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Africa - AFCON

Mozambique
10 Sep 2024 09:00
Guinea-Bissau

Prediction :

 

Mozambique Draw No Bet

 
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Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

 by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions

Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau are set to face off in their second match of Africa Cup of Nations qualifying on Tuesday afternoon at Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto in Maputo. The Mambas are currently in second place in Group I of this competition, while The African Wild Dogs lead the group standings after matchday one. Let’s get into the match prediction.

Mozambique almost pulled off a major upset in their opening match of qualifying, as they took an early lead against Mali but were pegged back in the second half via a Yves Bissouma strike just before the hour mark. 

With that result, the Mambas have now avoided defeat in regulation time in each of their last nine matches, including six draws and three wins, dating back to a defeat to Cape Verde at the AFCON earlier this year. 

At home, Mozambique have won their last two matches, beating Somalia and Lesotho, while the last two matches between themselves and Guinea-Bissau have ended level. 

Meanwhile, Guinea-Bissau got off to a positive start to their qualifiers, edging Eswatini to a 1-0 victory courtesy of a Bura Nogueira strike early in the first half. 

The African Wild Dogs are now unbeaten in their last three matches, following back-to-back draws against Ethiopia (0-0) and Egypt (1-1) in World Cup qualifying back in June. 

However, the visitors lost all three of their AFCON matches in the Ivory Coast earlier this year and also lost their last two away games, beaten by Sudan 1-0 in March and Mali at the start of January.

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The Best Betting Odds for Mozambique v Guinea-Bissau Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Betobet
2 2.95 3.9
Betwinner
2.05 3.08 3.96
LSbet
2.05 3.08 3.96
Betfair
1.91 2.88 4.2
Betsson
2 2.95 4.33
Vbet
1.98 3.11 4.5
Betway
1.88 3 4.2
Unibet
1.89 3.05 4.35
Check all Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau odds
Up to $150 to bet on Mozambique - Guinea-Bissau! 

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What is the prediction for the football match between Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau?

Our prediction for the Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau match is: Mozambique Draw No Bet!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.22% for a win of Mozambique against Guinea-Bissau with odds of 2.05 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau is 44.5% with odds of 3.11 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 16.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Guinea-Bissau vs Mozambique with odds of 4.5 at Vbet.

Mozambique - Guinea-Bissau Prediction and Best Odds:

Mozambique Guinea-Bissau Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 44.5% 3.11 at Vbet
Under 2.5 55.4% 1.75 at Vbet
Both Team To Score 58.33% 2.38 at Unibet
Half-time : Mozambique / Full-time : Guinea-Bissau 18.52% 17 at Betsson

Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau Form

Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Mozambique
Mozambique
11 6 3 2 1 4
3
Guinea-Bissau
Guinea-Bissau
5 6 1 2 3 -2

Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau Last Matches

Mozambique
Mozambique Last matches
D D W D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Mozambique

7 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup

Comoros
2 :  2
Mozambique

5 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
0 :  0
Namibia

2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
3 :  1
Botswana

29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
0 :  0
Eswatini

26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup

South Africa
1 :  1
Mozambique
L D W D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
0 :  0
Namibia

2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
3 :  1
Botswana

29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup

Mozambique
0 :  0
Eswatini

7 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Mozambique
2 :  1
Somalia

22 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Mozambique
2 :  2
Ghana

19 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Mozambique
0 :  2
Algeria
D L W D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Mozambique

7 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup

Comoros
2 :  2
Mozambique

26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup

South Africa
1 :  1
Mozambique

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea
0 :  1
Mozambique

19 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Cape Verde Isl.
3 :  0
Mozambique

14 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Egypt
2 :  2
Mozambique
Guinea-Bissau
Guinea-Bissau Last matches
L L L D D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

5 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Guinea-Bissau
1 :  0
Eswatini

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
1 :  1
Egypt

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  0
Ethiopia

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Sudan
1 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

22 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  1
Nigeria

18 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
4 :  2
Guinea-Bissau
L W L D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

5 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Guinea-Bissau
1 :  0
Eswatini

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
1 :  1
Egypt

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  0
Ethiopia

22 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  1
Nigeria

11 Sep 2023 - AFCON

Guinea-Bissau
2 :  1
Sierra Leone

27 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  1
Nigeria
D W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Sudan
1 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

18 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
4 :  2
Guinea-Bissau

13 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Côte d'Ivoire
2 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Mali
6 :  2
Guinea-Bissau

20 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Djibouti
0 :  1
Guinea-Bissau

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Burkina Faso
1 :  1
Guinea-Bissau

Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

8 Sep 2018 - AFCON

Mozambique
2 :  2
Guinea-Bissau
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Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Mozambique
CD Huachipato Guinea-Bissau
Top Goalscorer
C. Bauque (1 Goals)
W. Quembo (1 Goals)
R. Mandava (1 Goals)
G. Catamo (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Z. Turbo (1 Goals)
Best assists
G. Catamo (1 Assists)
R. Guimaraes (1 Assists)
D. Macandza (1 Assists)
Best assists
D. Gomes (1 Assists)

Mozambique - Guinea-Bissau Key Points

  1. Mozambique have not lost in regulation time in their last nine matches in all competitions.
  2. Mozambique have won three of their last four home matches in all competitions.
  3. The two previous matches between these sides ended in draws.
  4. Guinea-Bissau have only won one of their last six competitive matches.
  5. Guinea-Bissau have only won one of their last five away games in all competitions.
Up to $150 to bet on Mozambique - Guinea-Bissau! 

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Our Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau Prediction

Mozambique would have been fairly content with a share of the spoils against Mali last time out and will see this as a good opportunity to notch up their first victory in qualifying, given their solid home record of late. 

Indeed, Guinea-Bissau are capable of an upset, so we will err on the side of caution by opting for our money back in the event of a draw. Our Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau prediction: Mozambique Draw No Bet!

Prediction :

 

Mozambique Draw No Bet

 
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$150 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mozambique Guinea-Bissau

Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Mozambique wins 1.86 2 +7.5%
Draw 3.05 2.95 -3.3%
Guinea-Bissau wins 4.5 3.9 -13.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 32.8% and is now 33.9% (1.1%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mozambique vs Guinea-Bissau Prediction
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