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05 August 2024 - 12:00 

- SF

Olympics - Men's Olympic Tournament

Morocco
VS
Spain

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Morocco vs Spain Prediction & Betting Tips - Men's Olympic Tournament

 by Steve Ashfield in Men's Olympic Tournament Predictions

Will we see another Spanish football triumph? After their senior side became European champions, their under-23 team now bids to win the Olympic title. In the semi-finals they take on Morocco and the Atlas Lions, 

Like their opponents Morocco have won three of their four matches so far in this Olympic tournament. This is their first time in the Olympics since London 2012. Never before have they made it past the group stage in the Olympic Games but that's all changed this time around in France.

Spain have lost one of their four matches, but will be hoping to go one better than they did in Tokyo three years ago when winning the silver medal. The Red Fury also won silver in 2000 and famously won gold when the Games were played in Barcelona.

This should be a fascinating semi-final with the winners up against either hosts France or Egypt in the final. Read on to discover our prediction.

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The Best Betting Odds for Morocco v Spain Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
501 17 1.03
Ladbrokes
3.2 3.3 2.25
1xbet
436 14.8 1.02
22bet
436 14.8 1.02
Betobet
3.35 3.2 2.25
Betwinner
3.38 3.44 2.14
Stake
100 7.5 1.07
Melbet
3.38 3.42 2.14
Tonybet
3.45 3.35 2.02
Check all Morocco vs Spain odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Morocco and Spain?

Our prediction for the Morocco vs Spain match is: Over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/08/2024 between Morocco and Spain in Men's Olympic Tournament :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.67% for a win of Morocco against Spain with odds of 501 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Morocco vs Spain is 8.17% with odds of 17 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 42.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Spain vs Morocco with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.

Morocco - Spain Prediction and Best Odds:

Morocco Spain Prediction Probability Odds
Morocco wins 49.67% 501 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 75.58% 2.93 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 35.71%
Half-time / Full-time : Morocco/Morocco 24.41% 4.75 at Bet365

Morocco vs Spain Form

Morocco and Spain Last Matches

Morocco
Morocco Last matches
W L W W
Victories

3/4 (75%)

Draw

0/4 (0%)

Defeats

1/4 (25%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.25
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
0.75
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%

2 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Morocco
4 :  0
USA

30 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Morocco
3 :  0
Iraq

27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Ukraine
2 :  1
Morocco

24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Argentina
1 :  2
Morocco
Spain
Spain Last matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

2 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
0 :  3
Spain

30 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
1 :  2
Egypt

27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Dominican Republic
1 :  3
Spain

24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Uzbekistan
1 :  2
Spain

7 Aug 2021 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Brazil
2 :  1
Spain

3 Aug 2021 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
0 :  1
Spain
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Morocco - Spain: Form Analysis

Spain have played four matches in this Olympic tournament and won three of them. They were drawn into Group C and began with a 2-1 win over Uzbekistan. Another win followed when defeating the Dominican Republic 3-1. As with the first match, it was 1-1 at half-time.

Then came the only defeat so far of their Olympic campaign. The Red Ones were beaten 2-1 by Egypt, who they could yet meet in the final. That meant they only finished second in the group and had to take on Japan in the quarter-finals.

There were few problems for them in that match with a 3-0 win over the Japanese side. Fermin Lopez of Barcelona scored two of their three goals.

Morocco have won all four of their matches so far. They won  Group B with victories beginning with a controversial 2-1 win over Argentina. They didn't initially build on that as the Moroccans lost 2-1 to Ukraine with the winner coming in the 98th minute.

They've bounced back well though with a 3-0 win over Iraq (all the goals in the first half) and in the last eight, they beat the USA 4-0, two of the goals being from the penalty spot. We go for over 2.5 goals in this match.

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Morocco against Spain Lineups: Starting 11

Morocco

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. El Kajoui
2
A. Hakimi
17
O. El Azzouzi
4
M. Boukamir
11
Z. El Ouahdi
18
A. Richardson
14
O. Targhalline
10
I. Akhomach
7
E. Ben Seghir
16
A. Ezzalzouli
9
S. Rahimi
9
A. Ruiz
17
S. Gomez
11
F. Lopez
14
A. Oroz
10
A. Baena
6
P. Barrios
3
J. Miranda
5
P. Cubarsi
4
E. Garcia
2
M. Pubill
1
A. Tenas

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Spain

Morocco & Spain Squad Analysis

Spain could well field an unchanged starting line-up for this semi-final against Morocco. They did rest some players for their final group game when losing to Egypt but they returned for the win over Japan in the last eight. That included Pau Cubarsi who had been out due to suspension. 

Morocco will be glad to know that Soufiane Rahimi is fit for this match. He's scored in every game so far in this Olympic tournament with five in total. They have no injury problems and are also likely to name an unchanged team for this match.

Morocco - Spain Key Points

  1. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in all four of Morocco's matches in this tournament.
  2. All four of Spain's matches have seen over 2.5 goals be scored.
  3. Spain have scored at least twice in three of their four matches so far.
  4. The last five Moroccan games have seen them score at least twice in four of them.
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Our Morocco vs Spain Prediction

This doesn't look like being a low-scoring match between Spain and Morocco. All eight of the matches so far played by these two teams have had over 2.5 goals scored in them. Morocco have ten goals so far with Spain scoring nine.

Our main Morocco v Spain prediction is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Morocco vs Spain - Other Interesting Predictions

Soufiane Rahimi to score in the match

Rahimi has been on fire so far in this Olympic tournament. He's scored in every one of Morocco's four matches and has five in total. He also takes their penalties and that's another reason he may well get on the scoresheet in this match.

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Morocco Spain

Morocco vs Spain Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Morocco wins 3.5 501 +14,214.3%
Draw 3.4 17 +400.0%
Spain wins 2.05 1.03 -49.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Morocco is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 14,214.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 0.2% (-28.4%)

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Morocco vs Spain match : Frequently asked questions

This match between Morocco and Spain is being played on Monday August 5 with an 18:00 kick-off time - 17:00 in the UK.
This Olympic semi-final between Morocco and Spain is being played at Stade de Marseille. Neither country has played a match in this stadium during this tournament.
Discovery + has the rights to show this match and a subscription is required. You may also be able to see the match on the BBC iPlayer. Remember to access our Olympic football livescore with the latest news and updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Morocco vs Spain Prediction
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