France - Ligue 1
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Montpellier Hsc vs Auxerre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
by Nella Wagah in Ligue 1 Predictions
Montpellier are enduring another tough start to the French Ligue 1 season and will hope to do better when they host Auxerre. La Paillade will be gunning for their first win of the season playing a fixture they’ve done well in. Read on for our preview and prediction of the match.
Four matches into the season, Montpellier have one point. This is a poorer start than at this stage last season even though they have a history of struggling early.
It will not give them much confidence also, that this fixture has rarely gone in favor of the home team. The last three matches between these teams were won by the visiting team; twice that favor fell on Montpellier.
That includes their latest meeting in January 2023. The hosts are coming from a 3-0 defeat to Rennes, their third straight loss.
Auxerre had a flying start on their return to the topflight, beating Nice 2-1 with goals from Rayan Raveloson and Lasso Coulibaly. However, after that things have gone downwards for the team, losing each of the three matches that followed.
Most recently, Christophe Pelissier’s team fell 3-0 at home to Monaco, adding to earlier defeats at Le Havre and Nantes. Three goals in their opening four matches leave Auxerre among the lowest scoring teams at this point of the season.
Even with that, they still have more goals than Montpellier. Padded with their form before relegation, Auxerre have now managed just a win in 11 Ligue 1 matches. It is worse on the road, with 13 losses in 19 away Ligue 1 matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Montpellier Hsc v Auxerre Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.57 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.57 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.5 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.94 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.94 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.44 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.69 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.12 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Montpellier Hsc and Auxerre?
Our prediction for the Montpellier Hsc vs Auxerre match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/09/2024 between Montpellier Hsc and Auxerre in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.54% for a win of Montpellier Hsc against Auxerre with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Montpellier Hsc vs Auxerre is 30.84% with odds of 3.69 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Auxerre vs Montpellier Hsc with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.
Montpellier Hsc - Auxerre Prediction and Best Odds:
| Montpellier Hsc Auxerre Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Auxerre wins | 38.62% | 3.7 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.47% | 1.83 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | 1.55 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Auxerre | 15.97% | 8 at Bet365 |
Montpellier Hsc vs Auxerre Form
Montpellier Hsc and Auxerre's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
|
18
|
7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -20 |
Montpellier Hsc and Auxerre Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2024 - Ligue 2
4 May 2024 - Ligue 2
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2024 - Ligue 2
Montpellier Hsc vs Auxerre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
21 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
Montpellier Hsc against Auxerre Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
C. Jullien
T. Sainte-Luce
MidfielderJ. Chotard
ForwardG. Ngosso
S. Agouzoul
A. N'gatta
MidfielderL. Coulibaly
Most goals and assists
Montpellier Hsc
Auxerre
A. Adams
(3 Goals)
, 
A. Nordin
(3 Goals)
H. Traore
(5 Goals)
T. Savanier
(2 Assists)
G. Perrin
(4 Assists)
Montpellier Hsc - Auxerre Key Points
- Montpellier have scored twice in four matches this season.
- In two of their last three league matches, Auxerre failed to score.
- In their last five away Ligue 1 matches, Auxerre scored just three goals.
- Four of Montpellier’s last five home league matches had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Montpellier Hsc vs Auxerre Prediction
One point from four games is the story of Montpellier’s struggles and it is coupled with the worst goal difference. The big part of their troubles is a blunt attack, as the one-time league champions have just two goals.
Similar troubles are experienced by their visitors, who have averaged less than a goal per game this season. With both teams having trouble in the attacking third, we don’t expect a lot of goals here.
Our prediction for Montpellier v Auxerre is for the game to have under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Montpellier Hsc Auxerre
| Montpellier Hsc vs Auxerre | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier Hsc wins | 1.87 | 2 | +7.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
| Auxerre wins | 3.8 | 3.7 | -2.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Auxerre is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.3% and is now 27.0% (0.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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