Africa - AFCON
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Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau are set to face off in their second match of Africa Cup of Nations qualifying on Tuesday afternoon at Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto in Maputo. The Mambas are currently in second place in Group I of this competition, while The African Wild Dogs lead the group standings after matchday one. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Mozambique almost pulled off a major upset in their opening match of qualifying, as they took an early lead against Mali but were pegged back in the second half via a Yves Bissouma strike just before the hour mark.
With that result, the Mambas have now avoided defeat in regulation time in each of their last nine matches, including six draws and three wins, dating back to a defeat to Cape Verde at the AFCON earlier this year.
At home, Mozambique have won their last two matches, beating Somalia and Lesotho, while the last two matches between themselves and Guinea-Bissau have ended level.
Meanwhile, Guinea-Bissau got off to a positive start to their qualifiers, edging Eswatini to a 1-0 victory courtesy of a Bura Nogueira strike early in the first half.
The African Wild Dogs are now unbeaten in their last three matches, following back-to-back draws against Ethiopia (0-0) and Egypt (1-1) in World Cup qualifying back in June.
However, the visitors lost all three of their AFCON matches in the Ivory Coast earlier this year and also lost their last two away games, beaten by Sudan 1-0 in March and Mali at the start of January.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mozambique v Guinea-Bissau Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 2.95 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.08 | 3.96 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.08 | 3.96 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.11 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.88 | 3 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.05 | 4.35 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.88 | 4.2 |
|
|
2 | 2.95 | 4.33 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau?
Our prediction for the Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau match is: Mozambique Draw No Bet!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.22% for a win of Mozambique against Guinea-Bissau with odds of 2.05 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau is 44.5% with odds of 3.11 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Guinea-Bissau vs Mozambique with odds of 4.5 at Vbet.
Mozambique - Guinea-Bissau Prediction and Best Odds:
Mozambique Guinea-Bissau Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Draw | 44.5% | 3.11 at Vbet |
Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.75 at Vbet |
Both Team To Score | 58.33% | 2.38 at Unibet |
Half-time : Mozambique / Full-time : Guinea-Bissau | 18.52% | 17 at Betsson |
Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau Form
Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau's standings in the AFCON
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
3
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 |
Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
5 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
19 Jan 2024 - AFCON
14 Jan 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jan 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
11 Sep 2023 - AFCON
27 Mar 2023 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Jan 2024 - AFCON
13 Jan 2024 - AFCON
6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
8 Sep 2018 - AFCON
Most goals and assists
Mozambique - Guinea-Bissau Key Points
- Mozambique have not lost in regulation time in their last nine matches in all competitions.
- Mozambique have won three of their last four home matches in all competitions.
- The two previous matches between these sides ended in draws.
- Guinea-Bissau have only won one of their last six competitive matches.
- Guinea-Bissau have only won one of their last five away games in all competitions.
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Our Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau Prediction
Mozambique would have been fairly content with a share of the spoils against Mali last time out and will see this as a good opportunity to notch up their first victory in qualifying, given their solid home record of late.
Indeed, Guinea-Bissau are capable of an upset, so we will err on the side of caution by opting for our money back in the event of a draw. Our Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau prediction: Mozambique Draw No Bet!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mozambique Guinea-Bissau
Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Mozambique wins | 1.86 | 2 | +7.5% |
Draw | 3.05 | 2.95 | -3.3% |
Guinea-Bissau wins | 4.5 | 3.9 | -13.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.8% and is now 33.9% (1.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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