Africa - AFCON
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Morocco vs Gabon Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Kennedy Kechula in AFCON Predictions
The 2025 AFCON hosts Morocco will be part of the qualification process for the event as a way of staying competitive. They will start the qualifiers with a home match against Gabon this Friday. Predictions back Morocco to win this game.
The past few years have seen a rise in Moroccan football and they will be banking on this run towards the final tournament. After a deep run at the 2022 World Cup, the Moroccan junior side did well at the recent Olympic Games.
There’s generally a good vibe at the team. The North African nation registered a fourth unbeaten game in a 6-0 win over Congo in the World Cup qualifiers in June. Playing at home elevates Morocco’s prospects of bagging a win here.
They are unbeaten at home in their last 22 matches, winning 17 of them.
Gabon was the last team to beat Morocco at home. That was five years ago when the two nations met in a friendly match in Tanger. The visitors will be eager to beat the African giants a second time as they look to take the lead in this tricky group.
Morocco, being the AFCON hosts, have their place reserved. It means only one more team from this group will secure a slot at the finals. Gabon will be motivated by their 3-2 win against Gambia in their last match.
That was their first win in four matches and the third in five to produce over 2.5 goals. In Gabon’s last 10 matches, they have no clean sheet but three times in their last six matches, they scored at least twice.
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The Best Betting Odds for Morocco v Gabon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 2.8 | 8 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.17 | 14.7 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.17 | 14.7 |
|
|
1.23 | 5.25 | 12 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.7 | 16 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.7 | 16 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.2 | 15 |
|
|
1.21 | 5.25 | 15 |
|
|
1.27 | 5 | 11 |
|
|
1.2 | 5.2 | 13.5 |
|
|
1.14 | 5.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.2 | 6 | 15 |
|
|
1.21 | 5.9 | 17 |
|
|
1.2 | 5.5 | 12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Morocco and Gabon?
Our prediction for the Morocco vs Gabon match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2024 between Morocco and Gabon in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.32% for a win of Morocco against Gabon with odds of 1.57 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Morocco vs Gabon is 30.26% with odds of 6.7 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Gabon vs Morocco with odds of 17 at Vbet.
Morocco - Gabon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Morocco Gabon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Morocco wins | 55.32% | 1.57 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 50.19% | 2.12 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.63 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Morocco/Morocco | 30.03% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
Morocco vs Gabon Form
Morocco and Gabon's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
|
2
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
Morocco and Gabon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Jan 2024 - AFCON
17 Jan 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Jun 2023 - AFCON
17 Dec 2022 - World Cup
14 Dec 2022 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
23 Mar 2023 - AFCON
8 Jun 2022 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
9 Sep 2023 - AFCON
27 Mar 2023 - AFCON
4 Jun 2022 - AFCON
Morocco vs Gabon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
18 Jan 2022 - AFCON
Missing players
C. Riad
MidfielderO. El Azzouzi
A. Richardson
A. Harit
ForwardA. Adli
U. Eneme-Ella
Most goals and assists
Morocco
Gabon
R. Saiss
(1 Goals)
,
Y. En-Nesyri
(1 Goals)
,
A. Ounahi
(1 Goals)
,
A. Hakimi
(1 Goals)
,
H. Ziyech
(1 Goals)
A. Hakimi
(1 Assists)
,
A. Adli
(1 Assists)
Morocco - Gabon Key Points
- Morocco scored eight times in their last two matches.
- Four of Gabon’s last six matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- The last three meetings between these nations saw 12 goals scored.
- Three of Morocco’s last four AFCON qualifying matches at home had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Morocco vs Gabon Prediction
Morocco will be meeting the last team to beat them at home, in a five-goal thriller five years ago. Gabon led thrice back them, but they don’t look to be in shape to repeat the same here.
However, the possibility for a high scoring game remains, looking at both teams’ runs ahead of this game. The two coaches have also called up top attacking talent for this game. Youssef En-Neysri is expected to lead the attack for Morocco while Gabon have Pierre Emerick Aubameyang.
With such firepower, we could see plenty of goals. Our prediction for Morocco v Gabon is therefore for over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Morocco Gabon
| Morocco vs Gabon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco wins | 1.33 | 1.57 | +18.0% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 2.8 | -35.3% |
| Gabon wins | 8 | 8 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Morocco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 63.7% (-11.5%)
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