’ve faced off with Mali just twice before this game, and Mali won on both occasions. Their last meeting was in November 2020 in Namibia, and that ended 2-1 in Mali’s favor.
For the second game running, Lassine Sinayoko scored as Mali took an early lead against Tunisia. Mali would however fail to hold on for a second win in the group and secure their slot in the next round. With four points coming into this encounter, Mali will need just a draw to secure a round of 16 slot. A win will however ensure they finish top and probably get an easier opponent in the next round. The draw with Tunisia handed Mali their ninth straight unbeaten game. They have seven wins in that nine-game run and come here on a very good scoring run. Mali have only failed to score in one of their last 11 matches; in six of the nine matches, they scored two or more goals. At AFCON, Mali haven't lost in regular time in any of their last six matches. They have just one loss in 11 matches at AFCON. In their last four AFCON matches, Mali kept three clean sheets, winning two.
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Players list
L. Kazapua
DefenderI. Kamberipa
K. Amutenya
L. Haukongo
R. Hanamub
MidfielderC. Hambira
A. Petrus
ForwardA. Iimbondi
D. Hotto
M. Papama
D. Haoseb
D. Diarra
DefenderH. Traore
Kiki
S. Niakate
A. Dante
MidfielderM. Camara
Y. Bissouma
ForwardN. Dorgeles
A. Traore
K. Doumbia
I. Sissoko
Substitutes
K. Ndisiro
E. Maova
DefenderA. Gebhardt
C. Hambira
D. Haoseb
J. Kamatuka
M. Papama
P. Shitembi
A. Iimbondi
W. Rudath
ForwardU. Kambato
A. Doumbia
I. Diawara
DefenderA. Dante
M. Fofana
F. Sacko
MidfielderM. Camara
L. Coulibaly
D. Samassekou
K. Doumbia
A. Traore
I. Sissoko
S. Koita
Namibia & Mali Squad Analysis
Namibia come into this game hoping to rise from their heavy loss to South Africa. They will be depending on Match Day 1 hero Deon Hotto, who couldn’t inspire them on Match Day 2. Mamelodi Sundowns forward Peter Shalulile has recovered from injury and could be in line for some game time here. The fact that they have a fully fit squad available means coach Collin Benjamin will have options. Mali will once again look to Lassine Sinayoko here after the forward scored twice in the opening two matches. Being fully fit, we expect him to command a third straight start.
Most goals and assists
Namibia
Mali
L. Sinayoko
(3 Goals)
K. Doumbia
(2 Assists)
Namibia - Mali Key Points
- Mali are unbeaten in their two matches against Namibia
- Mali have three clean sheets in four AFCON matches, winning two
- Namibia have failed to score in three of their last five matches, losing two
- Mali are unbeaten in nine matches ahead of this, keeping four clean sheets
- Namibia failed to score in four of seven AFCON matches, all ending in defeats
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Our Namibia vs Mali Prediction
Namibia aren’t coming into this game on a great run, especially at AFCON. While they target a win to see them advance for the first time ever to the knockouts, this will not be an easy one. Though Mali are almost there, they won’t want to leave anything to chance and we expect them to put their strong foot forward. With the two nations’ recent runs, Mali will be clear favorites. Our prediction for Namibia v Mali is for Mali to win with a clean sheet.
Namibia vs Mali - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Save for their loss to South Africa, Namibia haven't been in many high scoring games. They aren’t the greatest attackers either and their struggles at AFCON finals are well documented. The Brave Warriors will only be seeking their second win ever in an AFCON game, having scored more than a goal in just two of 11 matches. five of their last seven AFCON matches had under 2.5 goals and coming into this game also, they haven't been scoring a lot either. They managed more than a goal in one of nine matches ahead of this one, and their games have had low scores. Seven of their last 10 games had under 2.5 goals and we are backing this one too to have under 2.5 goals.
Namibia vs Mali match : Frequently asked questions
The Namibia v Mali game will be played on Wednesday 24th January at 5pm GMT
The Namibia v Mali game will be played at the Stade Laurent Pokou
Namibia’s forward Peter Shalulile is fit again and in line to feature in the Namibia v Mali game
The Namibia v Mali game will be aired for African audiences on SuperSport, on Sky Sports for UK audiences, on ORTM in Mali and NBC in Namibia. Sportytrader will have the live updates for the game as well.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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