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15 August 2024 - 18:00 

- 1/8

South America - Copa Libertadores

Nacional Montevideo
VS
SAO Paulo

Prediction :

SAO Paulo wins the match

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Nacional Montevideo vs SAO Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores

 by Nella Wagah in Copa Libertadores Predictions

Brazilian giants Sao Paulo head to Uruguay to face Club Nacional in the first leg of their Copa Libertadores Round of 16 tie. This game on Friday will mark the fifth meeting between the two sides. Here’s our prediction for the match.

Nacional secured this slot despite losing twice at the group stages. They finished second in Group H with 10 points. It was never an easy ride in the first round, conceding seven times in six matches.

Things will definitely get tougher in the knockouts, as they have never beaten Sao Paulo previously. In the four meetings before, the Uruguayans even failed to score a goal. However, they carry a seven-game unbeaten run to this encounter and are also undefeated in six home matches, winning four.

Six-time Brazilian champions Sao Paulo are gunning for their fourth Libertadores title. They topped Group B to add to the dominant number of Serie A teams in the knockouts.

Here they’ll be targeting a first leg advantage to take them to five matches without a loss. In the last four, they won three and kept four clean sheets, while only failing to score in one.

The Brazilians are coming from a 1-0 win against Atletico Goianiense and are unbeaten in five Libertadores matches. In those five matches, they kept as many clean sheets, and won four times.

This meeting will be the first between the two sides since 2008 and Sao Paulo will be keen to extend their dominance. In four meetings so far, the visitors won three and the other was a draw.

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The Best Betting Odds for Nacional Montevideo v SAO Paulo Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
17 1.04 23
Ladbrokes
3.2 2.25 2.8
1xbet
20 1.03 28
22bet
20 1.03 28
Betobet
2.8 2.8 2.9
Betwinner
3.09 3.06 2.49
Stake
14.75 1.04 15
Melbet
3.03 3.14 2.48
Tonybet
3 3.15 2.55
Check all Nacional Montevideo vs SAO Paulo odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nacional Montevideo and SAO Paulo?

Our prediction for the Nacional Montevideo vs SAO Paulo match is: Sao Paulo to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/08/2024 between Nacional Montevideo and SAO Paulo in Copa Libertadores :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.9% for a win of Nacional Montevideo against SAO Paulo with odds of 20 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nacional Montevideo vs SAO Paulo is 29.48% with odds of 3.15 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.62% chance ⭐ for a win of SAO Paulo vs Nacional Montevideo with odds of 28 at 1xbet.

Nacional Montevideo - SAO Paulo Prediction and Best Odds:

Nacional Montevideo SAO Paulo Prediction Probability Odds
Nacional Montevideo wins 49.9% 20 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 57.33% 2.03 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 42.86%
Half-time / Full-time : Nacional Montevideo/Nacional Montevideo 21.44% 4.75 at Bet365

Nacional Montevideo vs SAO Paulo Form

Nacional Montevideo and SAO Paulo Last Matches

Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo Last matches
W D W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.17
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
2.83
Goals conceded
0.33
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

4 Aug 2024 - Primera Division

Nacional Montevideo
1 :  1
CA Penarol Montevideo

28 Jul 2024 - Primera Division

Nacional Montevideo
1 :  0
CA Boston River

20 Jul 2024 - Primera Division

Nacional Montevideo
4 :  0
Miramar Misiones

13 Jul 2024 - Primera Division

Danubio FC
0 :  6
Nacional Montevideo

7 Jul 2024 - Primera Division

Nacional Montevideo
1 :  1
Rampla Juniors

23 Jun 2024 - Primera Division

Cerro Largo
0 :  4
Nacional Montevideo
SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo Last matches
D L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.5
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

11 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  0
Atletico GO

8 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil

Goias
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

3 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  0
Flamengo

30 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Goias

27 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fortaleza
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Botafogo
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Nacional Montevideo against SAO Paulo Lineups: Starting 11

Nacional Montevideo

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

12
L. Mejia
14
L. Lozano
4
S. Coates
23
D. Polenta
11
G. Baez
26
L. Sanabria
8
C. Oliva
16
A. Castro
7
A. Galeano
9
R. Bentancourt
22
D. Zabala
9
J. Calleri
47
Ferreira
10
Luciano
7
L. Moura
16
L. Gustavo
21
D. Bobadilla
6
Welington
28
A. Franco
5
R. Arboleda
13
Rafinha
23
Rafael

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

SAO Paulo

Nacional Montevideo - SAO Paulo Key Points

  1. Nacional are winless in four matches against Sao Paulo.
  2. Nacional lost twice in their last five Libertadores matches.
  3. Sao Paulo are unbeaten in their last four matches, winning three.
  4. Sao Paulo are undefeated in five Libertadores matches, having won four.
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Our Nacional Montevideo vs SAO Paulo Prediction

While they will be playing at home, it seems Nacional will be coming into this game as the underdogs. They have a poor run against Sao Paulo, even though the last time they faced off was a while back. 

Having struggled considerably at the group stage, we have reason to imagine it will be the same here. The fact that Sao Paulo carry a five-game unbeaten run in this competition points to them as favorites here. They haven't conceded much either, and have done well in attack. Our prediction for Nacional v Sao Paulo is for Sao Paulo to win. 

Prediction :

SAO Paulo wins the match

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nacional Montevideo SAO Paulo

Nacional Montevideo vs SAO Paulo Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Nacional Montevideo wins 2.8 17 +507.1%
Draw 3.1 1.04 -66.5%
SAO Paulo wins 2.6 23 +784.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Nacional Montevideo is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 507.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 5.9% (-29.8%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Nacional Montevideo vs SAO Paulo Prediction
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