Olympics - Men's Olympic Tournament
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Morocco vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - Men's Olympic Tournament
by Ian John | in Men's Olympic Tournament Predictions
Morocco, the surprise winner of Group B, will face the United States, the Group A runner-up, at the Parc des Princes in Paris in the first Olympic men's football quarter-final. On paper, this looks likely to be a close match, so who will we favor in our prediction for this competitive winner-takes-all tie? The Atlas Lions or the Stars and Stripes?
Fortunately, we have some relevant data from a match between the two at the end of 2023. That November friendly match in San Pedro del Pinatar, Spain, ended in a 1-0 win for Morocco. However, Marseille midfielder Bilal Nadir, who scored the goal in that game, is not part of the current Moroccan squad for this tournament.
For the United States, overage Colorado Rapids player Djordje Mihailovic has proven his worth, scoring in their last two group-stage victories. Those wins mean the US team lost just one of its last five matches.
A place in the Olympic semi-final awaits the winner of this contest. The victor will head to Marseille to face either Japan or Spain for a chance to compete in the gold medal match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Morocco v USA Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 51 | 251 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
1.03 | 15.3 | 52 |
|
|
1.03 | 15.3 | 52 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.22 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.02 | 16.5 | 96 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.3 | 3.03 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.35 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Morocco and USA?
Our prediction for the Morocco vs USA match is: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/08/2024 between Morocco and USA in Men's Olympic Tournament :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.05% for a win of Morocco against USA with odds of 2.38 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Morocco vs USA is 6.38% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.57% chance ⭐ for a win of USA vs Morocco with odds of 251 at Bet365.
Morocco - USA Prediction and Best Odds:
| Morocco USA Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Morocco wins | 62.05% | 2.38 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 88.58% | 2.06 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 28.57% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Morocco/Morocco | 26.8% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Morocco vs USA Form
Morocco and USA Last Matches
2/3 (67%)
0/3 (0%)
1/3 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
1/1 (100%)
0/1 (0%)
0/1 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
1/2 (50%)
0/2 (0%)
1/2 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
2/3 (67%)
0/3 (0%)
1/3 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
1/1 (100%)
0/1 (0%)
0/1 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
1/2 (50%)
0/2 (0%)
1/2 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Morocco - USA: Form Analysis
Morocco's run into the Olympic football tournament was far from ideal. Just one win in three friendlies didn't augur well for their opening game with Argentina. However, Morocco stunned many with a 2-1 win over the much-fancied Argentines.
A disappointing 2-1 defeat against Ukraine followed in the second group match for Tarik Sektioui's team. However, they secured their place in the quarter-finals with a comfortable 3-0 win over Iraq. That result ensured they finished top of the group thanks to their head-to-head record with Argentina.
Morocco's striker Soufiane Rahimi is the tournament's current top goalscorer with four goals.
Marco Mitrovic's United States Olympic team started their campaign against host nation France and lost 3-0 to the tournament favorites. The result put the United States team under real pressure in their final two group games.
They responded magnificently to the challenge. In their second group game, New Zealand were defeated 4-1, with the US scoring three goals in the opening half-hour of that game. That set up a crucial final group game with Guinea, with the United States running out 3-0 winners to finish second in Group A.
VfL Wolfsburg striker Kevin Paredes netted a double in that 3-0 win and he will be key if the United States are to continue the good form shown in the last two games in this exciting quarter-final.
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Morocco against USA Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Morocco & USA Squad Analysis
Neither Morocco nor the United States have any major injury concerns or suspended players heading into their quarter-final tie in Paris on Friday. It will certainly be a welcome fixture for Moroccan full-back Achraf Hakimi, who plays his club home games at the Parc des Princes for Paris Saint-Germain.
Reims midfielder Amir Richardson has also caught the eye for the Atlas Lions.
The languid and talented midfielder scored the vital opening goal in their crucial 3-0 win over Iraq in their final group game.
However, it has been striker Soufiane Rahimi's sensational goalscoring form that has been most impressive. He has scored in every game of the tournament for Morocco thus far, which includes two from the penalty spot.
US head coach Marko Mitrovic also has a full-strength squad to pick from for this game. The manager will likely keep faith with the majority of players who helped secure big wins over New Zealand and Guinea to enable the team to progress from Group A.
Overage attacking midfielder Djordje Mihailovic has been an influential addition to the squad.
The Colorado midfielder has been one of the leading creative forces in the US team. He also scored two goals in the past two games. Mihailovic is the team's joint-leading goalscorer alongside striker Kevin Paredes, who scored a double against Guinea in the final group game.
Most goals and assists
Morocco
USA
S. Rahimi
(8 Goals)
D. Mihailovic
(2 Goals)
,
K. Paredes
(2 Goals)
A. Ezzalzouli
(3 Assists)
D. Mihailovic
(1 Assists)
,
G. Yow
(1 Assists)
,
P. Aaronson
(1 Assists)
,
J. McGlynn
(1 Assists)
Morocco - USA Key Points
- Both teams have scored in three of Morocco’s last four games.
- All the United States’ games at the Olympics so far have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Morocco have scored six goals in the tournament, conceding three.
- The United States have scored seven goals in the tournament, conceding four.
- The last five games for the USA Olympic team have seen an average of 3.4 total goals.
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Our Morocco vs USA Prediction
Our prediction for the Morocco vs. United States Olympic men's football quarter-final tie is: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals.
Both of these teams are amongst the highest scorers in the Olympic football tournament, but they've also conceded at least one goal per game on average. Given the attacking quality of both teams, the data suggests we should see goals at both ends of the field in what should be an enthralling contest for a spot in the semi-finals.
Morocco vs USA - Other Interesting Predictions
Correct Score - Morocco to win 2-1.
Our second prediction for Morocco vs. United States is: Morocco to win 2-1.
Although we have backed the BTTS and over 2.5 goals market for our primary prediction, our research suggests that this won't be a game with a surfeit of goals. The game will likely go deep into the second half with both teams level, but Morocco's added threat in front of goal may just be enough for them to clinch the victory late on and with it, a place in the semi-final.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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