France - Ligue 1
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Montpellier Hsc vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Jean-Louis Gasset is back at Montpellier and his first assignment will be to lead the team against Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Sunday. La Paillade, the hosts, start the weekend bottom of the table. As they prepare to take on La Cité des Violettes, we have the preview and a prediction.
Montpellier are having a torrid season and a change in management was received with approval. The team is coming from a 5-0 defeat at home to Marseille.
That left them as the side with the poorest defence, now having conceded 26 times in just eight games. Montpellier’s only win this season was against a promoted side - Auxerre.
Toulouse are just two points better than Montpellier and as that end of the standings is congested they could drop into the red zone. The visitors will be looking to build on their 1-1 draw with Angers last time out.
That result ended a run of three straight defeats and Toulouse will seek to add to their one win here. If they were to apply their recent scoring form, Toulouse would come into this game very confident.
They have only failed to score once in five matches. Toulouse have actually had a good run away from home in the league. The visitors have two league losses on the road inside seven matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Montpellier Hsc v Toulouse Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.2 | 2.5 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.23 | 3.75 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.23 | 3.75 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.6 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.06 | 3.6 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.06 | 3.6 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.6 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.12 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.47 | 3.73 | 2.13 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.45 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.7 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.6 | 2.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Montpellier Hsc and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Montpellier Hsc vs Toulouse match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/10/2024 between Montpellier Hsc and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.72% for a win of Montpellier Hsc against Toulouse with odds of 3.47 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Montpellier Hsc vs Toulouse is 22.18% with odds of 3.75 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Montpellier Hsc with odds of 2.45 at Ladbrokes.
Montpellier Hsc - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:
| Montpellier Hsc Toulouse Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 49.1% | 2.45 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.81% | 1.97 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.58% | 1.61 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Toulouse/Toulouse | 26.64% | 3.55 at Unibet |
Montpellier Hsc vs Toulouse Form
Montpellier Hsc and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
|
18
|
7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -20 |
Montpellier Hsc and Toulouse Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Montpellier Hsc vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 May 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
9 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2019 - Ligue 1
14 Apr 2019 - Ligue 1
Montpellier Hsc against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
C. Jullien
Kiki
B. Omeragic
MidfielderK. Fayad
J. Chotard
S. Dzodic
ForwardY. Issoufou
G. Ngosso
R. Nicolaisen
J. Canvot
Most goals and assists
Montpellier Hsc
Toulouse
A. Adams
(3 Goals)
, 
A. Nordin
(3 Goals)
Z. Aboukhlal
(4 Goals)
T. Savanier
(2 Assists)
Y. Gboho
(2 Assists)
,
Z. Aboukhlal
(2 Assists)
Montpellier Hsc - Toulouse Key Points
- Montpellier conceded 16 times in the last five matches.
- Each of Montpellier’s last seven matches had over 2.5 goals.
- 14 goals were netted in Toulouse’s last five away league games.
- The last five meetings between these two sides produced 18 goals.
- Montpellier have conceded 3.25 goals per game in Ligue 1 this season.
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Our Montpellier Hsc vs Toulouse Prediction
After going through last season struggling, there seems to be no reprieve for both Toulouse and Montpellier. As the two sides prepare to face off, their main undoing has to be their defending.
Montpellier have been so poor, and come here having conceded on average 3.25 goals per game. Toulouse have conceded fewer but aren’t doing well either. While the two teams are struggling defensively, they have goals in them too.
It won’t be surprising at all to see both teams score but our prediction for Montpellier v Toulouse is for over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Montpellier Hsc Toulouse
| Montpellier Hsc vs Toulouse | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier Hsc wins | 3.1 | 3.2 | +3.2% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.7 | +5.7% |
| Toulouse wins | 2.25 | 2.1 | -6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Toulouse is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 47.6% (3.2%)
Use £30 free bets for the Montpellier Hsc vs. Toulouse game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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