Africa - AFCON
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Morocco vs Lesotho Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions
Morocco will seek to finish the 2025 AFCON qualification process on a high as they head to their home match against Lesotho. The Atlas Lions top Group B with 15 points, 11 more than Likuena’s tally. Read on for our prediction.
For the sake of staying sharp, Morocco have taken part in the qualifiers and here they’ll be gunning for a double against Lesotho. The AFCON 2025 hosts are coming from a 5-1 away win against Gabon.
It was the fourth time in five that they scored at least four goals. The only time they scored less, was in their 1-0 win against Lesotho.
As for Lesotho, despite a weak run in the qualifiers, go into the final round still in line for a place at the finals. Their fate isn’t in their hands anymore but their 1-0 win against Central African Republic put them in a good place.
They will hope to win here and that Gabon loses to the bottom placed side. That will be a tall order, both for their wishes and in reality. Their win in the last game lifted them from bottom to third on four points.
While this one is a match they must win, Lesotho come here without an away win in AFCON qualification.
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The Best Betting Odds for Morocco v Lesotho Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.14 | 5.75 | 19 |
|
|
1.06 | 14.1 | 80 |
|
|
1.06 | 14.1 | 80 |
|
|
1.02 | 14.5 | 45 |
|
|
1.04 | 12 | 40 |
|
|
1.04 | 13 | 74 |
|
|
1.05 | 10 | 40 |
|
|
1.02 | 15 | 41 |
|
|
1.05 | 15 | 23 |
|
|
1.01 | 14 | 46 |
|
|
1.04 | 13 | 41 |
|
|
1.03 | 9 | 36 |
|
|
1.06 | 14 | 26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Morocco and Lesotho?
Our prediction for the Morocco vs Lesotho match is: Morocco to win and over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/11/2024 between Morocco and Lesotho in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 71.76% for a win of Morocco against Lesotho with odds of 1.14 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Morocco vs Lesotho is 16.31% with odds of 15 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Lesotho vs Morocco with odds of 80 at 1xbet.
Morocco - Lesotho Prediction and Best Odds:
| Morocco Lesotho Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Morocco wins | 71.76% | 1.14 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 52.69% | 2.89 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 33.33% | 4.33 at Betway |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Morocco | 34.56% | 4.5 at Ladbrokes |
Morocco vs Lesotho Form
Morocco and Lesotho's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
|
3
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -11 |
Morocco and Lesotho Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
3 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
3 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
28 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
1 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
10 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
Morocco vs Lesotho Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
Missing players
C. Riad
MidfielderO. El Azzouzi
S. Amallah
ForwardA. Adli
Most goals and assists
Morocco
Lesotho
R. Saiss
(1 Goals)
,
Y. En-Nesyri
(1 Goals)
,
A. Ounahi
(1 Goals)
,
A. Hakimi
(1 Goals)
,
H. Ziyech
(1 Goals)
A. Hakimi
(1 Assists)
,
A. Adli
(1 Assists)
Morocco - Lesotho Key Points
- Morocco scored four or more in their last three matches.
- Morocco are unbeaten in the last nine matches, winning eight.
- In eight of 11 AFCON qualification matches, Lesotho lost.
- Lesotho have never won an away match in AFCON qualifiers.
- Two of Lesotho’s last four away AFCON qualification matches had over 3.5 goals.
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Our Morocco vs Lesotho Prediction
Morocco were always set to have their place at the AFCON 2025, being the hosts. They have done well in these qualifiers and will hope to finish with their current perfect run. Five wins in a row, and having scored 19 times shows their quality.
They did struggle to beat Lesotho the last time the two nations met but with their current momentum this should easily go their way. Lesotho have been poor, especially away from home in AFCON qualifiers. Our prediction for Morocco v Lesotho is for Morocco to win and over 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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