Namibia vs Kenya Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions
Namibia and Kenya failed to take early control of Group J after their opening matches in the 2025 AFCON qualifiers. Both nations will be eyeing three points when they face off on Tuesday, Harambee Stars on one point and the Brave Warriors bottom without a point. Here’s our preview and prediction for the match.
As Namibia lack a venue approved by CAF, they will host this match in nearby South Africa at the Orlando Stadium in Johannesburg. Namibia will be disadvantaged having played a day after Kenya and traveling all the way from Cameroon for this game.
While Kenya played to a draw with Zimbabwe, their hosts will be looking to rise from a Match Day 1 defeat. It is also key to note that Namibia’s travel to Cameroon was marred with delays in their connecting flight, operated by Kenya Airways.
With all that behind them, it will boil down to how well these teams can address their attacking woes.
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The Best Betting Odds for Namibia v Kenya Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 31 | 16.7 |
|
|
1.01 | 31 | 16.7 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.7 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.59 | 2.78 | 3.14 |
|
|
1.17 | 35 | 4.84 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Namibia and Kenya?
Our prediction for the Namibia vs Kenya match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between Namibia and Kenya in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.27% for a win of Namibia against Kenya with odds of 2.6 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Namibia vs Kenya is 32.93% with odds of 35 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Kenya vs Namibia with odds of 16.7 at 1xbet.
Namibia - Kenya Prediction and Best Odds:
| Namibia Kenya Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Namibia wins | 36.27% | 2.6 at Betobet |
| Under 2.5 | 51.19% | 1.35 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 42.86% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Namibia | 18.49% |
Namibia vs Kenya Form
Namibia and Kenya's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
Namibia and Kenya Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
5 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
3 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
1 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
28 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
30 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
27 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Namibia - Kenya: Form Analysis
Hosts Namibia will not come bearing great memories of playing in South Africa. The last time they played there, they were thrashed 5-0 by Angola in the COSAFA Cup. That was their second straight goalless outing in the competition.
Now they head back having failed to score in three consecutive matches. In five of Namibia’s last seven matches, they didn’t score, while they managed more than a goal in just two of 14. Six clean sheets in the 14 outings could, however, point to a solid defence.
That would be a positive to carry into this game, having conceded more than a goal in just three of 18 matches. Six of their last 10 outings yielded under 2.5 goals. In AFCON qualification, Namibia managed just three wins in the last 10 fixtures. That run returned only one clean sheet.
Both teams are struggling in attack ahead of this game and we could have a low-scoring game.
Kenya are coming from a goalless draw with Zimbabwe on Match Day 1, a game they played as hosts but in Uganda. That was their second straight clean sheet but there’s still a lot of improvement to target.
The East African nation will also be going back to South Africa after participating in the COSAFA Cup in June. The Harambee Stars won two of their three matches at the competition but couldn’t advance past the group stage.
Their loss to Comoros there, stands as their only defeat so far in nine matches. Engin Firat’s side has been putting up solid displays in defence lately. They come into this game with six clean sheets in the last nine matches.
This should boost their confidence facing a Namibia side not known for attacking strength. Kenya, however, have just one win in seven AFCON qualification matches.
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Namibia & Kenya Squad Analysis
Namibia keeper Edward Maova had a superb game in Cameroon, frustrating the Indomitable Lions for long spells. His performance then should guarantee him another start ahead of Lloyd Kazapua.
Deon Hotto missed a good chance to steal a point in stoppage time and will definitely hope to make amends against Kenya. The Orlando Pirates midfielder is a sure starter and will hope to link up better with Peter Shalulile.
Mamelodi Sundowns’ Shalulile didn’t have much impact against Cameroon but facing a weaker opponent, he should do better.
Kenya will once again miss their main striker, Olunga.
Kenya coach Engin Firat deployed two midfield players as false nines in the match against Zimbabwe. That move backfired as the Turk explored in the absence of skipper Michael Olunga.
The Qatar-based forward is still unavailable which means Firat must rethink the strategy. With John Avire, Benson Omalla and Jonah Ayunga at his disposal, the coach may pick one to lead the attack.
It means one or both of Duke Abuya and Eric Johanna will drop to the bench after struggling in the Zimbabwe game.
Namibia - Kenya Key Points
- Namibia scored more than a goal in three of 18 AFCON qualification matches as hosts.
- Half of Namibia’s 10 home matches in AFCON qualification produced under 2.5 goals.
- The last three meetings between Namibia and Kenya produced under 2.5 goals.
- In eight of their last 12 matches in all competitions, Namibia failed to score.
- Kenya averaged 1.1 goals in their last eight AFCON qualifying games.
- Kenya failed to score in three of their last five matches.
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Our Namibia vs Kenya Prediction
These two nations haven't had the best of returns in attack and both failed to score in their latest outings. While Kenya didn’t score in three of the last five matches, Namibia have gone goalless in three straight games.
The nations’ recent matches have, as a result, been low-scoring. Kenya and Namibia’s last three meetings produced three goals only and we don’t expect much to change here. Their goal averages support below three goals in this clash.
Therefore, our prediction for Namibia v Kenya is for the game to have under 2.5 goals.
Namibia vs Kenya - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score - No
Only one of these teams’ last four matches had both teams scoring. These nations come into this game struggling in attack. While Namibia’s best forward Peter Shalulile has struggled lately, Kenya miss their talisman in attack, Michael Olunga.
There’s a possibility that at least one or both teams will fail to score and that’s our second prediction.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Namibia Kenya
| Namibia vs Kenya | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Namibia wins | 1.12 | 1.01 | -9.8% |
| Draw | 30 | 31 | +3.3% |
| Kenya wins | 6.54 | 16.7 | +155.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Namibia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 89.3% and is now 99.0% (9.7%)
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Namibia vs Kenya match : Frequently asked questions
The Namibia v Kenya AFCON qualification match will kick off at 4pm GMT on Tuesday 10th September.
The Namibia v Kenya AFCON qualification match will be played at the Orlando Stadium in Johannesburg.
Ahead of the Namibia v Kenya AFCON qualification match, the two teams faced off four times and each has two wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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