Portugal - Liga Portugal
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Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
by Kennedy Kechula in Liga Portugal Predictions
Match week two in the Portuguese Primeira Liga is here, and newly promoted Nacional will play host to champions Sporting Lisbon. Both sides remain unbeaten after contrasting results on the opening weekend. Read on for our preview and prediction of the match.
After three years out, Nacional returned to the topflight with a 1-1 draw at AVS. They will seek to build on that for a rare win against the league champions. Nacional are targeting a first win against Sporting in over a decade, having last won this fixture in 2011.
When these two sides faced off in 2021, Nacional lost 2-0. It was the 20th straight game against Sporting without a win. In their last nine home matches, Nacional are unbeaten, with seven wins. It is their scoring form in this run that will inspire them against the visitors.
Sporting started their title defence on a winning note, thumping Rio Ave 3-1 at home. With the win, they recovered from their 4-3 loss to Porto in the Super Cup.
For the second straight match Sporting conceded late as Clayton Fernandes scored Rio Ave’s consolation goal. Conceding five times in two matches is not a trend the champions will want to carry into the coming matches.
It will particularly be a concern looking at Nacional’s scoring form. Out of 17 away matches last season, Sporting managed just seven clean sheets. Their biggest quality is in attack though, and that’s why they won 12 of those 17 league matches on the road.
They failed to win only five of their 34 matches last season but defensively, Sporting were third best.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nacional Madeira v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
51 | 17 | 1.03 |
|
|
10 | 6 | 1.25 |
|
|
84 | 23 | 1.01 |
|
|
84 | 23 | 1.01 |
|
|
11.5 | 6 | 1.23 |
|
|
11 | 6.35 | 1.24 |
|
|
100 | 17.5 | 1.01 |
|
|
11 | 6.1 | 1.25 |
|
|
10 | 6 | 1.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nacional Madeira and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting Lisbon to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2024 between Nacional Madeira and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.64% for a win of Nacional Madeira against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 100 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon is 19.61% with odds of 23 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira with odds of 1.25 at Ladbrokes.
Nacional Madeira - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nacional Madeira Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 43.75% | 1.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.36% | 1.56 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon | 15.61% | 4 at Bet365 |
Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Nacional Madeira and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
|
17
|
5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 |
Nacional Madeira and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 May 2024 - Segunda Liga
12 May 2024 - Segunda Liga
5 May 2024 - Segunda Liga
28 Apr 2024 - Segunda Liga
22 Apr 2024 - Segunda Liga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 May 2024 - Segunda Liga
5 May 2024 - Segunda Liga
22 Apr 2024 - Segunda Liga
6 Apr 2024 - Segunda Liga
9 Mar 2024 - Segunda Liga
24 Feb 2024 - Segunda Liga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 May 2024 - Segunda Liga
28 Apr 2024 - Segunda Liga
14 Apr 2024 - Segunda Liga
30 Mar 2024 - Segunda Liga
17 Mar 2024 - Segunda Liga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 May 2024 - Taca de Portugal
11 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
2 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal
Nacional Madeira against Sporting Lisbon : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 May 2021 - Liga Portugal
8 Jan 2021 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2019 - Liga Portugal
16 Dec 2018 - Liga Portugal
18 Mar 2017 - Liga Portugal
28 Oct 2016 - Liga Portugal
Nacional Madeira against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Most goals and assists
Nacional Madeira
Sporting Lisbon
M. Baeza
(1 Goals)
, 
D. Penha
(1 Goals)
,
Isaac
(1 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(14 Goals)
M. Dias
(1 Assists)
, 
L. Esteves
(1 Assists)
,
A. Butzke
(1 Assists)
F. Trincao
(5 Assists)
Nacional Madeira - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Nacional scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- In 35 league matches, Sporting have only lost twice.
- Sporting are unbeaten in 20 matches against Nacional.
- Sporting conceded in 10 of 17 away league matches last season.
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Our Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
There’s no question about Sporting Lisbon’s superiority here. As Nacional gets acquainted with the topflight on their return, this is one of the tough outings they’ll have to endure.
While Sporting are favorites to win, the hosts have a weapon in their scoring form and will surely want to use it here. The visitors conceded in most of their away league matches last season, a trend we expect to continue.
Our prediction for Nacional v Sporting Lisbon is for Sporting Lisbon to win and both teams to score.
Prediction :
Sporting Lisbon to win and both teams to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nacional Madeira Sporting Lisbon
| Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Madeira wins | 8.5 | 51 | +500.0% |
| Draw | 6 | 17 | +183.3% |
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.25 | 1.03 | -17.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 97.1% (17.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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